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Predicted SEC Basketball records according to warrennolan.com

Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:28 am
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31019 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:28 am
Kentucky: 25-6, 15-3 RPI 5
Florida: 25-6, 15-3 RPI 1
Arkansas: 24-7, 13-5 RPI 25
Ole Miss: 21-10, 12-6 RPI 66
South Carolina: 21-9, 11-7 RPI 47
Auburn: 20-11, 10-8 RPI 90
Georgia: 19-11, 10-8 RPI 46
LSU: 18-12, 9-9 RPI 108
Texas A&M: 17-13, 8-10 RPI 115
Vanderbilt: 14-17, 7-11 RPI 150
Alabama: 13-17, 6-12 RPI 215
Miss State: 11-19, 3-15 RPI 278
Tennessee: 10-20, 4-14 RPI 239
Missouri: 7-23, 1-17 RPI 322


IF this is the case at the end of the year, the SEC could get 5 teams in with Auburn and Georgia likely being on the bubble, depending on end of the year SOS and RPI. Auburns predicted RPI is 90 and Georgia is predicted to be at 46. Predictor wise, UGA would be the one closest to getting in.

Six teams in for the league would be a good year IMO.

Also interesting seeing that the predictor also thinks Kentucky, and Arkansas will lose their games to Kansas and Oklahoma State in the SEC/Big12 Challenge.
This post was edited on 12/22/16 at 6:36 am
Posted by Nukeese
Member since Nov 2016
1269 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:31 am to
Tennessee will not be 10-20 at seasons end, the SEC as a whole has looked weak and we've played well against a stacked OOC (albeit not winning anything of note)
Posted by AUbagman
LA
Member since Jun 2014
10569 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:35 am to
I think Auburn flips positions with Ole Miss.. Pre-Wiley, I wouldn't have said that. But having that physical post presence seems it's going to sway Auburn in the right direction moving forward. I actually think Auburn makes the tournament now, been a long time since I've said that.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31019 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:38 am to
The predictor has AU with one more loss OOC and I have to feel like it is to TCU and not UCONN. If AU can go against the predictor and win the TCU game, that puts AU at 21-10 with a win over a predicted RPI 31 TCU which would be a big boost to your resume.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:39 am to
SEC getting in 5 is laughable. 3 isn't even guaranteed. Non conference performance too poor.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31019 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:46 am to
quote:

SEC getting in 5 is laughable. 3 isn't even guaranteed. Non conference performance too poor.


The teams in the top of the league have won games OOC.

Kentucky: UNC, Mich State, Valpo
Florida: Seton Hall, Miami
Arkansas: Houston, UTA, Ft. Wayne, Texas
South Carolina: Michigan, Syracuse
Auburn: Texas Tech, Oklahoma
LSU: Houston

Unlike years past, its not just Kentucky that has notches in their proverbial NCAA resume belts this year.

The thinking that the SEC is bad in basketball this year is mainly coming from fans of programs who have no big wins or "resume building" wins this season.
Posted by AUbagman
LA
Member since Jun 2014
10569 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:47 am to
Yeah, I'm assuming it's TCU. A loss to Uconn would pretty much guarantee the NIT.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31019 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:49 am to
Maybe and maybe not. UCONN the last few years has been one of those that gets hot mid season and goes on a winning streak to close out the season.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:51 am to
Are we really going to count Syracuse, Texas and Oklahoma as quality wins?

Syracuse lost by 30 at home last night to a really bad St John's team.

Texas and Oklahoma are the 2 worst teams in the Big 12
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31019 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:53 am to
Even if you don't count them, the league still has quality wins spread out amongst the teams.

The SEC is rated as the 5th best conference right now, ahead of the Pac 12 and the Atlantic 10. That is a first in a while for the league to be ranked that high in basketball.

So again, the league is not down. It is up, compared to recent seasons.
Posted by lowspark12
nashville, tn
Member since Aug 2009
22370 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:55 am to
The league is more evenly balanced than years past.... there's not a ton of separation between 2 through 12. State and Mizzou are junk... But everybody else is pretty even (except for UK).
Posted by FishFearMe
United States
Member since Jul 2015
7196 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:59 am to
Op your list is shite.
Posted by Gary Busey
Member since Dec 2014
33277 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:01 am to
How is it his fault that's what the website predicted?
Posted by AUbagman
LA
Member since Jun 2014
10569 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:17 am to
quote:

Are we really going to count Syracuse, Texas and Oklahoma as quality wins?



As far as Oklahoma goes, I think the W will look better towards the end of the season. Their roster is inexperienced, so they're definitely wildly inconsistent - losing to Northern Iowa then beating Clemson..
This post was edited on 12/22/16 at 7:18 am
Posted by MeatPants
Member since Nov 2015
8853 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:22 am to
Hawgeye

I love your interest in college hoops. One of the great sports out there

But you are supremely overrating some of these out of conference wins. Syracuse for example is a freaking terrible team. So is texas. So is Oklahoma, Houston, etc

Seton hall and Miami are good though. That's it
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31019 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:34 am to
quote:

But you are supremely overrating some of these out of conference wins. Syracuse for example is a freaking terrible team. So is texas. So is Oklahoma, Houston, etc


Texas will be a good team by seasons end. They have a lot of young guys, but are really talented. They just beat a decent UAB team by 36 points. They'll be in the mix for an NCAA bid in the Big 12.

Oklahoma isn't bad. They have close losses to quality teams and beat Clemson. Like Texas, they're young and will get better as the season moves along. Again, they could be in the mix for an NCAA bid.

Houston is far from a bad team. Their two losses are to LSU and Arkansas. They are one of the favorites in the American to win the league. Thats certainly not bad to have on your resume.

Syracuse can never be counted out. They may start the year out slow and then win their league tourney. I mean, on January 9th of last season they were just 9-7 overall then made a run to the Final Four.
Posted by UMRealist
Member since Feb 2013
35360 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:48 am to
21-10 is probably accurate. Should be a pretty good squad.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
21813 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:49 am to
First, he doesn't have our final record correct as he's missing a game.

Secondly, if we go 10-8 in conference, and don't lose 1st round of SECT, we will be dancing this year.

I don't think we are a team that should be in the tourney, but that's how shitty the SEC is this year. Yante shouldn't be 2nd in the league in scoring and rebounds. He's good, but not elite
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31019 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:51 am to
quote:

First, he doesn't have our final record correct as he's missing a game.


Games against Non D1 teams do not count. So the Morehouse win isn't factored in your record.

quote:

Secondly, if we go 10-8 in conference, and don't lose 1st round of SECT, we will be dancing this year


I didn't say Georgia would be out, but be on the bubble with his predicted RPI of 46. Depends on who the wins are against and who the losses come to going forward.
This post was edited on 12/22/16 at 7:54 am
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
6736 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:55 am to
Tennessee is better than that and I don't think Ole Miss is that good. And how the hell would Georgia have that kind of RPI? Who have they beaten? The BC loss is going to strangle Auburn's RPI but I think they are good enough to be a tourney team. I think LSU could be a surprise team in conference play. They definitely have the talent. The coach just has to get them to play hard every night and commit on the defensive end.
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