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re: Tennessee Vs Georgia (ESPN - Noon) Prediction Thread

Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:46 pm to
Posted by Damn Good Dawg
Member since Feb 2011
47325 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:46 pm to
I'm feeling my inner-Munson. I think the game is close and UT comes out strong. I do think their defense has improved. OU didn't throttle them on offense (despite having their own talented young back) but instead got after poor Worley. The bye week scares me as it usually does. Worley's improvement gives me a few uneasy feels. The UT RB corp looks improves as well. What really gets me? Their WRs. I know they are hurt there but North and Pig are good and Malone looks to continue the inexplicable UT WR talent despite QB incompetence.

That all said there are a couple things to note. One, I am notoriously pessimistic. I have gotten a lot of frick ups right but I also have missed on a few of Richt's gems. Two, despite having the same OL there one has to speculate that our front 7 will still be a big factor. The bye has helped UT, sure, but the loss to USCe and other games have at least given Pruitt a better idea of Georgia's capabilities.

I think this is a good game and Georgia helps UT fans think Worley is god like we did with Cromp...but ultimately they fall short.

Georgia 37
UT 35
Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9056 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:51 pm to
I just think anyone who predicts a Georgia blowout hasn't paid attention the past few years. It hasn't been close on paper, but it has been close on the field.
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25876 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

I just think anyone who predicts a Georgia blowout hasn't paid attention the past few years. It hasn't been close on paper, but it has been close on the field.

You should know that I almost totally disregard past years when making predictions for individual games. I don't believe past results by themselves are an indicator of future results.
Posted by Damn Good Dawg
Member since Feb 2011
47325 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:56 pm to
My esteemed colleague, crowknowsbest, truly knows best and he made a valid point this year that is relevant. I have kind of an altered view on it where past performances obviously provide some indicator but the truth is that these are two completely different teams and a different year. We haven't scored more than 21 in Columbia since the 90s and we put up 35 this past year and still lost. This Georgia team UT is facing is different than all the other years. 2012 they faced one of our best offenses and a defense that reintroduced suspended players who didn't have their shite straight and that was evident. 2013 UT put our entire offense in a morgue. This year they face an offense that for the first time since I guess 2006 is predominantly run-oriented.

We can't use the whole "UT games are always close" point as anything more than a complement to every other point. That all said, yea, I think this game is close. I think Butch has UT headed in the right direction and is a pretty solid gameday coach. I think Mark Richt likes to kick me in the sack.

ETA: and the sumbitch beat me to it
This post was edited on 9/23/14 at 2:57 pm
Posted by Sandwich
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
5549 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:56 pm to
I expect a good game, but UGA will not be denied in Athens. Our secondary sucks and Worley will have 250 yards and a few scores.. But it won't be enough....He also will have to bleach his jersey after the game.

21-35 Dawgs roll.
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19133 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

You should know that I almost totally disregard past years when making predictions for individual games. I don't believe past results by themselves are an indicator of future results.


Many people with a similar mindset have lost a lot of money over the past few years in this series.
Posted by RoyalAir
Detroit
Member since Dec 2012
5886 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:58 pm to
Yech. The hubris of the UTK fans in this thread is a little bit much.

Georgia wins this game handily. 42-24.
Posted by redandblackattack
Spring Hill florida
Member since Nov 2012
2193 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 2:59 pm to
I agree..with last year being the exception....we were already injured..then crippled. How is your linebacker group?..i see that a volunteer poster gave them an advantage over the uga group...interesting

Imo..this game will remain close going in to the end of the 3rd and uga will pull away and win by 10 to 14....lower than the Vegas spread
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25876 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Many people with a similar mindset have lost a lot of money over the past few years in this series.

Those people misjudged other factors that made those games close. It has nothing to do with that mindset.
Posted by Ericvol2096
Charleston, SC
Member since May 2013
2588 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

It's not better than Clemson's. UGA had no issues with that talent rich front 7 in Athens. Your WR are excellent. Your QB has a pedestrian arm. Both LOS are unproven. Just wait... Your time is coming. Be happy now... Things are looking up for your program and in excited for ya..


Agreed, Clemson's DL is very very good.

I would put our LB's up against theirs though to at least be even.

#1 issue I hope TN coaches are harping on this week is wrapping up. If you get a hand on Gurley, Chubb, Michel, HOLD ON and wait for help. Don't just fly in and try for the big hit just get any piece of them and grab hold.

