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Bracket/Bubble Projections Feb. 27-28 - Updated w/CBS bracket, ESPN Bubble Watch

Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:27 am
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22378 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:27 am
I'll update this thread as more are released, but here are some new bracket projections as we begin the final week of the regular season. RPI rankings from live-RPI in parentheses in the first post.

College Basketball Insider

Kentucky (2) a 1 seed
Florida (18) a 6 seed
Vandy (23) a 7 seed
Alabama (27) a 9 seed
Miss St (65) a 12 seed

Mississippi St is one of the last five in, LSU (68) appears to still be the 9th team out. Weakest bubble ever is at least keeping a slim hope alive for LSU.

Warren Nolan

Kentucky a 1 seed
Florida a 5 seed
Vandy a 6 seed
Alabama a 9 seed
Miss St a 12 seed

Mississippi St is one of the last four in. LSU the third team out.

ESPN Lunardi

Kentucky a 1 seed
Florida a 4 seed
Vandy a 6 seed
Alabama a 10 seed
Miss St a 12 seed

No mention of LSU in his last eight in. ESPN hates LSU.


CBS Bubble Watch

No bracket update yet from CBS, but in the latest Bubble Watch he appears to have taken Alabama completely off the list of "bubble" teams. Mississippi St towards the bottom in his "on the fence" category and LSU as the very last team getting mention in the "work to do" field.

ESPN Bubble Watch

Vandy moves to "lock" status and Alabama to "should be in." MSU still on the bubble and no mention of anybody else.

Fox Sports Bubble Watch

Same deal as ESPN, except they clearly think Miss St is on the wrong side of the bubble.

CBS Bracket

Kentucky a 1 seed
Florida a 5 seed
Vandy a 7 seed
Alabama an 8 seed (and off the bubble)
Miss St a 12 seed (last four in, play-in game)
This post was edited on 2/28/12 at 11:12 am
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44385 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:30 am to
frick a 9 seed. We need to take care of business against Auburn and sit everyone against OM to secure the 10.
Posted by ThaKaptin
The Sultan of Swag
Member since Nov 2010
21741 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:35 am to
quote:

frick a 9 seed. We need to take care of business against Auburn and sit everyone against OM to secure the 10.




What does the 10 seed get us?
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155725 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:36 am to
honestly we'll have 'a chance' if we win out and win 3 in NOLA. good luck w/ that
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22378 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:37 am to
quote:

What does the 10 seed get us?


Not a 1 seed in round 2 is I'm sure where he's going. I say let's win out and beat Kentucky in NOLA and get a 7 seed
Posted by Crede15
Member since Jun 2009
17214 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:40 am to
I pretty much wrote off LSU Saturday but if the bubble is really that weak maybe winning out and getting to the final would be enough.

The problem is Tennessee would actually be a solid win for LSU but RPI-wise it's really not.
Posted by UASports23
Member since Nov 2009
24350 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:41 am to
per Andy Katz:

quote:

Credit Anthony Grant for the way he handled the suspensions. Despite the disciplinary actions, the Tide have moved up into the top four with three straight wins against Tennessee, Arkansas, and Mississippi State. Alabama is now going to go to the NCAA tournament, barring a complete collapse. JaMychal Green certainly got Grant’s message, and the Tide will go forward without Tony Mitchell, who remains suspended for the rest of the season.
Posted by ThaKaptin
The Sultan of Swag
Member since Nov 2010
21741 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:41 am to
quote:

Not a 1 seed in round 2 is I'm sure where he's going


AAAH, yeah, didnt even think about that.
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22378 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:42 am to
quote:

I pretty much wrote off LSU Saturday but if the bubble is really that weak maybe winning out and getting to the final would be enough.

The problem is Tennessee would actually be a solid win for LSU but RPI-wise it's really not.


You're right about that, Tennessee has been playing pretty solid basketball for the most part as of late. But their RPI still hovers around 100. I think everybody wrote off LSU after Saturday, but when you look at the first few teams on the outside looking in, it really looks like a bunch of fringe NIT teams in most years.
This post was edited on 2/27/12 at 9:43 am
Posted by UASports23
Member since Nov 2009
24350 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:43 am to
quote:

What does the 10 seed get us?




8/9 seed gets the #1 team in the next round. 10 seed gets #2 seed in 2nd round.


ETA: Projected St Mary's first round, Ohio St for us in 2nd round. (We are a 10 seed)
This post was edited on 2/27/12 at 9:45 am
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22378 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:45 am to
quote:

Credit Anthony Grant for the way he handled the suspensions. Despite the disciplinary actions, the Tide have moved up into the top four with three straight wins against Tennessee, Arkansas, and Mississippi State. Alabama is now going to go to the NCAA tournament, barring a complete collapse. JaMychal Green certainly got Grant’s message, and the Tide will go forward without Tony Mitchell, who remains suspended for the rest of the season.


I think at this point the only way we'll be sweating it out on Selection Sunday is if we lose two of our next three.
Posted by ThaKaptin
The Sultan of Swag
Member since Nov 2010
21741 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:48 am to
quote:

if we lose two of our next three.


I must be brain dead because I thought we only had 2 games left. Who else do we have besides Auburn and Ole Piss?
Posted by Crede15
Member since Jun 2009
17214 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:49 am to
I just think we need to avoid a disastrous Auburn loss. Win Wednesday and I think we're fine regardless. And the way we're playing it wouldn't shock me to go to Ole Miss and win. Its not like we NEVER win at the Tad Pad, it just seems that way. We blew them out during the Pearson year.
Posted by 1991UW
Seattle, WA
Member since Feb 2012
303 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:49 am to
Hopefully Washington is an 11 or 12 seed.
Posted by McGregor
Member since Feb 2011
6320 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:49 am to
+1 SEC tourney game
Posted by Crede15
Member since Jun 2009
17214 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:50 am to
our first SEC tournament game.
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22378 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Who else do we have besides Auburn and Ole Piss?


First round of the SECt.

ETA: What they said
This post was edited on 2/27/12 at 9:51 am
Posted by ThaKaptin
The Sultan of Swag
Member since Nov 2010
21741 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:51 am to
ok, I was thinking regular season. And hopefully we make ir further than 1 game.
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22378 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 9:55 am to
quote:

And hopefully we make ir further than 1 game.


Clearly. But that's why I said the only way we'd be sweating anything is if we lost two of those three games.
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
80288 posts
Posted on 2/27/12 at 10:24 am to
Lunardi's is a week old.
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