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re: FSU opens as a 9.5pt Favorite over Auburn

Posted on 12/8/13 at 12:32 pm to
Posted by davesdawgs
Georgia - Class of '75
Member since Oct 2008
20307 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 12:32 pm to
I think when the odds-makers start to think about the fact that Auburn's offense has run all over the best defenses in the SEC, that the SEC has won the NC the last 7 years and that FSU really hasn't played against any decent offenses other than Clemson or defenses other than VT, the point spread will start closing leading up to this game.
Posted by dash-right-93-berlin
Midway KY
Member since Jan 2006
988 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 12:51 pm to
Heisman winners are like 0 fer in BCS games unless they play for sec team like cam cam
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 12:54 pm to
Don't forget the New Orleans Saints own Mark Ingram.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 12:55 pm to
Also, it's down to 8.5 or 8 some places.
Posted by William Stephenson
Mare Liberum
Member since Oct 2013
556 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:12 pm to
Per R.J. Bell of pregame.com, the Las Vegas Hilton opened Florida State as a full seven-point favorite over Auburn.

Florida State opens up as 7-point favorite vs. Auburn

In 2001--the last time FSU was in the BCS title game they were an 11.5 pt favorite over Oklahoma. However, Oklahoma won 13-2.

BCS Championship Game--Betting Line History
This post was edited on 12/8/13 at 4:51 pm
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145106 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:13 pm to
Id take FSU
This post was edited on 12/8/13 at 3:14 pm
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
108098 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:14 pm to
I mean, last night's game was pretty awful. Florida State has been doing well, but hopefully Auburn overcomes it.
Posted by StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Member since Sep 2013
21146 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

Every year we see the same crap. Teams that blow out cream puffs for 13 weeks and then think for some reason it makes them a great team.


I still remember when Oklahoma was going to post 60 points on Florida.

Texas was going to cream Bama.

Ohio State was going to run all over Florida.

Ohio State was going to punch LSU in the mouth.

Oregon was going to fly with ease.

Okay, the hype for Notre Dame wasn't there but yeah, everyone gets the point.

This is exactly what the SEC has been hearing for the past few years.
Posted by laxtonto
Member since Mar 2011
1912 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:37 pm to
I think the thing people are forgetting and Vegas is not is that unlike many of the other cupcakes that ran through an easy schedule to get to a title game, FSU has had extremely successful run at recruiting both lines the last 5 years.

Add good lines to a very good QB/Receiver core and I can easily see why the opening lines are as high as what they were.
Posted by Pavoloco83
Acworth Ga. too many damn dawgs
Member since Nov 2013
15347 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:38 pm to
Im all in. I Like our chances. AU always does better when we are the road dog.
Posted by Agforlife
Somewhere in the Brazos Valley
Member since Nov 2012
20102 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:40 pm to
That's free money I mean if BC could run all over FSU the Gus Bus is gonna roll.
Posted by Legend13
Driving a titleist
Member since Nov 2011
4079 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:41 pm to
IMO FSU beats AU by at least 14...JMO
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36107 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

I'm a believer in this FSU team, but I still think they're underselling Auburn.



should be a great game

Auburn wins if Winston plays relatively poorly again
Posted by Bench McElroy
Member since Nov 2009
33925 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:45 pm to
It's a very similar line to the Bama/Florida SEC Championship Game in 2008. A ton of Bama fans complained about the line and said they weren't getting any respect. Well, it was a close battle until the fourth quarter when Florida pulled away to win by 11 points and ended up covering the spread. There's a reason why FSU is a 9.5 point favorite just like the bookies knew what they were doing when they made Florida a 10.5 point favorite in the 2008 SEC Championship Game.
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30593 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

I'm a believer in this FSU team, but I still think they're underselling Auburn. Nobody can stop this offense, I'm a believer in this FSU team, but I still think they're underselling Auburn. Nobody can stop this offense, and I think it's going to take an off season to figure out how to.

and I think it's going to take an off season to figure out how to.

A dominant nose guard (Terrence Cody mode) would knock the wheels off that bus. Timmy Jernigan can do it.
Posted by finestfirst79
Vicksburg, Mississippi
Member since Nov 2012
11646 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 3:54 pm to
I think Auburn wins. Their running game isn't a fluke, and it has improved all year. FSU has not played an OL even close to what Auburn brings. Add in Tre Mason and you have a nightmare on defense.

On the other hand, Auburn's pass defense is a bit... suspect, as Mizzou demonstrated. But those are low-probability plays compared to Mason running for 6+ every time he gets the ball.

I don't think it will be a blowout, but Auburn wins by 10+. War Damn Eagle, and all that.
Posted by SoGaFan
Member since Jan 2008
5956 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 4:12 pm to
Seriously, people, I simply despise Auburn and have all the bias in the world, but I am not a big fan of the FSU program either as they are an equally dirty program in many respects.

However, take a look at the starting and second team guys for each team, and please tell me where Au has a huge advantage anywhere.

As the Bama man said, given a month to prepare for the rushing attack that is really just a variant of the wing T, FSU' D gains the advantage there as well.

Their schedule was crap, but they pretty much bombed everyone on it. Even when they played like crap against BC, there was still no doubt who was going to win.
Posted by Bags of Milk
The Sunny Beaches of Canada
Member since Feb 2013
3322 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 4:15 pm to
Auburn ran all over Alabama, I like the Bus and 10 points any day of the week
Posted by SoGaFan
Member since Jan 2008
5956 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 4:17 pm to
A month will make all the difference, and FSU's DL is more athletic than Bama's overall.
Posted by Zamoro10
Member since Jul 2008
14743 posts
Posted on 12/8/13 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

FSU did destroy Clemson.


First of all - FSU had a mediocre schedule but they beat everyone pretty much 50-7.

They showed the nation that they were in another class of athletes against #3 Clemson - a Clemson team SEC teams struggled with - FSU blew them out of the water...the game was over at halftime.

FSU has NFL talent all over the field - reminds me of the old Miami teams.

Auburn is a nice story.
This post was edited on 12/8/13 at 4:22 pm
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