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re: How Much Does recruiting rankings mean to your team?

Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:00 am to
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19133 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:00 am to
Actually, UT fans are excited about how the '14 class appears to be shaking out. That being said, retention of the players signed has become much more important than the class ranking. UT has had a number of top 10 and even top 5 classes that disintegrated within 1 or 2 years. Attrition of players from highly rated classes hurt UT more than the lesser talent of lower rated classes.
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
42349 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:00 am to
quote:


Well thats a pretty asanine statement. Our 2011 team was one of the best developed and coached LSU teams of all time, regardless if we won an NC or not. Just look at the guys from that year playing in the NFL.


I'll look at the guys in the NFL from that team, I will conclude the were talented and developed properly, that leads to one piece of the three missing, coaching.
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
14243 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:01 am to
I think recruiting rankings are inaccurate for UGA in the opposite manner.

UGA should have a NC by now if you based it on recruit rankings.
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
42349 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:03 am to
quote:

I think recruiting rankings are inaccurate for UGA in the opposite manner.

UGA should have a NC by now if you based it on recruit rankings.



UCF, Colorado, and Boise St. should never beat them according to the rankings as well.
Posted by recstar7
Bahamas
Member since Sep 2011
1094 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:04 am to
None because this was a bad year and we are in the top 5
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30599 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Let's not confuse recruiting rankings with the level of talent on a given roster. Recruiting rankings are determined by questionable people with zero coaching experience
Many apologies. I was actually referring to recruiting only, not the ranking, although rankings are about the only way that the average fan can determine how his team recruits against the rest of the country. All that being said, I'll still take the #1 ranked recruiting class every year and let the others bring it on!
This post was edited on 1/30/14 at 11:49 am
Posted by npt817
Prairieville, LA
Member since Sep 2010
1370 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:07 am to
quote:

that leads to one piece of the three missing, coaching.


That season was coached incredibly though up until the NC game. 2011 was really one of the most enjoyable seasons as a Tiger fan that I can remember in a long time, which is what made 1/9 all the more unbearable. Leading up to the last game coaching of that team was not an issue.
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
42349 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:10 am to
quote:


That season was coached incredibly though up until the NC game. 2011 was really one of the most enjoyable seasons as a Tiger fan that I can remember in a long time, which is what made 1/9 all the more unbearable. Leading up to the last game coaching of that team was not an issue.


Obviously, to get to the game, but it only takes one badly coached game to define a season.
Posted by cas4t
Member since Jan 2010
70904 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:16 am to
I'll never deny that Les is a subpar gameday coach. The man has had some extremely idiotic moments.

But he's a motivator and recruiter and hired a great DC and OC, so I'm not worried about coaching moving forward.
Posted by PepaSpray
Adamantium Membership
Member since Aug 2012
11080 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:21 am to
quote:

Coaches are the key. Recruiting follows second.

I dunno. Maybe the rankings themselves means shite, but the recruiting of high-caliber players (recruiting sites aren't as accurate as coaches' evaluations imo) is essential.

You can't make chicken salad without chickens.
Posted by allin2010
Auburn
Member since Aug 2011
18151 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:22 am to
Recruiting is a huge part of the game...

Percentages are my opinion...

5 Star Players (85% chance of being a major contributer)
4 Star Players (70% chance of being a major contributer)
3 Star Players (50% chance of being a major contributer)


BOTTOM LINE: The more 4 and 5 star players you have, the greater the chance of them being successful..There will be 5 star bust and 3 stars that turn into NFL players.
Posted by npt817
Prairieville, LA
Member since Sep 2010
1370 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:22 am to
quote:

Obviously, to get to the game, but it only takes one badly coached game to define a season.


No argument there.
Posted by Cooter Davenport
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2012
9006 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:27 am to
On a player-by-player basis rankings aren't super accurate. There are plenty of 4* & 5* busts and 2* & 3* diamonds who play in the NFL. BUT, on the AGGREGATE level, there darn sure is a correlation between the overall ranking of a class and the performance of the team on the field. Anyone arguing otherwise is doing so from the perspective of a fan of a team that doesn't get top talent and is engaging in an excercise of cognitive dissonance.

