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SEC Contenders Toughest Remaining Games

Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:09 am
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50423 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:09 am
Alabama
Date - Opponent - Loc - Win Odds
11/05 - LSU - Away - 76.9%
10/15 - Tennessee - Away - 77.6%

Texas A&M
Date - Opponent - Loc - Win Odds
10/22 - Alabama - Away - 15.9%
11/12 - Mississippi - Home - 67.1%

Tennessee
Date - Opponent - Loc - Win Odds
10/15 - Alabama - Home - 22.4%
11/19 - Missouri - Home - 80.8%

Site link
This post was edited on 10/10/16 at 10:14 am
Posted by David Ricky
Hailing From Parts Unknown
Member since Sep 2015
24214 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:10 am to
I would literally cut my left nut off for a win over Alabama with our remaining schedule.

Thanks A&M
Posted by Warrior Poet
Living Rent-Free in Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2011
7956 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:10 am to
Florida needs to be in there IMO
Posted by Tridentds
Sugar Land
Member since Aug 2011
20395 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:11 am to
Looks accurate and comprehensive.... Nice.
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22157 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:12 am to
quote:

Alabama
Date - Opponent - Loc - Win Odds
11/05 - LSU - Away - 76.9%
10/15 - Tennessee - Away - 77.6%



quote:

Tennessee Date - Opponent - Loc - Win Odds 10/15 - Alabama - Home - 22.4% 11/19 - Missouri - Home - 80.8%


Bad math. They didn't factor in he possibility of a tie.
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50423 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:12 am to
Team Rankings give Florida a 1.6% of winning the conference, but I'll put them in.

Date - Opponent - Loc - Win Odds
11/26 - Florida St - Away - 25.1% (non conference)
10/29 - Georgia - Away - 50.9%
11/05 - Arkansas - Away - 52.2%
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64685 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:12 am to
your FPI expectation for the LSU game is lower than the Ole Miss game right now, just fyi. And the Alabama game is at 29.3%, not 15.9%
LINK
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50423 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:13 am to
This is a different metric. I am not sure how TeamRankings does their projecting, but they were pretty solid for A&M bball last year when I started following it.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55309 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:18 am to
Add florida
Posted by allin2010
Auburn
Member since Aug 2011
18151 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:18 am to
Auburn
Date - Opponent - Loc - Win Odds
11/26 Alabama Away 27.5 (better than the other teams you showed)
10/29 Ole Miss Away 41.6%

11/12 UGA Away 72.4
10/22 Arkie Home 86.9%
11/5 Vandy 91.6%

So your saying there's a chance..
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:19 am to
quote:

Team Rankings give Florida a 1.6% of winning the conference, but I'll put them in.
Need to add auburn then too.
Posted by Camel Menthol
Member since Sep 2016
787 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:20 am to
~80% chance doesnt seem that tough to me

Our toughest remaining games are the playoff semi finals and finals
Posted by pellietigersaint
Tiger Stadium
Member since Aug 2005
19043 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 10:26 am to
metrics n' shite....
Posted by tennfanatic
Greeneville, Tennessee
Member since Nov 2007
2088 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Florida needs to be in there IMO



Florida doesn't deserve to be mentioned, they bitched out of playing, because they were gonna get beat.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62797 posts
Posted on 10/10/16 at 11:22 am to
quote:

11/12 UGA Away 72.4

Wouldn't this equate to about a 10 point spread?
Would Auburn be favored by this much to UGA on the road?
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