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re: Does the SEC want the Sooners?

Posted on 6/27/15 at 6:04 pm to
Posted by Porky
Member since Aug 2008
19103 posts
Posted on 6/27/15 at 6:04 pm to
quote:

Does the SEC want the Sooners?

It doesn't matter. I can't see Texas or OU ever wanting to compete in the SEC. It's too tough.
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68536 posts
Posted on 6/27/15 at 7:30 pm to
quote:

Nothing against Mizzou and TAM because they are competitive, but I was happy with 12 teams and 14 is livable. Hell 16 teams is getting crazy unless there is a pod system or something.


Actually adding two teams to the west could solve a lot of problems. Send bama and auburn to the east, get rid of perma opponents. Go to a 10 game sec schedule. Still would give every one 7 home games and you can still schedule your 2 shitty directional schools.
Posted by murfvol
Member since Apr 2015
137 posts
Posted on 6/27/15 at 7:33 pm to
OU is a great program in every respect. However, expansion is about money.

While the Sooners are a national draw, money right now comes from carriage fees. North Carolina and Virginia are among the 10 most populous, and 10 fastest growing states.

There's a ton of cable money to be made from them, and Oklahoma can't touch it. For that matter, only about three SEC states can (Texas, Florida, & Georgia).
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
54630 posts
Posted on 6/27/15 at 10:02 pm to
quote:

quote:

OU_Fan

Much love Arkansas.


You do realize OU has the ultimate FU to Utx right?

#1 Ditch OK State
#2 Pair with KU
#3 Ditch KSU
#4 Join SEC as a pair (OU +KU)

Everybody says FU to Utx
OU recruits TX as SEC
UA recruits TX as SEC
KU recruits TX as SEC
MU recruits TX as SEC
TAMU recruits TX as SEC
LSU recruits TX as SEC

Utx must recruit TX as B12, B1G, or PAC
Posted by semotruman
Member since Nov 2011
23179 posts
Posted on 6/27/15 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

#4 Join SEC as a pair (OU +KU)

quote:

SEC

quote:

+KU

And people thought Mizzou wasn't a good fit? Really? kU?? Oh, cheese. Just when I was really agreeing with you, too.























But still ...
I can't imagine this ever happening.
This post was edited on 6/27/15 at 10:56 pm
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
54630 posts
Posted on 6/27/15 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

Just when I was really agreeing with you, too.


Semo, KU vs Utx, KU is the lesser evil for the bigger good. You guys will have to take one for the team to keep Utx out.

If it is any consolation, UK should continue to dominate KU so that is a positive.
Posted by Mizzou4ever
Kansas City, Mo
Member since Nov 2011
15229 posts
Posted on 6/27/15 at 11:09 pm to
If the Big 12 fails, ku is likely heading to the B1G. They are a much better fit there, and it would be humiliating for them to lower themselves by joining the SEC. Trust me on this Grits, their nickname for us (Mizzou) is Slavers, so they couldn't handle being in a conference full of "slavers".
This post was edited on 6/27/15 at 11:11 pm
Posted by murfvol
Member since Apr 2015
137 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 6:26 am to
Yeah, I'll almost take SEMO over KU. The Big 10 isn't taking them either, but if they do, that would be great.

If OU isn't an SEC target unless the conference goes beyond 16 (please no), and they shouldn't be, KU certainly isn't.

Posted by tedmarkuson
texas
Member since Feb 2015
2592 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 6:42 am to
jackie sherrill said back in 2012 that ultimately he saw the sec going to 20 teams. adding ou, okie state, and texas. which would facilitate 3 more teams in the east which i think the best bets would be both north carolina schools and clemson.


that would give us 4 5 team pods with a cbs broadcast game in the east at the traditional 2 pm time slot and a 7 pm night game in the west broadcast most likely on fox.


and frankly that would give us the best geographical continuity of all the conferences and moves us towards 4 twenty team conferences. while only 60 or so teams make money a 64 team power 4 conference model leaves a lot a people out in the cold, once you move to a 4 super conference model every one should make money.
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
54630 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 7:04 am to
quote:

once you move to a 4 super conference model every one should make money.


