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re: Final 5 games

Posted on 10/23/17 at 9:02 am to
Posted by dbuchanon
Member since Nov 2014
19837 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 9:02 am to
I hope it happens just for the melt that would happen in here lol
Posted by UFMatt
Gator Nation - Everywhere
Member since Oct 2010
11445 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 10:04 am to
quote:

I hope it happens just for the melt that would happen in here lol


At least one Negagator won't be melting because he has agreed to a ban if we beat the clown college. Right TJ?
Any other Negagators want to join the friendly bet? Just a ban for a year on the Gator board.
Posted by tjv305
Member since May 2015
12511 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 10:06 am to
What do you want an answer too? Can I just give an excuse like you guys do ?
Posted by BloodSweat&Beers
One Particular Harbor, Fl
Member since Jan 2012
9153 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 10:12 am to
quote:

QB problems that I thought we over.


This one is on Mac and Nuss. They have had Franks on campus for 2 springs and 2 fall camps. They named him the starter.

quote:

Mac gets an extension at the end of the year,


Unless he comes back and wins the East and a good bowl game HELL NO on the extension.
Posted by bgator85
Sarasota
Member since Aug 2007
6022 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 10:17 am to
quote:

Mac gets an extension at the end of the year,


Highly doubtful. He just received an extension last season.
Posted by dbuchanon
Member since Nov 2014
19837 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 10:35 am to
Stop deflecting. Answer the question
Posted by UFMatt
Gator Nation - Everywhere
Member since Oct 2010
11445 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 10:38 am to
quote:

Unless he comes back and wins the East and a good bowl game HELL NO on the extension


If we end up 8-3 or 7-4 and win a bowl game an extension will be deserved and will show stability in the program to recruits. Worse than 6-5 and he will deservedly be on the hot seat next year.
Posted by UFMatt
Gator Nation - Everywhere
Member since Oct 2010
11445 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Highly doubtful. He just received an extension last season.


It's not unusual to give extensions in consecutive years to show support for the coach and stability in the future of the program.
Posted by bgator85
Sarasota
Member since Aug 2007
6022 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 11:23 am to
quote:

It's not unusual to give extensions in consecutive years to show support for the coach and stability in the future of the program.


It would be in this case. Mac will have to make a number of coaching changes this offseason, don't think he's getting an extension with all that's going on.
Posted by slayerxing
Gainesville
Member since Feb 2010
11045 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 12:28 pm to
You and Straw are totally full of shite.

Literally everything I say, there is another excuse.

Fine, here is some substance, assholes.

Kirby Smart was hired on December 6, 2015, 2 days later in the season than McElwain the year before, who was hired on December 4, 2014. Both had late starts in recruiting.

Even with that late start, Kirby Smart in his first few months as a head coach put together a Top 6 recruiting class, with 14 players at 4 star or higher, and 3 five star. Now yes, he walked in and some of these guys were already committed. But he held it together. Big time.

McElwain, on the other hand, in his 2nd season, landed the #12 ranked class, with only 9 players ranked composite 4 star or higher. So even coming in with an incredibly short window, Kirby out-recruited McElwain.

Now, McElwain whips Georgia on the field, so we say, OK, not a big deal.

2017 recruiting class - Georgia 20 4 star or higher, 2 5 star, vs. Florida only getting 11. No five stars again. Hmmm.... OK, Kirby is just a better recruiter I guess, but let's see how he does on the field...

Georgia 2016 stats:
Total O: 384.7
Total D: 327.5

Georgia 2017 stats:
Total O: 454.3
Total D: 252.6

What I see here is HUGE improvement on offense and defense from year 1 to year 2 for Kirby. And he is doing this WITHOUT HIS STARTING QB - WHO WAS INJURED EARLY. You like to point this out as an excuse for Florida, so there it is for Kirby. Difference is, he has a 5 star QB to absorb the blow, and UF DOES NOT.

Now look at Florida between year 1, year 2, and year 3, which should give them a huge edge over Georgia because of extra time in the system.

Florida 2015 stats:
Total O: 334.0
Total D: 310.2

Florida 2016 stats:
Total O: 344.0
Total D: 293.0

Florida 2017 stats:
Total O: 351.2
Total D: 354.8

Check that out... Florida has not improved much on offense and the defense has declined tremendously in 3 years.

Bottom line, this is what you expect to see in a championship coach. They come in, change the culture, and see appreciable improvement in year 2. Kirby came in to a lot of talent, sure, similar to Meyer with Zook, but he had a shite OL, a TRUE FRESMAN QB, and a bunch of players that had done nothing but be mediocre for a bunch of years. Now in year 2, he ONCE AGAIN has a true freshman QB, but that guy has thrown 12 TD in 7 games, while UF has only thrown 4 as a team... Wait a minute... which coach is supposed to be the offensive guru again?