The question of what do they mean to your team is important though.

Some fanbses are okay with just being competitive, fun to watch, not embarrasing. If that's the case, and you have a coach who has a great system, or is a really good talent identifier who can find the diamonds in the rough, or is just a really good coach with a good staff that can coach 'em up and put them in places to excel, then rankings don't mean much. You'll be competitive, fun and un-embarrasing. This is the case with South Carolina and Missouri. Spurrier & Pinkel can both do some combination of the above and their teams are useually salty and effective without monster recruiting classes.

That said, other fanbases want to or expect to compete for Natties and aren't satisfied with merely being competitive. The hard truth backed by harsh reality is that there hasn't been a team that's won a Natty without at least one Top-10 class. Useually they have a couple Top-10s on campus. This is where the aggregate value of the rankings comes into play. You can talk until you are blue in the face about how Spurrier's coaching ability matters more than talent, but how many Natties has he won at SCAR? None. He isn't going to. He has a talent ceiling there. He'll be COMPETITIVE there until he reties, because he's really good and he can get enough talent to field teams that matter, but he isn't crossing that Top-10 class barrier, so he isn't bringing home the overall title.
This post was edited on 1/30/14 at 10:34 am
Posted by DWag215
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2011
7215 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:30 am to
I care a great deal. For two reasons.

1) if you're consistently signing top 10 classes, you are going to be very competitive. Chances are you'll win a lot of games. Of course there are exceptions to this general rule.

2) Program perception. More people follow recruiting today than ever. Signing day is a national spectacle. It's probably the second biggest sporting event in February. A lot of attention is given to programs with top classes. Publicity is always good.

That doesn't mean only four and five star players can be worthwhile. To the contrary, A&M has had five All-Americans the last two years. Three of them were ranked as two or three stars. The rankings aren't infallible and it's a necessary truth that they miss on a handful of players each year.

That being said, you simply have a better chance at being successful with the players most big time programs want (your four and five stars) than finding and depending on a Johnny Manziel or Mike Evans.
This post was edited on 1/30/14 at 10:34 am
Posted by crimsonsaint
Member since Nov 2009
37248 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:38 am to
quote:

The more fans who buy subscriptions the more stars your recruits get. The more stars your recruits get get the more fans will subscribe


I guess those subscriptions also equal national championships?
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
42349 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:39 am to
What about Larry Coker's classes at Miami, not Butch Davis' team that he inherited, but the team he recruited where he admits to using recruiting ranking sites to determine who to offer?
Posted by BayouBengal99
Crowley
Member since Oct 2007
9122 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:44 am to
Oh lord......
Posted by VerlanderBEAST
Member since Dec 2011
18984 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:44 am to
quote:

I guess those subscriptions also equal national championships?
Yes. Teams that win national championships have excited fans who want to buy subscriptions
Posted by Tigerjackswartz
Member since Mar 2012
322 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 10:52 am to
quote:

but you start getting into the teens and twenties I don't see how you can compete on a regular basis.


I read where Mizzou has averaged about 36th or so in Rivals recruiting class the last 7 years.

Mizzou has had win totals of 12, 10, 8, 10, 8, 5, and 12 in those 7 years. That seems to be "competing on a regular basis" to me.

For a new coach, you might not have much to go on except for recruiting rankings. For an established coach, though, you can begin to see whether they can evaluate and recruit better than the "rankings" would seem to indicate. When you get to that point, you can pretty much dismiss the recruiting rankings and trust in your staff.
Posted by everytrueson
Los Angeles, CA
Member since Mar 2012
5893 posts
Posted on 1/30/14 at 11:18 am to
The Mizzou staff apparently has their own secret "matrix" that they use to evaluate. They have done a great job of developing 2 star talent into big time performers so I guess the answer to your question is sometimes?
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