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re: What percentage chance do you give Wisconsin to beat LSU?

Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:58 am to
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10206 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:58 am to
25%. LSU fans are underestimating Wisconsin.

It's in their backyard, not in Texas or Florida like the last few times Wisky has played an SEC team. They are disciplined, physical, they know Aranda's defense, and I am not sold on LSU's o-line.

People will be calling for Les' job again if it's 10-10 at halftime, and I don't think that halftime score is very far-fetched.
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42645 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:06 am to
quote:

It's in their backyard, not in Texas or Florida like the last few times Wisky has played an SEC team. They are disciplined, physical, they know Aranda's defense, and I am not sold on LSU's o-line.


I don't think them knowing Aranda's defense will be a factor. However, transitioning from a 4-3 to a 3-4 very well could end up being an issue in an early season game. Even then, I don't think Wiscy has the offense to punish LSU for any early kinks in the D.
Posted by remaster916
Alabama
Member since Oct 2012
12225 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:07 am to
0
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72195 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:08 am to
Probably less than 50%. But only because it's in UW's backyard. LSU wins a low scoring game.
Posted by WeBleedCrimson
Member since Mar 2008
21708 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:10 am to
20%
Posted by RhodeDawg
Delete my account
Member since Jun 2016
4450 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:13 am to
Wisc has very little chance assuming LF is close to 100% and your o line performs.
Posted by BlackPawnMartyr
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2010
15317 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:14 am to
40% sounds pretty good. Esp playing up North instead of somewhere more neutral.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
15712 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:17 am to
Less than 10. LSU gonna roll.
Posted by Hogwarts
Arkansas, USA
Member since Sep 2015
18054 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:19 am to
10%

If they can somehow contain the run game(you won't ever fully stop it) they will have a slim chance, very slim.
Posted by RhodeDawg
Delete my account
Member since Jun 2016
4450 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:23 am to
This is a big opening weekend for the SEC playing OOC games that are against very good teams.
We need everyone to kickass.
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68332 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:25 am to
It's gonna be tough for Wisky. Really need to create turnovers which we just dont give up many. Create some chances for themselves on special teams. Get up early and make us play catch up. If we get a lead, we will just put it on cruise control.

I dont think where the game is being played has any impact. If it was in Lambeau in November it would be a different story.

Miles is still undefeated in reg season OOC games after 11 years at LSU, which is a pretty remarkable achievement.
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:26 am to
quote:

What percentage chance do you give Wisconsin to beat LSU?



I'd say about 40%, maybe close to 50%, but less than 50%.
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:36 am to
quote:

25%. LSU fans are underestimating Wisconsin.

It's in their backyard, not in Texas or Florida like the last few times Wisky has played an SEC team. They are disciplined, physical, they know Aranda's defense, and I am not sold on LSU's o-line.

People will be calling for Les' job again if it's 10-10 at halftime, and I don't think that halftime score is very far-fetched.



A tie game at halftime is very realistic, and it wouldn't surprise me if Wisconsin leads at the half. Two years ago, the consensus was that we were going to roll over them and we barely got out of Houston with a W.

They are big and physical on defense, so we can't just line up and run straight at them and hope to move the ball effectively. The passing game HAS to be effective, and that makes it dicey for us.

They are also well-suited to match up against our defense because their physical running game will be a challenge for our undersized and thin front seven. We need some new faces to come through in a big way if we're going to stop their running game.

Special teams could present a problem for us, too. Last year, we were terrible in punts, kickoffs and coverage of both. We haven't blocked a punt or kick in years. We should be OK in the return game (if we stop making poor decisions on when and whether to field punts) and place kicking, though, so that could help.

I expect a very tough game and think (hope?) our speed advantage will give us just enough big plays to squeak out a close one. I'm picking LSU 27-21.
Posted by RodMad501
Destrehan
Member since Aug 2008
675 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:37 am to
quote:

38%

30% of that is Harris


This is the best answer yet.

Only time will tell.
Posted by joshua2571
Member since Nov 2015
8137 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:38 am to
70
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:42 am to
quote:

They are also well-suited to match up against our defense because their physical running game will be a challenge for our undersized and thin front seven


I'm not sure you've been paying attention, but we aren't undersized in our front 7 at all anymore.


ETA:

Starters:

DE – Godchaux 6’4” 300 lbs
NT – Valentine 6’3” 340 lbs
DE – Neal 6’1” 275 lbs

OLB – Key 6’6” 250 lbs
MLB – Beckwith 6’3” 255 lbs
MLB – White 6’0” 255 lbs
OLB – Divinity 6’2” 240 lbs

Gilmore, Herron, Alexander, Lawrence are the backups on the DL and all 300+ (Herron may be 285ish).

This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 8:49 am
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28589 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:46 am to
27.5%
Posted by mls4bama
albertville,al
Member since Sep 2015
1537 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:47 am to
5%
Posted by FishingwithFredo
Member since Dec 2014
216 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:47 am to
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30242 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 8:50 am to
quote:

10%

If they can somehow contain the run game(you won't ever fully stop it) they will have a slim chance, very slim.


It's already been proven that you actually can fully stop their run game.

Wisky won't be able to handle it though.
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