Mac also had a lot of talent when he got here. 15 players drafted in 2 years vs. only 6 at Georgia. Most on defense, and that is exactly why Mac was able to ride the defense to SEC east titles in year 1 and year 2. He had talent, and he scraped by. With appreciably less talent on the roster, a little bit of bad luck with suspensions and injuries has SUNK THE PROGRAM.

Now, despite ALL OF THIS, Mac has a chance this weekend to right the ship. A win against UGA means they would have to win out to win the division, which isn't a guarantee. I doubt Mac can pull it off, considering the trajectory of both teams, but it's worth noting that he still has a chance.

Is that enough fricking substance assholes?
Posted by UFMatt
Gator Nation - Everywhere
Member since Oct 2010
11445 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

slayerxing


Negagator?
Posted by SailorGator
Member since Sep 2014
1395 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 12:39 pm to
i think mac will still have 3 or 4 years on his contract after this year. no need for an extension.
Posted by UFMatt
Gator Nation - Everywhere
Member since Oct 2010
11445 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

i think mac will still have 3 or 4 years on his contract after this year. no need for an extension.


I agree with this, depending on how the season turns out. He would have to win 8 games and a bowl game for me to favor an extension, if not, like you said, he still has 3 or 4 years left on his contract.
Posted by StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Member since Sep 2013
21146 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

What I see here is HUGE improvement on offense and defense from year 1 to year 2 for Kirby. And he is doing this WITHOUT HIS STARTING QB - WHO WAS INJURED EARLY. You like to point this out as an excuse for Florida, so there it is for Kirby. Difference is, he has a 5 star QB to absorb the blow, and UF DOES NOT


1. How is this on McElwain that we didn't have a 5* quarterback?

2. How do you account for two upperclasmen 5* running backs and a 5* receiver WITH the 5* quarterback?

3. What were the programs like before they stepped on campus?

I've said like a billion times: Georgia was averaging 8th in recruiting NATIONALLY. So that Kirby got the 6th ranked class isn't anything incredible or amazing for Georgia.

Florida, on the other hand, was going in the opposite direction if you remember correctly. It's not a fricking excuse -- it is a fricking fact.

It's a fact that Georgia runs it 80% of the time and can possess the ball for much longer times because they have two 5* senior NFL running backs.

It's a fact that Georgia has 80 - 90% of their starters to thank for the previous coach.

It's a fact that Georgia won 50 games in 5 years to our 36.

Kirby would literally have to go out of his way to fail with that team, Slayer.

LITERALLY. He won the coaching lottery, man, he took over a team that was still recruiting really well, who was comprised of younger players with backups installed, a team whose roster was otherwise taken care of outside of the offensive line (and ours was 100% worse than any P5 school around) with stars and upperclassmen at every skill position.

Chubb wasn't 100% last year and Kirby went 7 - 5, so it's not like he came in and lit the world on fire.

This year their quarterback is straining his arm to hand the ball off so many times.

He's recruiting great -- yeah, Georgia fricking does that. They never recruit bad. He's running two 5* senior NFL running backs 80% of the team -- whoa, genius.
Posted by slayerxing
Gainesville
Member since Feb 2010
11045 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 1:19 pm to
Georgia had recruited well on paper, similar to Florida under Muschamp. But the classes were uneven, again, like Muschamp, and they had huge issues at WR and on the OL.

Georgia in year two has overcome that, and their recruiting has improved even beyond what it used to be, while meanwhile, Florida's has regressed. It may improve in 2018 and 2019, but it is still too early to tell. Will those classes hold together if Florida goes 5-6 or 4-7 or something? Conversely, maybe they will be huge if UF goes 8-3, who knows? The point is it's too early to count 2018 or 2019 as Mac being a good recruiter.

Mac took over at Florida with literally one of the most talented defenses in the team's history. And he road that to two SEC titles, which you would expect with that much talent, and with the rest of the division in disarray.

Here's the problem, in year 3, it should be mostly McElwain players carrying the show. And it is, but they aren't carrying the water very well. Maybe this is just a dip before a big turnaround in year 4, but all of the data up until this point doesn't really support that.

And to your comment about talent on the roster - walking in to a team with Chubb and Michel is great. Just like UF had Jarrad Davis, Jalen Tabor, Quincy Wilson, Vernon Hargreaves, Bullard, etc. It makes life easier for a coach, sure, but at what point do we talk about player development? Kirby seems to be doing a good job of that there. They also seem to be smart and ride their best players - I wish UF would learn to do that more.

EDIT - also it's on McElwain that we don't have a 5 star QB because he hasn't recruited one. Kirby has recruited 2 in 2 years.

Maybe Mac should ask him how to do that, and then ask how to get him to throw 12 TD in 7 games vs 3 TD in 6 games.

