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Ark vs Auburn game week and prediction discussion
Posted on 10/19/16 at 10:44 am
Posted on 10/19/16 at 10:44 am
Arky fans are unbearable on the Rant. I think they've taken the Cowbells' mantle as the new grinders.
Offensive Stat Comparison
Stat ------------------ ARK -------- AUB
Yards/Play ----------- 5.4 ---------- 5.9
Points/Play-------- 0.407 ------ 0.395
Rush Play------ % 53.81 - % 66.80%
Pass Play------ % 46.19 - % 33.20%
Completion----- % 61.88 - % 68.92%
3D Conv--------- % 42.35 - % 47.25%
RZ Scoring----- % 78.79 - % 81.25%
Defensive Stat Comparison
Stat ---------------------- ARK --------- AUB
Opp Yards/Play --------- 6.4 --------- 4.9
Opp Points/Play------ 0.476 ------ 0.226
Opp Completion---- % 56.48 - % 55.28%
Opp 3D Conv-------- % 48.72 - % 31.52%
Opp RZ Scoring---- % 82.61 - % 68.18%
I think the most telling stat is that Ark is #125 in the country in defense/rushing ypc
and we're #10 in country in offense/rushing ypg.
Interesting Stat: PPG
#39 - Auburn - 32.3
#40 - Arkansas - 32
Our two losses skew that number a bit and Arkansas has one more game than we do.
If we continue to play well offensively in the RZ, limit penalties/mistakes/negative plays, and are able to pound the ball with KJ, KP and ST, we should win this game.
Playing at home should be a huge advantage.
My only concern is the team starting slowly after coming off a bye. When I watched the OM game, I wonder if that's what was wrong with Kelly - he looked bad.
Prediction:
AU - 34
Ark - 24
Offensive Stat Comparison
Stat ------------------ ARK -------- AUB
Yards/Play ----------- 5.4 ---------- 5.9
Points/Play-------- 0.407 ------ 0.395
Rush Play------ % 53.81 - % 66.80%
Pass Play------ % 46.19 - % 33.20%
Completion----- % 61.88 - % 68.92%
3D Conv--------- % 42.35 - % 47.25%
RZ Scoring----- % 78.79 - % 81.25%
Defensive Stat Comparison
Stat ---------------------- ARK --------- AUB
Opp Yards/Play --------- 6.4 --------- 4.9
Opp Points/Play------ 0.476 ------ 0.226
Opp Completion---- % 56.48 - % 55.28%
Opp 3D Conv-------- % 48.72 - % 31.52%
Opp RZ Scoring---- % 82.61 - % 68.18%
I think the most telling stat is that Ark is #125 in the country in defense/rushing ypc
and we're #10 in country in offense/rushing ypg.
Interesting Stat: PPG
#39 - Auburn - 32.3
#40 - Arkansas - 32
Our two losses skew that number a bit and Arkansas has one more game than we do.
If we continue to play well offensively in the RZ, limit penalties/mistakes/negative plays, and are able to pound the ball with KJ, KP and ST, we should win this game.
Playing at home should be a huge advantage.
My only concern is the team starting slowly after coming off a bye. When I watched the OM game, I wonder if that's what was wrong with Kelly - he looked bad.
Prediction:
AU - 34
Ark - 24
This post was edited on 10/19/16 at 12:43 pm
Posted on 10/19/16 at 11:39 am to atlau
quote:
My only concern is the team starting slowly after coming off a bye. When I watched the OM game, I wonder if that's what was wrong with Kelly - he looked bad.
I have a feeling that the defense is going to come out hot. Matthews was pretty vocal in his disappointment in the latter part of the State game.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 11:42 am to atlau
30
17
Good guys
17
Good guys
This post was edited on 10/19/16 at 11:43 am
Posted on 10/19/16 at 11:52 am to Jyrdis
31-20
Carlton Davis with a pick 6.
Carlton Davis with a pick 6.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 12:25 pm to atlau
27-24 Auburn
This post was edited on 10/19/16 at 12:26 pm
Posted on 10/19/16 at 12:33 pm to atlau
quote:
Offensive Stat Comparison
Stat ------------------ ARK -------- AUB
Yards/Play ----------- 5.4 ---------- 5.9
Points/Play-------- 0.407 ------ 0.395
Rush Play------ % 53.81 - % 66.80%
Pass Play------ % 46.19 - % 33.20%
Completion----- % 61.88 - % 68.92%
3D Conv--------- % 42.35 - % 47.25%
RZ Scoring----- % 78.79 - % 81.25%
Defensive Stat Comparison
Stat ---------------------- ARK --------- AUB
Opp Yards/Play --------- 6.4 --------- 4.9
Opp Points/Play------ 0.476 ------ 0.226
Opp Completion---- % 56.48 - % 55.28%
Opp 3D Conv-------- % 48.72 - % 31.52%
Opp RZ Scoring---- % 82.61 - % 68.18%
Posted on 10/19/16 at 12:43 pm to awestruck
Thanks. Updated the OP to make it easier to read.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 12:46 pm to atlau
I think we should win by 10+ I'll go 37-24
This post was edited on 10/19/16 at 12:47 pm
Posted on 10/19/16 at 12:47 pm to atlau
quote:
The Solid Verbal ?@SolidVerbal 22h22 hours ago
The Solid Verbal Retweeted The Solid Verbal
Bottom 5 in Frequency of 10+ yd runs allowed (of total rushes, min 3 gm vs P5)
• Kansas, 18.6%
• Purdue, 20%
• Hawai’i, 21.1%
• Oregon, 21.4%
• Arkansas, 22.3%
quote:
John Ringer ?@jkringer 29m29 minutes ago
I want to be very clear about what that stat means - When Power 5 teams run the ball against Arkansas then 22% of the time it goes 10+ yards
quote:
John Ringer ?@jkringer 26m26 minutes ago
For comparison purposes the 2012 Auburn defense allowed a rush of 10+ yards 14% of the time.
quote:
The Solid Verbal ?@SolidVerbal Oct 18
10+ yard passes allowed frequency (min 3 gm vs P5)
1. Mich, 15.3%
2. Va Tech, 15.4%
3. S Carolina, 18.6%
4. Wash, 18.9%
5. Auburn, 19.8%
Posted on 10/19/16 at 12:49 pm to joeyb147
quote:
For comparison purposes the 2012 Auburn defense allowed a rush of 10+ yards 14% of the time.
quote:
Arkansas, 22.3%
Posted on 10/19/16 at 1:37 pm to joeyb147
quote:
quote:
The Solid Verbal ?@SolidVerbal Oct 18
10+ yard passes allowed frequency (min 3 gm vs P5)
1. Mich, 15.3%
2. Va Tech, 15.4%
3. S Carolina, 18.6%
4. Wash, 18.9%
5. Auburn, 19.8%
so 1 out of 5 completions our defense allows, is greater than 10yds? am i reading that correctly?
Posted on 10/19/16 at 1:55 pm to atlau
We're going to beat that pig arse!
42-13 AU
42-13 AU
Posted on 10/19/16 at 2:03 pm to weagle12
Yup. And the pigs give up a run over 10 yards on one out of five.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 2:16 pm to HouseofWaffles
interesting. could cause some problems for us if we give AA time.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 2:58 pm to weagle12
No, I believe that stat is a good thing for us
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