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Y'all check my math

Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:11 pm
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
32240 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:11 pm
Right now, both Ms schools are outside looking in as far as Hoover. Not that it matters but in order for State to fill a spot, State would have to take 2 from A&M and both Missouri and Georgia would have to get swept. If either wins one, then State would have to take 3 from A&M. Sound right? If either of those scenarios were to play out, it would come down to tie breakers and that's where I get lost.
Posted by NFLSU
Screwston, Texas
Member since Oct 2014
16647 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:13 pm to
Ole Miss is already out of Hoover with a weekend series remaining

Too bad Bianco won’t get a raise like Kiffin did after he lost 5 of his 6 last games
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18059 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:15 pm to
State wins tiebreaker over Mizzou if SC is highest common opponent
State wins tiebreaker over UGA if LSU is highest common opponent

This post was edited on 5/17/23 at 2:17 pm
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
26510 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

Ole Miss is already out of Hoover with a weekend series remaining

Too bad Bianco won’t get a raise like Kiffin did after he lost 5 of his 6 last games


LSU last won a baseball championship when Obama was in office.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
42554 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:18 pm to
#1 I don't see MSU sweeping A&M, they might get two if they hit like they did against LSU which is very possible against Aggies
#2 Missouri is not sweeping Auburn, will be lucky to get one
#3 I think UGA gets one against LSU
Posted by dukeg7213
Louisiana
Member since Apr 2023
2960 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:18 pm to
Scenarios where MSU jumps Missouri
There is only one path for Mississippi State to jump Missouri: MSU needs to sweep Texas A&M and Auburn needs to sweep Missouri. That would put the Bulldogs a game up on Mizzou and eliminate a tiebreaker.

Scenario where MSU jumps Georgia
Similarly to Missouri, Mississippi State needs to sweep and hope Georgia gets swept in order to avoid a tiebreaker.

Tiebreaker vs. Georgia
This is where things get interesting and games not including Missouri, Georgia and MSU start to matter. Since Mississippi State hasn’t faced Mizzou or UGA, tiebreakers come down to records against the top common opponent. MSU was swept by Vanderbilt and Arkansas, so coach Chris Lemonis’ squad needs LSU to finish atop the SEC.

A tiebreaker against Missouri would likely go against Mississippi State since Mizzou hasn’t faced LSU. Even if LSU finishes first, the next common opponent would likely be Vanderbilt. Missouri won a game against Vandy in early April. However, if South Carolina (15-11 in SEC) jumps Vanderbilt (17-10 in SEC) in the standings, Mississippi State would have the edge on Mizzou. The Gamecocks have three games against Tennessee coming up.

If Mississippi State wins two against Texas A&M and LSU sweeps Georgia, that would put UGA and MSU at 10-20.

LSU needs to finish first with 20 conference wins. That means Arkansas needs to lose two at Vanderbilt. Arkansas would finish with 20 wins, but the Razorbacks lost their series against LSU. Vanderbilt would finish with 19 wins in this scenario. If Florida sweeps Kentucky to get to 20 wins, LSU could still own the tiebreaker if South Carolina remains the top common opponent.

If Vanderbilt sweeps Arkansas to finish tied with LSU atop the conference, the Commodores would own the tiebreaker.
Posted by NFLSU
Screwston, Texas
Member since Oct 2014
16647 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:19 pm to
Besides Ole Miss, has any other team ever gone from winning a CWS to dead-arse-last in the conference?
Posted by geauxnavybeatbama
Member since Jul 2013
25134 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:19 pm to
I would say the programs are on different trajectories at the moment
Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
30297 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:20 pm to
Alabama last won a baseball championship

Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
68504 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Too bad Bianco won’t get a raise like Kiffin did after he lost 5 of his 6 last games
Bianco has a national title within the last 11 months. Are you saying he doesn’t deserve a raise?
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
68504 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Besides Ole Miss, has any other team ever gone from winning a CWS to dead-arse-last in the conference?
Mississippi State last year.
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
32240 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

Tiebreaker vs. Georgia
This is where things get interesting and games not including Missouri, Georgia and MSU start to matter. Since Mississippi State hasn’t faced Mizzou or UGA, tiebreakers come down to records against the top common opponent. MSU was swept by Vanderbilt and Arkansas, so coach Chris Lemonis’ squad needs LSU to finish atop the SEC.

A tiebreaker against Missouri would likely go against Mississippi State since Mizzou hasn’t faced LSU. Even if LSU finishes first, the next common opponent would likely be Vanderbilt. Missouri won a game against Vandy in early April. However, if South Carolina (15-11 in SEC) jumps Vanderbilt (17-10 in SEC) in the standings, Mississippi State would have the edge on Mizzou. The Gamecocks have three games against Tennessee coming up.

If Mississippi State wins two against Texas A&M and LSU sweeps Georgia, that would put UGA and MSU at 10-20.

LSU needs to finish first with 20 conference wins. That means Arkansas needs to lose two at Vanderbilt. Arkansas would finish with 20 wins, but the Razorbacks lost their series against LSU. Vanderbilt would finish with 19 wins in this scenario. If Florida sweeps Kentucky to get to 20 wins, LSU could still own the tiebreaker if South Carolina remains the top common opponent.

If Vanderbilt sweeps Arkansas to finish tied with LSU atop the conference, the Commodores would own the tiebreaker.
Dadgum! Lots of thought went into that. No wonder I got lost when it came to tie breakers. Thanks. I don't think it matters either way. I just have lots of Rolling Bulldog friends that love that week at Hoover. I used to but it got to be too laborious.
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
538 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Mississippi State last year.


Little brother following the big brother in whatever we do.

We win the CWS, you guys do the same!

We finish last a year after winning the Championship, you guys do the same!
Posted by Sissidog02
Member since Jan 2020
5332 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 4:02 pm to
State playing in the NIT, oh my bad wrong sport, but if they had one you’d be a high seed.
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
8078 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

Besides Ole Miss, has any other team ever gone from winning a CWS to dead-arse-last in the conference?


Not sure. But I do know of a football program that recently won a NCAA championship. Then the next season they didn’t even have a winning record. Crazy huh?
Posted by Tony Rocky Horror
Member since May 2023
312 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 5:37 pm to
Glad the runts finally won a championship in something
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

Alabama last won a baseball championship


You realize Tornado is an Ole Miss fan, right?
Posted by NawFoo
Member since Mar 2023
833 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 6:07 pm to
You'll sweep Aggy
Posted by jb21lsu
NWLA
Member since Mar 2018
2631 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 6:15 pm to
quote:

LSU last won a baseball championship when Obama was in office.



Ole Miss has only won when Brandon is/was in office. ONLY 1!!. Trash
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