This post was edited on 10/23/17 at 1:24 pm
Posted by StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Member since Sep 2013
21146 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

Georgia had recruited well on paper, similar to Florida under Muschamp. But the classes were uneven, again, like Muschamp, and they had huge issues at WR and on the OL.



...Like Florida? We had worse issues at both positions -- Muschamp didn't recruit receivers at all. That's why freshmen came in and produced better.

quote:

Georgia in year two has overcome that, and their recruiting has improved even beyond what it used to be, while meanwhile, Florida's has regressed.


Weird how 21 scholarship athletes go down and you don't seem to do so hot. How many Georgia players are done for the season?

Oh shite, not a single one according to https://www.donbest.com/ncaaf/injuries/

quote:

Here's the problem, in year 3, it should be mostly McElwain players carrying the show. And it is, but they aren't carrying the water very well. Maybe this is just a dip before a big turnaround in year 4, but all of the data up until this point doesn't really support that.


Hmm, 17 players out for the season will usually put a damper on things.

quote:

And to your comment about talent on the roster - walking in to a team with Chubb and Michel is great. Just like UF had Jarrad Davis, Jalen Tabor, Quincy Wilson, Vernon Hargreaves, Bullard, etc. It makes life easier for a coach, sure, but at what point do we talk about player development? Kirby seems to be doing a good job of that there. They also seem to be smart and ride their best players - I wish UF would learn to do that more.



Dude, you're delusional -- you're trying to claw your way back up but you are outright ignoring how 90% of UGA's defense is from Richt and about 80% of the offense is from Richt. This is Richt's team, there are players from Kirby rotating in, but the entire production is coming from the previous coach -- something we haven't said since year one, especially in year two and even moreso after year three.

quote:

also it's on McElwain that we don't have a 5 star QB because he hasn't recruited one. Kirby has recruited 2 in 2 years.


Matt Corral is a 5*, you can disagree with the metric etc. etc.., but I think it's more than debateable at this point. Also, let's talk about Georgia and 5* QBs.

Jacob Eason was from Richt -- weird, a 5* before Kirby stepped in.

Wait, are you considering Eason a fricking 5* for Kirby?



Even worse, he had 4* quarterbacks on the roster AS WELL, behind Eason. Not WR's playing QB.

quote:

Maybe Mac should ask him how to do that, and then ask how to get him to throw 12 TD in 7 games vs 3 TD in 6 games.
quote:

Maybe Mac should ask him how to do that, and then ask how to get him to throw 12 TD in 7 games vs 3 TD in 6 games.


Life's easier when you can run the ball into 8 man boxes and get first downs. It's also a lot easier when you play Samford and Appalachain State.

Weird, you take away Samford and Appalachain State and he loses a fourth of his production.

He threw for 84 yards against Tennessee.

He threw 102 against Vanderbilt.

It's almost like all of their production comes from their running backs.

fricking weird, right, Slayer?
This post was edited on 10/23/17 at 1:57 pm
Posted by reel_gator8
Seminole,Fl
Member since May 2012
11060 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 1:55 pm to
I will chime in and add something about recruiting. It is easier to recruit without a large instate rival (the girls school) and a mid tier instate rival (miamuh) to contend with and no, Ga Tech isn't even on the map. Tech has a really high academic admission standard that most SEC teams don't have not named Vanderbilt.
Posted by StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Member since Sep 2013
21146 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 2:00 pm to
There's that, too. Georgia and Auburn fight over a few recruits here and there, but when you don't have Miami or FSU (we should take a step forward over FSU, but Miami looks like they're getting their stuff together) -- it makes things a whole hell of a lot easier.

Oh yeah, and if your school was already top 10 every fricking year in recruiting since 2010 (it was 11th this year, admittedly) it's not like Kirby is doing something new to Georgia by recruiting well.
Posted by bgator85
Sarasota
Member since Aug 2007
6022 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 2:01 pm to
On recruiting, there isn't much to debate. The last few years were substandard for UF. Mac talked about the need to improve recruiting the last couple of years. He went out last year and hired better recruiters. I give Mac credit in this area, he saw it was a weakness and he addressed it. But recruiting wasn't it where it should have been the last couple of years, not sure how it could be argued otherwise.
Posted by StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Member since Sep 2013
21146 posts
Posted on 10/23/17 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

The last few years were substandard for UF on the field, including all the way back to 2011


Look, Florida isn't where we want it to be.

Right now we're #1 in the SEC, it's most certainly temporary.

https://247sports.com/Season/2018-Football/CompositeTeamRankings?Conference=SEC

But, if we're even close it's impressive. We haven't had the best program for almost seven years, but obviously McElwain's doing something right.

Ironically, the players seem a lot more cognizant than our fans -- many quoting how young our team is when we played LSU/A&M and many saying that they understand.

Wish our own fans were a little less myopic.
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