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re: Arkansas 2020 is Arkansas 2019 with a better turnover margin
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:07 pm to Roger Klarvin
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:07 pm to Roger Klarvin
This a great example of "stats don't lie, but statisticians do"
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Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:07 pm to Todd Greene
quote:
They're creating havooc on defense and not turning it over on offense.
They’ve turned it over 7 times this year, it’s just that the other teams have turned it an incredible 14 times in 4 games. They are still averaging nearly 2 turnovers a game themselves though.
And when they aren’t getting turnovers, the defense is actually below average. Their run defense is legitimately bad (worse than last year through 4 games) and their pass defense is about the same as last year.
Again, outside of TO margin leading to two anomalous wins this is the same team by objective metrics.
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:09 pm to Hawgeye
We own that arse in historical record and they need us to be down for a very long time to catch up.
Since it doesn't look like we will be, and their brinks-truck coaching philosophy is underwhelming so far, they're going through some serious cope.
Since it doesn't look like we will be, and their brinks-truck coaching philosophy is underwhelming so far, they're going through some serious cope.
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:11 pm to Roger Klarvin
How many games of this team have you watched, including last year?
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:11 pm to Hawgeye
quote:
And if Florida doesn’t turn it over against aTm, the Aggies are a 2 loss team.
A&M and Florida each had one turnover in that game, and A&M has superior passing offensive efficiency, rushing offensive efficiency, defensive efficiency and we outgained them by 140 yards. Not only is it NOT comparable at all, you just pointed to an instance where the team you expect to beat clearly outplayed and defeated a top 5 team WITHOUT a beneficial turnover margin.
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:12 pm to Roger Klarvin
I like Pittman. Would trade Gus, Chad and Nix for him.
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:13 pm to Roger Klarvin
quote:
Arkansas 2020 - Look it up, their stats
W - L
3 | 1
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:13 pm to Porcine Human
quote:
How many games of this team have you watched, including last year?
This year? All four
Last year? Ole Miss, CSU, A&M, Auburn, Bama, LSU IIRC
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:14 pm to Roger Klarvin
They did hold OM to 4-16 on third downs. But I agree that turnover margin isn't sustainable. Otoh at least they are taking advantage of it, I think LSU was +7 against MSU and Mizzou and still lost
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:17 pm to Porcine Human
quote:
Our defense is extremely well prepared and is smothering receivers and jumping routes
The defense is playing smart, but they’re also playing almost exclusively cover 2 and cover 3 cloud shell zone and keeping everything in front of them. When they aren’t throwing INTs, teams have moved the ball fairly easily through the air in 5-10 yard increments. And the run defense is not good at all. Odom is betting on teams not being to drive the field in small increments without making mistakes, and it’s worked so far because a couple QBs kept throwing them the ball out of frustration.
And with respect to the defense forcing TOs, half the INTs are considered unforced by advanced metrics (meaning pressure or making a play on a well placed ball were not the cause). Ole Miss and State just threw balls to defenders sitting in their zones in many cases.
Fisher has shown he has no issue handing it off 50 times and taking that 5-6 YPG all the way down the field. He won’t force Mond to throw 50 times in 7-8 man deep zone.
This post was edited on 10/18/20 at 10:20 pm
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:19 pm to Roger Klarvin
You sound concerned
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:22 pm to Latarian
quote:
Latarian
Nice of you to show back up after what, a year? Convenient timing these last few weeks
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:22 pm to Roger Klarvin
quote:
Fisher has shown he has no issue handing it off 50 times and taking that 5-6 YPG all the way down the field. He won’t force Mond to throw 50 times in 7-8 man deep zone.
Florida only ran 56 plays total against A&M bc yall ran so much
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:23 pm to Roger Klarvin
To have watched those games and not be able to honestly admit this team is better is a 100% lie on your behalf. You can make stats say whatever you want to believe but the eye test tells a much different story.
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:24 pm to Roger Klarvin
Auburn rushed for 260 yards. I expect Fisher to run it down their throats
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:25 pm to Mithridates6
quote:
Florida only ran 56 plays total against A&M bc yall ran so much
And we basically went into a shell after getting up two scores on State, because Spiller and Smith were averaging 6+ YPC. I think we threw like 6 total passes after the TD that put us up 21-7.
If Arkansas plays cover 3 shell with 6 in the box all day we’ll run for 300 yards and hold the ball for 40 minutes, because Arkansas can’t stop it without extra defenders and unlike Kiffin/Leach Fisher isn’t beholden to the pass and big plays.
This post was edited on 10/18/20 at 10:27 pm
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:26 pm to Roger Klarvin
Yall are the same every year. Start off well just to have the late season collapse. So if we are the same but different this year and we should have beat yall last year then we will beat yall by 2 TDs this year after we figure in our interceptions Mond is going to throw to us.
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:28 pm to Roger Klarvin
quote:
Nice of you to show back up after what, a year? Convenient timing these last few weeks
Wait you mean when SEC sports started back up again? Yeah weird how that happened isn’t it?
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:28 pm to Roger Klarvin
Yet 3-1
Hot take fail fo-jizzle
Hot take fail fo-jizzle
Posted on 10/18/20 at 10:29 pm to Roger Klarvin
Luckily 2019 Arkansas should have beaten Texas A&M so they won’t have to be much better.
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