Also watch out for Worley, he's improved this year and with us having Ethan Wolf back in this game I look for him to have more time to throw than he did against Striker and the OU front seven.
Posted by S.E.C. Crazy
Alabama
Member since Feb 2013
7905 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:02 pm to
I got a feeling Tennessee is going to win this game.
Posted by Ericvol2096
Charleston, SC
Member since May 2013
2588 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

What happened after the second open date last year?


Lost to Vandy in a very bad game. BUT that game we were playing our 4th string QB and our only real WR weapon at the time played one series in North.

The bye week where we were full strength early in the season, which is much more similar to this situation, we beat #4 South Carolina
Posted by Volatile
Tennessee
Member since Apr 2014
5472 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:06 pm to
Overlook our D line at your own peril.

They've surprised the hell out of me.
Posted by Ericvol2096
Charleston, SC
Member since May 2013
2588 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

I'm feeling my inner-Munson. I think the game is close and UT comes out strong. I do think their defense has improved. OU didn't throttle them on offense (despite having their own talented young back) but instead got after poor Worley. The bye week scares me as it usually does. Worley's improvement gives me a few uneasy feels. The UT RB corp looks improves as well. What really gets me? Their WRs. I know they are hurt there but North and Pig are good and Malone looks to continue the inexplicable UT WR talent despite QB incompetence.

That all said there are a couple things to note. One, I am notoriously pessimistic. I have gotten a lot of frick ups right but I also have missed on a few of Richt's gems. Two, despite having the same OL there one has to speculate that our front 7 will still be a big factor. The bye has helped UT, sure, but the loss to USCe and other games have at least given Pruitt a better idea of Georgia's capabilities.

I think this is a good game and Georgia helps UT fans think Worley is god like we did with Cromp...but ultimately they fall short.

Georgia 37
UT 35


Good analysis...one other reason for pass blocking improvement is the return of TE Ethan Wolf who missed the OU game. He is a monster and a huge help in run and pass blocking as well as a great receiver.
Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9056 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

Posted by S.E.C. Crazy
I got a feeling Tennessee is going to win this game.




Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19133 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

Yech. The hubris of the UTK fans in this thread is a little bit much.

Georgia wins this game handily. 42-24.


Makes sense...they are favored by 12.

2013 - UGA (-15) - UGA wins 34-31 OT
2012 - UGA (-17) - UGA wins 51-44
2011 - UGA (-12) - UGA wins 20-12

Georgia has had much better teams, but has played poorly against UT the last 3 years.
Posted by SoGaFan
Member since Jan 2008
5956 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:08 pm to
I seriously don't think it will be close after the first quarter. It will be a noon start-mostly sunny, high if 81- basically the same as last week. I sat on the north stands for the entire game last week and, and did nothing but drink water and cheer. I was so sun-scorched and exhausted by the end of the game, the walk back to the car at my friend's house in 5 points was mind-numbingly long. Now I realize that these kids are in far better shape than I am, but UGA has many more athletically gifted in shape big kids than UT does at the moment. UGA will be liberally substituting. UT will not have that option. That alone will tip the scales in UGA's favor. ANd while a noon start may have been a problem had UGA won the USCe game, they no longer have the luxury to not take any SEC game, especially an East game as anything but serious. The crowd was actually better than I expected last week, and I have no doubt they will be present and loud this week.
Posted by Ericvol2096
Charleston, SC
Member since May 2013
2588 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

Yech. The hubris of the UTK fans in this thread is a little bit much.

Georgia wins this game handily. 42-24.


It's the week before our first SEC game of the season, we are allowed to be excited and optimistic.

If we lose this one and to UF at home next week then you will see us crawl into our sad cave and not come back out again.
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58915 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

Gurley averaged just over 5 yards per carry. Marshall averaged just over 16 yards per carry.


And neither of your running backs are averaging 4.5 yards a carry. Your team YPC is 3.3. Wouldn't you like to have somebody that averages 5.0 and 16.0 YPC?

In contrast our top two running backs are averaging 9.8 and 10.3 YPC against defenses that are stacking the line. Our team YPC is 7.7.
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25876 posts
Posted on 9/23/14 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

Makes sense...they are favored by 12.

Where is this line? All I've seen is around 17
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