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re: Alabama's Season Forecast!

Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:07 pm to
Posted by CheeseburgerEddie
Crimson Tide Fan Club
Member since Oct 2012
15574 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:07 pm to
(no message)
Posted by Rickdaddy4188
Murfreesboro,TN
Member since Aug 2011
46625 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

I am talking wasted scoring opportunities because of mistakes in the most important parts of the field.


Kicking 45 yard fgs( which pro kickers make 60% of the time) isn't really a scoring opp
Posted by Teague
The Shoals, AL
Member since Aug 2007
21688 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:12 pm to


You're really one of the worst of the worst.
Posted by CheeseburgerEddie
Crimson Tide Fan Club
Member since Oct 2012
15574 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:12 pm to
ya, but as I said in an earlier post we were taking those field goals because of penalties that pushed us out of our close in field goal kickers range, as well as a fumbled snap or boneheaded running backwards. Mental mistakes. Also the game has been two years, so I may be hazy on that one.

The biggest one was the pick play. Where Reid was covering a different man and because I think it was Maze or Hanks ran his route way too far downfield, Reid was able to get to the uncovered TE and make the play he did. Great play by him, but if routes are all run properly, he isn't within 10 yards of our TE.
Posted by Little Buddha
Middle Tennessee
Member since Feb 2011
151 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:14 pm to
Bama lose 1 game but it's not gonna be against TAMU.
Posted by Rickdaddy4188
Murfreesboro,TN
Member since Aug 2011
46625 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

The biggest one was the pick play. Where Reid was covering a different man and because I think it was Maze or Hanks ran his route way too far downfield, Reid was able to get to the uncovered TE and make the play he did. Great play by him, but if routes are all run properly, he isn't within 10 yards of our TE.


Agree. If wr cuts his route short instead of running post, ER isn't anywhere near the TE.
Posted by bona fide
Burma
Member since Jun 2010
8972 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:24 pm to
still hanging onto a game played two years ago?

here is a breakdown of the game written by one of your own.. LINK
Posted by mwlewis
JeffCo
Member since Nov 2010
21216 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

Cause I really care what some sister fricking GUMP thinks. I'm superior to you in every way. Boy

You seem angry. Alligator season not going well for you?
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30208 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

LSU will always have the best chance to beat Alabama. They match up as far as scheme and conditioning goes and players almost match up with Alabama's as far as quality
Yep - Most things are equal when Bama/LSU go head to head. They matchup power against power - coach against coach and it's a battle royal. Like the old Ali/Frazer fights. Gotta love it!
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30867 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

I'll say this... You had better run the table because I don't think a loss this year for you will be good enough to get to the NCG.


Well, Ohio State is playing in the Ohio 5A division this year, so they're basically a shoe-in for undefeated.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30867 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

So this is not an example of them winning all of their games by double digits. Was this the point you were trying to make?


Well, during the regular season, according to the OP, but the answer is still the same:
1934 and 1945

Almost in 1966 - only beat Tennessee by 1. All others by 10+

1961 - Beat Tulane by 9, all other regular season opponents by 10+.

1979 - Beat LSU by 3, Auburn by 7. All others by double digits.
Posted by Gardevoir
Member since Jun 2013
1880 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

Texas A&M 9/14 42-21

Based on what? While this score is possible, what makes a blowout probable?

quote:

Ole Miss 9/28 35-10

Doubtful. I don't follow Ole Miss, but they weren't a pushover last season in Tuscaloosa. Why would you expect them to be this season in year 2 under Freeze? I'm not high on Ole Miss, but I won't write them off until they give me a good reason.

quote:

LSU 11/9 24-14

We haven't seen LSU's new offense in action against real teams. Will the offense remarkably improve? If so, your score prediction is off. I know you're waiting for that year where Alabama is a complete team and puts it all together field week in and week out but let's just wait until it happens instead of making shortsighted predictions.

quote:

I know some A&M and LSU fans will say that I am out of my mind,,,

Who cares? It's the internet, and you're entitled to express your opinion.

quote:

but the schedule sets up well for Alabama. We should be at full strength (second game with week off before) when we play Johnny Football and we get a week off before we play LSU.


Irrelevant. These statements are garbage. Will the Miami Heat 3peat?

quote:

Cousin fricker Board

Then I guess he made this topic in the correct place.

quote:

We won every game but one by double digits in 2011. It wouldnt shock me, but it would surprise me.

2011 Alabama and LSU were incredible teams. Don't expect to match their feats anytime soon. 2013's defense won't be as good as 2011's. 2013's offense needs to be more consistent against strong competition. See 2012 Louisiana State, Texas A&M, and Georgia games. Yes, I know AJ was injured, but that wasn't the only problem with the offense.

quote:

No conference shutouts? Have some faith in the D yo.

