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re: Updated National Championship odds
Posted on 11/1/16 at 11:59 am to WilliamTaylor21
Posted on 11/1/16 at 11:59 am to WilliamTaylor21
quote:
.. idiot.
Again, you simply dont understand how it works I guess
LSU needs Auburn to lose, just once(besides winning out). Auburn has a higher probability of losing one of their games currently than LSU or A&M.
Auburn needs A&M to lose just once(besides winning out), A&M's probabilities of winning their remaining games are higher than Auburns
52% vs 23%
Now lets compare the bama game.
LSU's probability 34% vs Auburn 23%
The bama game is also the lowest probability for either of our teams to win. Yet LSU still holds the edge
That is why the odds are different.
quote:
Live look in at Auburn fans:
You seem just as rustled by this, hence why you came into the thread
1
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:00 pm to joeyb147
quote:
you're a strange little man
got incredibly rustled then says others are.
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:06 pm to NYCAuburn
quote:
got incredibly rustled then says others are.
If winning the argument = rustled, then yeah, I was super rustled
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:09 pm to NYCAuburn
quote:
You seem just as rustled by this, hence why you came into the thread
I was the 3rd comment in this thread and didn't even mention Auburn in my comment... and your first comment was a reply to me
... I'm pretty sure you're the one who came in rustled
This post was edited on 11/1/16 at 12:11 pm
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:09 pm to WilliamTaylor21
quote:
You mind doing a quick Google search and letting me know who was coaching LSU at the time?
Thxxx.
Both Auburn and LSU are far better teams now than they were then. But aside from that:
You lost. Like 5 weeks ago. Lost. Scoreboard. L column.
Put differently, a team won (it wasn't yours).
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:15 pm to WilliamTaylor21
If it wasn't for "ur rustled" "no u" posts this entire bored would fall apart at the seams.
Y'all lost it's ok
Y'all lost it's ok
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:16 pm to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Logically, one could assume since we have improved dramatically
Or maybe you looked worse because Les played two teams now with a 12-4 record, and now with Coach O, you've played three teams with a 10-14 record.
Logically, one would assume that a team would appear to "improve dramatically" when they play opponents so exponentially weaker.
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:19 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
Or maybe you looked worse because Les played two teams now with a 12-4 record,
Played two top 10 P5 opponents with a 12-4 record
quote:
Coach O, you've played three teams with a 10-14 record.
Played two P5 opponents with a 5-11 record
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:27 pm to SFTL
quote:
The clear reason is LSU fans are delusional and selling their pontoon house boats to lay it all on the Tigers after blitzing through the cupcake portion of their schedule.
Vegas odds are about money, not about actual chances of success. L2BDegenerates.
Aside from the hyperbole and low blow in the first part, I agree 100%.
Lines aren't predictions. They are set to target the goals that odds makers have for a game or betting outcome. These goals are affected by assessment of the action the initial line will draw towards meeting their goal.
Betting causes the line or odds to shift.
As most know, oddsmakers typically want to split the bets 50/50. This is a guaranteed win for them as they profit from the vig for processing bets with no loss.
In some cases, however, if they think they can profit from a lopsided bet where the majority of the action is on the losing side, they adjust the line/odds to that goal to drive the desired action and take a chance themselves for a big win.
In either case, as the other poster mentioned, it's about betting and "Vegas professionals" targeting profit goals based not only on an assessment of the game but an assessment of the action that a line will generate.
These are favorites for betting purposes, not an alternative ranking system.
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:44 pm to AU24
I don't get the odds for LSU . I would think all of the other teams on the list have a better chance then them. But we will find out soon.
Posted on 11/1/16 at 12:44 pm to WilliamTaylor21
let's see where these odds are at this time next week.
This post was edited on 11/1/16 at 12:57 pm
Posted on 11/1/16 at 1:16 pm to AU24
Daddy just made 25 bucks 
Posted on 11/1/16 at 2:35 pm to Sun God
^^^ playing it smart I like it.
Did you go with 63 cents on Auburn or did you lay the 16.67 on Bama?
Did you go with 63 cents on Auburn or did you lay the 16.67 on Bama?
Posted on 11/1/16 at 3:08 pm to AU24
quote:
Updated National Championship odds
In other words, viewership profitability rating.
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