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TN vs NW is the most statistically lopsided bowl match up

Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:49 pm
Posted by Tennessee Jed
Mr. SEC Rant
Member since Nov 2009
17909 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:49 pm
According to ESPN's FPI.

quote:

According to the FPI, there’s a 77.0 percent chance that the 23rd-ranked Vols beat 13th-ranked Northwestern in the Outback Bowl on New Year’s Day.

Florida State (Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl vs. Houston) is second at 73.7 percent, while Cal (Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl vs. Air Force) is third at 72.2 percent and Arkansas (AutoZone Liberty Bowl vs. Kansas State) is fourth at 70.7 percent. Georgia (TaxSlayer Bowl vs. Penn State) rounds out the top five at 70.7 percent.

All 10 SEC teams are favored to win their bowls, according to the FPI. Florida (vs. Michigan in the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl) is the most narrow of the bunch at 50.1 percent.


Arkansas against Kansas State checks in at number 4.

The reality is when you get someone like Danny Kannell, open SEC antagonist, going on national TV and radio saying things like, "I don't think it will be close," "Northwestern doesn't have the athletes to play with TN," you know it's going to get ugly.

I think Vols win to the tune of 56 to 21. NW's 21 points will all come in the second half when their starters are battling against our walk-ons.
Posted by rockytop627
Member since Jan 2014
10041 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:51 pm to
It'll be about 27-13. NW has a good defense but their lack of a reliable offense will be their undoing.
Posted by TheDarrell McSteal
423
Member since Sep 2015
3300 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:52 pm to
Their offense makes Missouri's look average. Tennessee's speed advantage should lead to a blowout for the big orange.

VOLS 41
NW 13
Posted by Tennessee Jed
Mr. SEC Rant
Member since Nov 2009
17909 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:53 pm to
I will be very disappointed in Butch and this team, if we only win by 2 touchdowns.

There's absolutely nothing you can point to that says this will be anything but a total, comprehensive blow out.
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45222 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:53 pm to
You have Tennessee scoring 8 TDs against Northwestern?
Posted by Kcoyote
Member since Jan 2012
12050 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:53 pm to
28-17 little orange men.
Posted by TheDarrell McSteal
423
Member since Sep 2015
3300 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

It'll be about 27-13. NW has a good defense but their lack of a reliable offense will be their undoing.


True but I think their defense will be gassed early due to our athletes and tempo if Northwestern's offense cannot sustain drives
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86500 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Georgia (TaxSlayer Bowl vs. Penn State) rounds out the top five at 70.7 percent.


does FPI not realize that we're bringing a skeleton crew staff, multiple players out, lambert is our QB, and we have zero motivation?

I think we'll win of course, but a 71% chance seems awfully high.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:58 pm to
quote:


I think Vols win to the tune of 56 to 21


I don't think it will be close in the 4th but would be shocked if Vols get to 50
Posted by Robert Goulet
Member since Jan 2013
9999 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:58 pm to
This game should be a blowout. The thing that concerns me the most is rain slowing our guys down. Doesn't look like that will be much of a factor though.
Posted by Jacknola
New Orleans
Member since May 2013
4366 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:05 pm to
Of more interest to most people will be the harsh, jarring and really upsetting/ugly color combination on the field.. prison orange mixed in with bruise-color purple.

Just thinking about the combination reminds me of technicolor vomit from my drinking days.



This post was edited on 12/29/15 at 1:16 pm
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119222 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:08 pm to
UT will keep up till half time.
Posted by Patton
Principality of Sealand
Member since Apr 2011
32652 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:08 pm to
That doesn't make any sense. The Baylor fan on here assured me Northwestern is a good team this year.
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
23982 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:17 pm to
If you're talking SAT scores, you're right...

LINK

LINK
Posted by Robert Goulet
Member since Jan 2013
9999 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:19 pm to
They beat Stanford the first game, so that means theyre pretty good.
Posted by Guitarcheese
Lakesite, TN
Member since Jul 2015
1463 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:20 pm to
No one here gives a fiddler's frick about SAT scores, Lonnie...
This post was edited on 12/29/15 at 1:21 pm
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
23982 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

No one here gives a fiddler's frick about SAT scores, Lonnie...


Spoken like a TRUE Tennessee fan....


Thank you for validating my thesis...
This post was edited on 12/29/15 at 1:22 pm
Posted by Robert Goulet
Member since Jan 2013
9999 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:22 pm to
Forum about sports, brings up SAT scores.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69913 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

Lonnie Utah



3-9, bitch
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
23982 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

Forum about sports, brings up SAT scores.


Point being, that Stats will no more figure the winner of a FOOTBALL game than SAT scores.

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