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Returning production for SEC teams in 2022…

Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:49 am
Posted by Dude20
Member since Oct 2020
541 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:49 am
NIL and recruiting aside…..Is this the biggest potential indicator for how the season plays out? Experience vs Talent?

And I’m curious…Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?

1) Miss. State - 78%
2) Tennessee - 75%
3) South Carolina - 73%
4) Kentucky - 68%
5) Alabama - 67%
6) Vanderbilt - 67%
7) Missouri - 66%
8) Auburn - 65%
9) Arkansas - 64%
10) LSU - 64%
11) Ole Miss - 60%
12) Georgia - 59%
13) Texas A&M - 56%
14) Florida - 55%

LINK
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11221 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:51 am to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


Because they're at the point where people expect them to reload like Bama
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46663 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


Because they play in an extremely weak division and recruit at a high level. They’re basically the Clemson of the SEC East.
This post was edited on 7/8/22 at 11:53 am
Posted by TrumpedUpVol
Member since Sep 2020
584 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:52 am to
quote:

And I’m curious…Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


What they return is great and the missing production is being replaced by blue chip talent.
Posted by jcolding41
Member since Sep 2015
5694 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:10 pm to
Let’s do some historical analysis.

SECRant 2021 rewind

quote:

OVERALL (Natl Rank)
1. Ole Miss (22)
2. LSU (30)
3. Mississippi St (34)
4. Arkansas (39)
5. Auburn (54)
6. Missouri (56)
7. Vanderbilt (78)
8. Georgia (92)
9. Kentucky (98)
10. Texas A&M (99)
11. Florida (108)
12. Alabama (110)
13. Tennessee (117)
14. South Carolina (124)

OFFENSE (Natl Rank)
1. Georgia (20)
2. Missouri (27)
3. LSU (30)
4. Ole Miss (44)
5. Vanderbilt (50)
6. Auburn (60)
7. Mississippi State (62)
8. Arkansas (67)
9. Kentucky (87)
10. South Carolina (102)
11. Tennessee (103)
12. Texas A&M (120)
13. Florida (125)
14. Alabama (126)

DEFENSE (Natl Rank)
1. Arkansas (15)
2. Mississippi State (16)
3. Ole Miss (20)
4. Alabama (41)
5. LSU (44)
6. Texas A&M (57)
7. Auburn (62)
8. Florida (67)
9. Missouri (89)
10. Kentucky (97)
11. Vanderbilt (102)
12. Tennessee (107)
13. South Carolina (124)
14. Georgia (126)
This post was edited on 7/8/22 at 12:14 pm
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
33042 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


This is about where we were heading into 2021.

Some say we were pretty good in 2021
Posted by TigerBait225
New Orleans
Member since May 2006
406 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:12 pm to
Hendon Hooker is going to take the Vols to Atlanta
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
33042 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:19 pm to
Just like Dobbs did.
Posted by TouchdownTony
Central Alabama
Member since Apr 2016
9703 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


The east is weak. Florida will be lucky to be .500 this year, South carolina is south carolina, Kentucky is kentucky, Mizzou, meh, Vandy, nevermind. UT is the biggest obstacle. That game will mean more this year than it has since about 2007.
UGA will take a step back, how big will that step back be is the question and UT is wanting to answer it. Georgia basically had an NFL defense last season.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
64161 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:21 pm to
8/11 starters on defense are in the NFL now from UGA's team last year. The last time that happened was going from 2012/2013 with Todd Grantham running the show. Grantham was not able to reload and relied on many freshmen and redshirt freshmen in 2013 and it was awful. This time around, Kirby is running the show and has a lot more talent to reload than Richt or Grantham ever did. Can the defense be "generational" again? Probably not, otherwise we'd have to redefine what "generational" means.

The offense, however, shouldn't miss a beat. The offense could be even better than last year, to offset the defense not being quite as good, but still in the elite class.

I'm not predicting another NC, but UGA is still the clear favorite to win the East again.
Posted by jcolding41
Member since Sep 2015
5694 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:22 pm to
UGA was 92 nationally in returning production last year, 89 this year.

Needless to say, statistics don’t equate to on-field success. Hell, Bama was last in the SEC for returning offensive production last year, look how that played out.
This post was edited on 7/8/22 at 12:24 pm
Posted by Krampus
Member since Nov 2018
5207 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:23 pm to
Useless stat without additional info.

QBs account for a huge amount of offensive production whether they're good or not-so-good.

Any team that replaces a QB will take a huge hit in returning production. The question then is are you replacing a good QB with a bad one, or a bad one with a good one?
Posted by DAWG0829
Dallas,Ga
Member since Oct 2012
1207 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:23 pm to
UGA will be fine what we lost was experience the talent is close to the same , we just need to get the young ones going
Posted by STATEofMIND
Member since Oct 2012
4232 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:24 pm to
If we can learn to be consistent then we will surprise many.
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
33042 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

Georgia basically had an NFL defense last season.


Our d is always loaded with NFL talent and that is not changing for this year.
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
49331 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?

Because they have for every year since 2017 minus 2020 which was a really fricking weird season for everyone minus Bama
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25886 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

And I’m curious…Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?

Because Georgia has way better players than the other East teams
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11422 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:49 pm to
Other than

Georgia
Alabama
Kentucky
Ole Miss
Arkansas

The rest of the teams want to be much better than last year. If you were 7-6 or 6-7 in 2021, do you really want the same players playing?

Experience counts for something, but if it is mediocre or bad experience, it is not really wanted.
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
33042 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

UGA was 92 nationally in returning production last year, 89 this year.


Nice
Posted by JayAg
Member since Jun 2021
10282 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 10:06 pm to
For us, we had several 5th year seniors too, we have like 2 more cycles where the players have 5 years of eligibility? That’s a dynamic that gets forgotten about, reliable 22 year olds help
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