Lets say you have 4 conferences with 20 each, thats 80 schools

Now lets say you have 4 conferences with just 60 schools total

Then say the TV folks will max out at 2 billion (be it 60 or 80)


2,000,000,000 / 80 = 25.0 million per team
2,000,000,000 / 60 = 33.5 million per team

What do you really think will happen? Top conferences add more mouths to feed, or they have fewer making more money?



In the end it will be about the money no matter how many scenarios for 20 or 24 team conferences get bandied about.
Posted by tedmarkuson
texas
Member since Feb 2015
2592 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 7:40 am to
first of all under my scenario not all conferences would be created equal, and remember the nfl is a broadcast league as is the sec especially before the sec network. still the sec on cbs is the only college game guaranteed a coast to coast broadcast. all other games are only guaranteed regional.

getting two broadcast networks would be huge.

as to the 80 team super conference you'd be adding a defacto 16 team play off which by itself would be very lucrative.

i don't think anybody would under any super conference scenario expect equal revenue sharing by the four individual conferences. with the exception of the possibly the conference play-offs.
Posted by Mizzou Mule
St. Charles County, Missou-rah
Member since Sep 2014
3072 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 7:49 am to
quote:

#1 Ditch OK State


For about the fifth time. They are a package deal only. T-Boone and the OK legislature will NEVER (big word) allow this to happen.

Mizzou4ever covered the ku situation. No way to the SEC.

Biggest losers in realignment are ISU and KSU.
Posted by tedmarkuson
texas
Member since Feb 2015
2592 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 8:00 am to
quote:

Biggest losers in realignment are ISU and KSU.


big 10 along with ku.

the real question is what happens to the private school "wanna be's" like tcu and baylor.

and the barely "hangers on" like boise's and texas tech


we do have some examples of what happens to schools who experience brief golden ages and jump up and build big stadiums

rice had an 70,000 seat stadium


As originally built, Rice Stadium seated 70,000, the second-largest stadium in the Southwest Conference (behind the Cotton Bowl). Rice Stadium was built before professional football came to Houston, and 70,000 fans might be expected to attend a college football game there. However, Rice found it increasingly difficult from the 1960s onward to compete against larger schools. In 2006, the end zones seats were covered with tarps, reducing seating capacity to 50,000. However, in the event of larger-than-expected crowds, it can easily be expanded to its full capacity, which is larger than the total number of Rice's living and deceased alumni. The average attendance for Rice football games in Rice Stadium in 13,353 in 2007.[7] For the 2008 season, average home attendance was 20,179.[8] During the 2009 season, average home attendance dipped once again to 13,552 per game.[9] However, for the 2012 season it was 20,325.[10]

Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
54630 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 9:02 am to
quote:

i don't think anybody would under any super conference scenario expect equal revenue sharing by the four individual conferences.


I am not saying equal, you missed the point.

I am saying the more mouths you feed the smaller the slices get. What is the incentive for this to happen?

Look at this another way, they keep expanding teams in NCAA basketball but it is not increasing attendance. Used to be you went to NCAA tourney the venues were filled but now days the upper decks are empty. You just do not see it because TV is aware and shooting low camera angles. The money is still made on the Sweet 16 and Final Four.

For all the folks thinking football will go to 8 team or 16 team playoffs they are forgetting the added games will be hard to fill the seats. The reason for this is the dynamics outside of winning and losing. If you are a school like Ohio State or Texas A&M and you have 50,000 kids going through your school a year you reproducing lots of living alumni. If you are a fringe school in the 60 - 80 school group discussed in the post above you may be sending 10,000 kids through your school per year. Math gets pretty simple as to the pool who can travel and fill your seats.

Did you watch the PAC CCG this year? It is a defacto playoff game yet the place was empty for such an event. When the B1G did their initial B1G CCG they were paying people to sit in the seats so it did not look so empty. Put another way, schools already in the P5 are not pulling their weight and drag the $$$$ down yet you want to add 20 more? How crazy is that?