He didn't break down how the points were scored. It's possible that short fields, garbage scores, long offensive plays, and non-offensive touchdowns will break any potential shutout.

quote:

A&M has yet to lose by double digits since joining the SEC.

Dumb statement is dumb. Thank the garbage touchdown versus LSU. If Florida and LSU had respectable passing games, you would have had two double digit losses last year. However, that wasn't the case, and you can be grateful that the games appeared close.
Posted by Gardevoir
Member since Jun 2013
1880 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

Like I said earlier, y'all's luck and dependence on other teams losing is about to run out

To be fair, most teams have needed luck in the past. Alabama has needed help to make 3/4, but no one can name a truly better, FBS program.

quote:

The OP is saying they will go undefeated winning by double digits every game. It won't happen. I'll guarantee it.

I agree. Some of my fellow fans are using a poor argument that since 2011 Alabama was undefeated in regulation and beat all their opponents by double digits, the OT loss to one opponent doesn't count. 11/5/11 happened.

quote:

he way I see it, Johnny Football has as good a shot at beating Bama in 2013..... as Tim Tebow did in 2009.

Totally different circumstances. Alabama's greatest rematch victories under Saban have been late in the season on neutral fields. I know that A&M has an unproven front 7, and that Alabama is better on the road, but we don't own this conference nor are we guaranteed to sweep this schedule. Every team is touchable. 2013 Alabama will not be an exception.

quote:

They very well may go undefeated, I think the odds are in their favor for that. Projecting double digit wins with only one team scoring over 20 is a little far fetched.

I think the general feeling regarding Alabama's 2013 defense is that it can be 2009ish. 2012's defense was neither elite nor stellar. While I won't predict that only one team will score 3 offensive touchdowns on us this year, I can see that happening.

quote:

For the record, I don't think Bama wins every game by double digits. They always play tight games with LSU and A&M will be tough in college station (don't care to hear from Bama fans about Saban in "revenge" games. It will be a fight for both teams)

quote:

Meno's Paradox
Navy Fan
Member since Apr 2013
4 posts

Where have you been?

quote:

VaTech W 41-9 A&M W 38-17 CSU W Ole Miss W 37-21 GSU W Kentucky W Arkansas W Tennessee W LSU 20-17 toss up State W Chattanooga W AU W A&M and LSU are the only 2 teams on the schedule that can play with Bama. Bama has revenge on their mind and will throw everything and the kitchen sink at A&M. LSU has the exact same mindset toward Bama as Bama has toward A&M. I would watch out for Tennessee to be a trap game.

This is a great improvement over the OP. I like how you just put a "W" for some potentially interesting games instead of posting a ridiculous score.

I wouldn't be surprised if the Ole Miss game was tougher than Texas A&M.

Alright, 3 pages is enough for me. I will entertain responses to my 2 big posts.
Posted by FourThreeForty
Member since May 2013
17290 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 9:59 pm to
You need to work in ESPN
Posted by Gardevoir
Member since Jun 2013
1880 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

You need to work in ESPN

I don't favor a short argument.
Thanks. I'll keep it in mind that maybe I don't need to type so much unless I'm making my own topic.
Posted by AggieKen
Petersburg, Tx
Member since Jul 2013
43 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

Well, Ohio State is playing in the Ohio 5A division this year, so they're basically a shoe-in for undefeated.


Posted by Funky Tide 8
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
52682 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 10:27 pm to
quote:


I agree. Some of my fellow fans are using a poor argument that since 2011 Alabama was undefeated in regulation and beat all their opponents by double digits, the OT loss to one opponent doesn't count. 11/5/11 happened.

I think most of us are just saying that we were VERY CLOSE to doing it in 2011, so its not like its impossible or anything. I realize that 11.5.11 happened.

That's all.
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
52682 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

2012's defense was neither elite nor stellar.


Compared to what? The rest of CFB? If so, then yes, they were both.
Posted by Gardevoir
Member since Jun 2013
1880 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

Compared to what? The rest of CFB? If so, then yes, they were both.

previous seasons. There were no elite SEC defenses last season. There weren't any elite defenses in the country last season.

2011 Alabama defense >>> 2012
2009 Alabama defense > 2012
2011 Capital One Bowl defense > 2012

Alabama didn't even have the best defense in the conference last season; Florida owned it. 2012 LSU defense >= 2012 Alabama defense. Please don't bring biased stats into the argument. LSU and Florida played tougher schedules and still managed to beat Alabama in some defensive categories.
Posted by 167back
Dos Gris
Member since Jun 2012
4698 posts
Posted on 7/11/13 at 10:56 pm to
What makes the "gulf coast" the best COAST in the country? Why do you think it's better than the atlantic or pacific coasts?
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