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Scoring offense vs. Defense relative to opponents (A&M/Arkansas)
Posted on 9/18/16 at 1:05 pm
Posted on 9/18/16 at 1:05 pm
A&M averages 42.3 ppg and allows 13.3 ppg. They've scored an average of 15.7 ppg more than their opponents allow and allowed 12.6 ppg fewer than their opponents score.
Arkansas averages 34.7 ppg and allows 20.3 ppg. They've scored 4.2 ppg FEWER than their opponents allow and allowed 17.9 ppg fewer than their opponents score.
Based on the A&M stats the score is A&M 36, Arkansas 22.
Based on the Arkansas stats the score is A&M 24, Arkansas 9.
Based on this:
A&M scores between 24-36.
Arkansas scores between 9-22.
If the scores agree on the victor, the margin of victory is based on number of scores - 1. (1 score = tossup).
This model predicts A&M wins by one score.
Arkansas averages 34.7 ppg and allows 20.3 ppg. They've scored 4.2 ppg FEWER than their opponents allow and allowed 17.9 ppg fewer than their opponents score.
Based on the A&M stats the score is A&M 36, Arkansas 22.
Based on the Arkansas stats the score is A&M 24, Arkansas 9.
Based on this:
A&M scores between 24-36.
Arkansas scores between 9-22.
If the scores agree on the victor, the margin of victory is based on number of scores - 1. (1 score = tossup).
This model predicts A&M wins by one score.
2
Posted on 9/18/16 at 3:50 pm to CGSC Lobotomy
quote:
Based on the Arkansas stats the score is A&M 24, Arkansas 9
I'd be fine with that. When's the last time we held a good team to single digits?
Posted on 9/18/16 at 3:59 pm to ISEN_AG
quote:
Arkansas 9
Would imply our kicker could make FGs.
Posted on 9/26/16 at 1:18 pm to CGSC Lobotomy
quote:
A&M scores between 24-36.
Off by 9 points
quote:
Arkansas scores between 9-22.
Off by 2 points
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