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re: Powell: Fed can maintain higher rates for "as long as needed"
Posted on 4/16/24 at 7:24 pm to stout
Posted on 4/16/24 at 7:24 pm to stout
I say all the following as someone who works for one the nations largest wholesalers, if not the largest depending on metric and work intimately with manufacturers. I believe we are in a bit of a vicious cycle where manufacturers are increasing prices because debt is expensive, but there is no scale back in manufacturing because of the lack of shift in consumer behavior. The scale i.e. interest rates needs to tip one way or the other, increase rates high enough to actually drives change in discretionary spending or reduce rates to lower the debt burden on manufacturers, reducing the price of goods (which likely wont happen).
Posted on 4/16/24 at 7:33 pm to GeauxOn
I also truly think the old croons in the FED do not understand the purchasing behaviors of the new generation. Saving money is not a priority for the younger generations as they have pretty well accepted they will be working until they're 70+ with no social security to rely on and they also live in the keeping up with the Jones of social media society that promotes immediate satisfaction of purchases. In short debt is something everyone lives with and we'll figure it out later as long as we can make our monthly payments
Posted on 4/17/24 at 9:20 am to GeauxOn
quote:
The scale i.e. interest rates needs to tip one way or the other, increase rates high enough to actually drives change in discretionary spending or reduce rates to lower the debt burden on manufacturers, reducing the price of goods (which likely wont happen).
I think this is a pretty interesting point. Could the Fed have landed in a no man’s land sweet spot where rates are high enough to contribute to inflation by raising borrowing costs, but not high enough to really suppress consumption.
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