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re: Rain Forecast for Saturday

Posted on 10/1/15 at 6:35 pm to
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63897 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 6:35 pm to
No, this is BS. The storm is going north, the jetstream will keep it out of Athens. We are more likely to have a blue bird day than a washout.

Posted by UGAalum08
Greenville, SC
Member since Aug 2014
944 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 6:36 pm to
Low pressure is drawing moisture in. This is not from the storm passing over.
Posted by tylerdurden24
Member since Sep 2009
46423 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

That's what I'm most worried about, people not showing up or not being as loud, which would suck for a game like this.


I've overheard people suggest that they're not going to go and it will be too much of a hassle to try and sell their tickets this close to the game. I've seriously almost attacked a stranger because of it. If you have a ticket to this game, you have an obligation to go or to find someone else who will
This post was edited on 10/1/15 at 7:07 pm
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44743 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:09 pm to
That's just sad. It's not like the forecast is calling for 10 degrees and 6 inches of snow. It's low 60s and rain. I would give my left nut to be able to go to Athens and the game this weekend.
Posted by tylerdurden24
Member since Sep 2009
46423 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:12 pm to
I'm probably not going to go downtown or onto campus because I don't have a ticket and there's no good reason to stand around and get wet otherwise. But I've sat through much worse weather than what is being predicted for much worse games when I did have tickets. If you have the opportunity to go, you fricking go.
This post was edited on 10/1/15 at 7:13 pm
Posted by SumterCoDawg
Member since Apr 2015
5178 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

. I've seriously almost attacked a stranger because of it.
If I was there with you I would've testified it was in self-defense.
Posted by UGAalum08
Greenville, SC
Member since Aug 2014
944 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:16 pm to
Hot damn...tickets on Stubhub are already going for $150. Wouldn't they normally be $350+?
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14162 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:21 pm to
True but at this point they have no idea where this storm is going...and its trending more east every day. The weather could do anything at this point.
Posted by UGAalum08
Greenville, SC
Member since Aug 2014
944 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:37 pm to
Again...the rain that is coming is not the hurricane/tropical storm/depression passing overhead. There's an extremely strong upper low in the Southeast that's going to continuously draw moisture in as the hurricane skirts by. This is the kind of rain that is just going to sit on top of you. It's not a passing storm. The storm could very well curve out to sea, and it probably will. It'll probably be 500+ miles off shore. NC/SC are still going to flood...and Athens may get 5 inches. With a ground that's already saturated, everything that falls is going to be way worse than it would otherwise.

Up here in SC, the local stations are calling for historic numbers. Not record, but historic.

ETA: Clemson and ND are going to play from kayaks
This post was edited on 10/1/15 at 7:39 pm
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14162 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:45 pm to
Where are you in SC? I'm in Cola and pretty happy to live at a relatively high elevation compared to the surrounding area. They're calling for 12'' to 18''.

I get what you're saying but the further east the storm the less overall impact I would expect it to have....but I'm by no means a meteorologist so don't really know what the hell in talking about. Also the weather folks always seem to overshoot when they get all excited.

Edit: It looks like central SC estimates are now down to less than 10''. Still a ton but not as much as earlier predicted.
This post was edited on 10/1/15 at 7:49 pm
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
49235 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:45 pm to
Section 137 for $200? Yay or nay
Posted by UGAalum08
Greenville, SC
Member since Aug 2014
944 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:53 pm to
I'm in Greenville and you're in the bullseye for this event. You might want to tune into your local stations to get a feel for what's going on. They might be overshooting it, they might not...but FWIW, these estimated amounts have been in the models for at least 24 hours now, and they haven't changed much. Now that we're getting closer, meteorologists are getting comfortable releasing numbers. State of emergency, flood watch, all that good stuff.

It could be a total miss, but that's not the likely scenario at this point. If you're staying home, just make sure you've taken care of whatever you might need to over the next few days. I'm going to the game Saturday but plan to drive back to Greenville after the game...I'm also packing a bag in case I gotta stay at a hotel, because I'm not convinced I'll be able to get home Saturday night. Did ya hear a woman died in a flood in Spartanburg last night? Just a pop-up shower, but the ground is soaking wet and can't take anymore water.
Posted by UGAalum08
Greenville, SC
Member since Aug 2014
944 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

It looks like central SC estimates are now down to less than 10''. Still a ton but not as much as earlier predicted.


To put this into perspective...You average 44" of rain each year. 10" is almost 25% of the rain that you receive all year long. The most rain that has ever fallen in the state of SC in one day was 17". 10" is a ton of rain and will act like more than 10" with how saturated the ground is. Hurricane Katrina brought 10" to New Orleans. Not comparing this to Katrina though, because you're not dealing with the winds, storm surge, or levees...but the rain amount could be the same.

If you get 10" of rain Friday/Saturday, there will be widespread flooding, houses underwater, and major roads will break apart and wash away. Power outages for days. It's a big deal. It might not be 10", but if that happens, it'll be catastrophic.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14162 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 8:14 pm to
Yeah...I don't plan on leaving during the weekend and we always have several days worth of to stuff. Also you're spot on that the ground is saturated...it's been raining for two weeks. Thanks for putting this in perspective though...I wasn't looking at it in that way.

My biggest concern is that the rain knocks out the cable or power and I miss the game. Is that bad?

Posted by UGAalum08
Greenville, SC
Member since Aug 2014
944 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 8:17 pm to
quote:

My biggest concern is that the rain knocks out the cable or power and I miss the game. Is that bad?


Why do you think I said it would be catastrophic?

This is one of many reasons I'm glad I'll be at the game.

Also...to build on the 10" thing. Some people have a hard time visualizing 10" of rain, but it's easier to visualize snow. 10" of rain is the equivalent of 8-10 feet of snow.
This post was edited on 10/1/15 at 8:22 pm
Posted by tylerdurden24
Member since Sep 2009
46423 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 8:48 pm to
I've already planned my contingency plans in case my cable goes out. I've got backups for backups for backups. frick me if all 3 backup plans are having my same issue.
Posted by dustin8131
Member since Nov 2011
545 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 9:02 pm to
Yeah
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