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re: RPI Needs Report - The Top 8
Posted on 5/20/16 at 11:00 am to Farmer1906
Posted on 5/20/16 at 11:00 am to Farmer1906
Help me out here, we are currently #8...but there is no way we can reach the top 8 threshold?
Posted on 5/20/16 at 11:06 am to cbi8
Maybe because playing Arkansas is going to cause you to drop even if you win?
I don't know. Seems strange to me, too.
I don't know. Seems strange to me, too.
Posted on 5/20/16 at 11:07 am to cbi8
North Carolina State 5 0.604
South Carolina 6 0.602
Mississippi 7 0.601
Mississippi State 8 0.601
Vanderbilt 9 0.600
Texas Tech 10 0.598
5 thru 10 is separated by 0.006
MSU beating Arkansas dropped them -0.00080.
OM losing to A&M last night raised them up by 0.00195
So its close and you cannot help yourself by beating a bad team.
South Carolina 6 0.602
Mississippi 7 0.601
Mississippi State 8 0.601
Vanderbilt 9 0.600
Texas Tech 10 0.598
5 thru 10 is separated by 0.006
MSU beating Arkansas dropped them -0.00080.
OM losing to A&M last night raised them up by 0.00195
So its close and you cannot help yourself by beating a bad team.
Posted on 5/20/16 at 11:11 am to Farmer1906
quote:
MSU beating Arkansas dropped them -0.00080.
OM losing to A&M last night raised them up by 0.00195
SMH. I guess they'll still be around top 9-12. National seed still seems likely.
Posted on 5/20/16 at 11:28 am to cbi8
quote:
National seed still seems likely.
Very
Posted on 5/20/16 at 11:29 am to Farmer1906
there's some voodoo math going on here actually
I just glanced at everyone from 8 to 17 and only 12 LSU (if they win all 3) has a chance to reach the top 8. Since we're including 8 in that, someone has to have a chance.
I have a general idea on their math and I think it's just they set the current #8 RPI pct as the number to reach. So in this case, 0.601. But none of those teams can reach that since even with wins they go backwards.
It's going to matter who goes backwards fastest. OM needs at least 1 win to get top 8. I think if MSU wins out and OM loses out, MSU will be ahead of them.
I just glanced at everyone from 8 to 17 and only 12 LSU (if they win all 3) has a chance to reach the top 8. Since we're including 8 in that, someone has to have a chance.
I have a general idea on their math and I think it's just they set the current #8 RPI pct as the number to reach. So in this case, 0.601. But none of those teams can reach that since even with wins they go backwards.
It's going to matter who goes backwards fastest. OM needs at least 1 win to get top 8. I think if MSU wins out and OM loses out, MSU will be ahead of them.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 8:16 am to Farmer1906
Current RPI, Team, Wins Needed for Top 8
1 Florida - No more wins needed
4 Texas A&M - No more wins needed
5 South Carolina - No more wins needed
6 Ole Miss - 1 win
7 Vanderbilt - No way to reach the threshold.
9 Mississippi St - No way to reach the threshold.
11 LSU - 2 wins
1 Florida - No more wins needed
4 Texas A&M - No more wins needed
5 South Carolina - No more wins needed
6 Ole Miss - 1 win
7 Vanderbilt - No way to reach the threshold.
9 Mississippi St - No way to reach the threshold.
11 LSU - 2 wins
This post was edited on 5/21/16 at 8:18 am
Posted on 5/21/16 at 8:31 am to Farmer1906
SEC champs needs list
Mississippi State needs one win to be league champ.
Honestly this is all that really matters.
Mississippi State needs one win to be league champ.
Honestly this is all that really matters.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 8:33 am to Al Bundy Bulldog
Isn't there already a thread for that? This is obviously something different, but once again State just can't not be melty.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 9:52 am to Farmer1906
It seems we won't end up with a top 8 rpi, but we're pretty much a lock for a national seed.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 10:05 am to cbi8
quote:
quote:
MSU beating Arkansas dropped them -0.00080.
OM losing to A&M last night raised them up by 0.00195
SMH. I guess they'll still be around top 9-12. National seed still seems likely.
You don't have to be top 8 to be a national seed
Posted on 5/21/16 at 11:20 am to SouthOfHere
quote:
You don't have to be top 8 to be a national seed
Try reading.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 11:58 am to Farmer1906
So Vandy is 7 RPI but won't finish top 8 after today? Who are the 2 teams that pass them today?
Posted on 5/21/16 at 12:08 pm to Vandyrone
quote:
So Vandy is 7 RPI but won't finish top 8 after today? Who are the 2 teams that pass them today?
Teams that still can or already have per the report. This report makes assumtions. So the results of past opponents will alter this after each game.
UF
LSU
UL
Miami
OM
NCST
USC
A&M
Posted on 5/21/16 at 12:18 pm to Farmer1906
I can see how the report sort of falls apart here at the end the season. Hard to gauge a dynamic, moving target.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 12:19 pm to Vandyrone
It can't predict the outcome of every game.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 12:24 pm to Farmer1906
Exactly. When it comes down to individual cases here at the end of the season, the limitations really show. It's a great tool otherwise.
This post was edited on 5/21/16 at 12:32 pm
Posted on 5/21/16 at 8:01 pm to Farmer1906
Can we get an update, Farmer1906?
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