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re: SEC RPI after games of January 28th

Posted on 1/30/17 at 9:58 am to
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 9:58 am to
The last few weeks of the regular season are going to be a lot of fun.

Nice to have that back again.
Posted by TRUERockyTop
Appalachia
Member since Sep 2011
15817 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 10:34 am to
Damn I'm happy basketball season is back. I always get hype going through these threads.

A lot of UT's aspirations depend on our next 2 games: @AU and @MSU -- I think at worst we have to split those to give ourselves a chance. Go 0-2 and anything short of beating Kentucky or South Carolina on the road and it's a wrap for our tourney hopes.

I'm always excited to play against Bruce. Looking forward to tomorrow night
This post was edited on 1/30/17 at 10:35 am
Posted by CBandits82
Lurker since May 2008
Member since May 2012
54085 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 10:38 am to
quote:

This might be the worst team lsu has ever had. Ever.



I think it is.

This is probably the worst team we have ever fielded as an University.
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37706 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 10:39 am to
That UTC opener is really killing you right now. It is similar to Auburns BS loss to Boston College.

Both of our teams need this win to keep NCAAT hopes alive
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 10:42 am to
When was the last Alabama/Auburn game that had legitimate NCAA implications for both teams?

I feel like that Lebo team that almost got in played a game at Alabama when we were still semi-alive. Other than that.....Gottfried/Ellis era?
Posted by TRUERockyTop
Appalachia
Member since Sep 2011
15817 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 11:15 am to
I'd love to have that UTC game back as well as the @OleMiss & vs Arkansas games.

We led both Arkansas and Ole Miss by double digits before going on an epic melt down and shitting the bed. That would have put us at 6-2 in league play and 14-7 over all instead of 12-9 & 4-4. Either way it's nice to still have something to play for. We are one of the youngest teams in the country so even getting a NIT bid would be a successful season IMO
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 11:26 am to
quote:

If they somehow win there,


Somehow? You give us too much credit.
Posted by GatorsGators
Member since Oct 2012
13454 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 11:47 am to
Flip Auburn and Bama.

20-10 Bama would have an RPI of about 51 and a 13-5 conference record. They'd get in.

Auburn at 10-8 with an RPI around 55 probably wouldn't
Posted by GatorsGators
Member since Oct 2012
13454 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 11:51 am to
And UGA absolutely doesn't need 8 wins

7 would put them solidly in. 6 could do the trick with a few wins in the SECT

That's mostly because their remaining schedule is brutal
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
80101 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

76. Texas A&M


In a way, this is VERY similar to the 2005-2006 season for A&M.

The Aggies started the year 13-7 (3-6) with no quality wins.

They finished the regular season 20-7 (10-6) and annihilated Colorado in the Big 12 Tournament in what was essentially a "play-in" game to make their first NCAA Tournament bid since 1987 and first at-large bid ever.

Right now, A&M is 11-9 (3-5) and the only thing close to a quality win is the win over Virginia Tech in California. Of the remaining games, only three (at Florida, at Arkansas, and at Kentucky) are almost completely unwinnable. A 10-8 conference finish plus 2 wins in the SEC Tournament could get them in. So could an 11-7 finish with a win at Florida or at Arkansas.
This post was edited on 1/30/17 at 12:11 pm
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

And UGA absolutely doesn't need 8 wins

7 would put them solidly in. 6 could do the trick with a few wins in the SECT


My projection of 8 wins needed counts the SEC Tournament. So I guess your "6 could do the trick with a few wins in the SECT" means we are on the same page, despite you thinking we're way off in our assumptions.

I obviously would love to see UGA get into the Tournament. But I've been around long enough to know that as surprises happen in the conference tournaments, and the number of automatic bids diminish as a result, its very difficult to make that cut.

Georgia is barely outside the field now. Continuing the status quo through the end of the year is not going to cut it. We need to go 7-3 down the stretch in SEC play, and we still probably need one SEC Tournament win to secure an at-large bid in the Tournament.

Anything short of that means there are no guarantees.
This post was edited on 1/30/17 at 1:18 pm
Posted by JamalSanders
On a boat
Member since Jul 2015
12135 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

Auburn at 10-8 with an RPI around 55 probably wouldn't


Auburn would be 20-10. Auburn's RPI is already 59. If we go 7-3 to finish the year we would be in the 30s RPI wise. Sitting precisely on the bubble. I think if we can get to 22 wins we will be in. Only thing is i don't see us getting to 22. More like 21 or 20 and a high seed in the NIT.

Also, Auburn has already put in a bid to host the NIT.
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 1:33 pm to
RPI wizard says for Auburn

If beat : Tennessee, MSU, Florida, A&M, LSU, Arky, Mizzou
Lose : Bama, OM, UGA

21-10 (10-8), RPI 52


If beat same plus Bama

22-9 (11-7), RPI 39
This post was edited on 1/30/17 at 1:35 pm
Posted by BowlJackson
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2013
52881 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

Lose : Bama


Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 2:02 pm to
KenPom and RPIwizard both have Alabama as a favorite (71% and 69%). They'll probably be a 2-3 pt favorite at home.

Hilarious, though, for sure.
Posted by TRUERockyTop
Appalachia
Member since Sep 2011
15817 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 2:03 pm to
I haven't seen Bama play a minute all season. Anyone have a short summary of how they're playing? What they look good in and what they struggle with?
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 2:04 pm to
We struggle offensively without a great shooter or great scorer. We've become a very good rebounding team and are use our length very well defensively (top 20 defense via KenPom).

Have a few young guys figuring themselves out on offense (Key and Ingram).

We're pretty spunky, but we don't have much firepower.
This post was edited on 1/30/17 at 2:07 pm
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

VOLS @ Auburn almost feels like a pseudo elimination game, very important for both clubs




Splitting the two road games this week would be a successful week for VOLS imo.

I think you have to win 1 out of 2 this week and then run the table outside of @UK and @USC.

Schedule is very light the rest of the way outside of those 2.
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37706 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 2:13 pm to
If TN splits AU/MSU and runs table minus USCe/UK they'd need to win at least 1 in SECT

Don't see a 19W team in SEC making the NCAAT this year unless they are cleary #4
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 1/30/17 at 2:16 pm to
A nice added bonus this year is that the only total duds in the SECT will be LSU and Missouri, and one of them will eliminate the other.

So, most any other first round game will help your resume, not hurt it or do nothing for it like past years.
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