The SEC is unique in that the south is rabid about sports. The B1G has history and population centers. After these 2, the drop off gets huge for the other P5's on their ability to draw. Look at this LINK and look at the schools in that 60 - 80 range and look at how low those numbers are. Viewed another way, What teams in that range can you see supporting a 75K seat stadium? In the age of big time college sports, the operant word is Big!
Posted by tedmarkuson
texas
Member since Feb 2015
2592 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 9:33 am to
i agree completely, life still might not be a bed of roses for those schools in that 60-80 range.

but let's not forget ultimately what we're talking about here is the opposite of what's happened in basketball.

we're talking about decreasing the universe of major college football from 130 plus teams with more coming every year to a hard fixed 80 teams, and you'd assume those 80 teams would expand the number of scholarships given out by those 80 schools and ultimately attract the best athletes.
Posted by gatordmb89
Member since Dec 2009
30458 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 9:37 am to
I don't really want to add any other Big 12 teams.

Give me Va. Tech and Virginia together. Or NC and NCST.
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
54630 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 10:09 am to
Addendum from post above : SEC in BOLD and B1G are underlined

90K = 105K schools
(10) = Ohio State, Texas A&M, Michigan, LSU, Penn State, Alabama, Tennessee, Texas, Georgia, and Nebraska

70K - 89K schools
(11) = Auburn, Florida, Oklahoma, Florida State, South Carolina, Notre Dame, Clemson, Wisconsin, UCLA, Michigan State, and Southern Cal

55K - 69K schools
(14) = Iowa, Arkansas, Missouri, Washington, Ole Miss, Virginia Tech, Mississippi State, Texas Tech, Kentucky, Oregon, Arizona State, BYU, West Virginia, and North Carolina




******** 13 of 14 SEC schools are above this line, and 7 of 14 B1G schools are ********
******** 5 of 12 PAC / 4 of 14 ACC / 4 of 10 B12 / 2 of 4 IND are above this line ********




50K - 54K schools
(8) = North Carolina State, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Louisville, Miami, Iowa State, Arizona, and Rutgers

40K - 49K schools
(14) = Georgia Tech, Minnesota, Stanford, California, Maryland, Baylor, Utah, ECU, TCU, Oregon State, Indiana, Illinois, Pittsburgh, and Syracuse

34K - 39K schools
(11) = Virginia, Northwestern, UCF, Colorado, Purdue, Fresno State, Boston College, Army, Vanderbilt, Kansas, and Memphis





******** 14 of 14 SEC schools are above this line, and 14 of 14 B1G schools are ********
******** 11 of 12 PAC / 12 of 14 ACC / 10 of 10 B12 / 3 of 4 IND are above this line ********
******** 61 of 64 P5 schools are ABOVE this line : 95.31% meet 34K threshold ********

At this point, 68 schools have been listed, the schools below take you to 80. How many of these look like they can pull their own weight in a P5 conference?

Here are the next 12 schools on the list
33K = Boise State
33K = Navy
32K = San Diego State
31K = Washington State (already in the PAC)
31K = USF
29K = Cincinnati
28K = UTEP
28K = Houston
28K = Air Force
28K = UTSA
27K = Uconn
27K = Marshall

Also at 27K, Hawaii / Duke (ACC) / Wake Forest (ACC) / Colorado State
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
54630 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 10:20 am to
quote:

we're talking about decreasing the universe of major college football from 130 plus teams with more coming every year to a hard fixed 80 teams


If you look at that list above, you could compress it to four 12 team conferences and accomplish 95% of real D1 college football. Schools like Wake Forest and Washington State are probably safe but they are already dead weight.

quote:

you'd assume those 80 teams would expand the number of scholarships given out by those 80 schools and ultimately attract the best athletes.


I would say you could do it with half that number and hit most of the talent needed to fill the pros rosters.

Basically what is now D1 football could easily split into 2 divisions of about 64 teams each. The upper division would be your P5 (or P4) teams and the lower division would be your current Gang of 5 schools. The IVY schools ruled what the first 50 years of college football yet none play D1 ball now. Somewhere a smart person said sports money was better used for education and none of them are hurting for going that route.
Posted by Big Moe
Chicago
Member since Feb 2013
3989 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 10:43 am to
I want Texas, purely for the Aggie meltdown
Posted by Mizzou Mule
St. Charles County, Missou-rah
Member since Sep 2014
3072 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

I want Texas, purely for the Aggie meltdown


Add Mizzou and myself.

After about 2 years of texass, add the rest of the SEC. Mark my words.
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