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Thursday SEC Basketball NCAA Tourney Outlook
Posted on 2/23/17 at 5:57 am
Posted on 2/23/17 at 5:57 am
Had some movement mainly because of Vandy going on the road and beating Tennessee. Listed are the SEC teams with % chance on making the field and predicted seeding.
TeamRankings
IN
Kentucky: 100% Likely Seed 2
Florida: 100% Likely Seed 2
South Carolina: 97% Likely Seed 7
Arkansas: 85% Likely Seed 8
Vanderbilt: 45% Likely Seed 11(gained 33.3%)
OUT
Alabama: 18% Likely Seed 12
Georgia: 12% Likely Seed 12
Tennessee: 8% Likely Seed 12
BracketWag
3. Florida
4. Kentucky
7. South Carolina
9. Arkansas
11. Vanderbilt(First Four)
Others Considered: Alabama
Moving Out: Tennessee
TeamRankings
IN
Kentucky: 100% Likely Seed 2
Florida: 100% Likely Seed 2
South Carolina: 97% Likely Seed 7
Arkansas: 85% Likely Seed 8
Vanderbilt: 45% Likely Seed 11(gained 33.3%)
OUT
Alabama: 18% Likely Seed 12
Georgia: 12% Likely Seed 12
Tennessee: 8% Likely Seed 12
BracketWag
3. Florida
4. Kentucky
7. South Carolina
9. Arkansas
11. Vanderbilt(First Four)
Others Considered: Alabama
Moving Out: Tennessee
This post was edited on 2/23/17 at 8:19 am
7
Posted on 2/23/17 at 6:00 am to Hawgeye
We must win out to get in.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 6:50 am to Hawgeye
quote:
They project Bama to go 2-2
This is probably the best case scenario. I couldn't tell you the last time Bama won its way into a tournament, as opposed to losing towards the end of the season and getting a lower seed .
This post was edited on 2/23/17 at 6:52 am
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:04 am to East Coast Band
If some how you guys can finish 3-1 and grab that 4th seed...it will help your RPI...chances are you will play at least a top 70 RPI team in your first tourney game and possibly win. That gives an opportunity to play a high RPI team in the semi finals.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:06 am to Hawgeye
We probably won't go 3-1, and even if we do, we'd then need to win 2 games in Nashville. Odds are that are slim. This just isn't a good enough team to win 5 of 6 against teams with equal or better talent.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:16 am to SummerOfGeorge
If...& it's a big if with the ups and downs of this season...Vandy wins 2 of its next 3 (Miss St, @UK, UF) they are going to be an interesting test case for the committee. Finish 17-14 in that scenario but would have no.1 SOS, low 40 RPI and 5 top 50 Ws. No 15 loss team has ever made the bracket but the expansion to 68 and the shift towards emphasis on computer metrics will make it interesting.
Hopefully we get to see it play out.
Hopefully we get to see it play out.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:28 am to Hawgeye
Thank God that Syracuse is rolling.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:37 am to Hawgeye
How many teams are the ACC and Big 12 getting in there?
This post was edited on 2/23/17 at 7:39 am
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:43 am to TomRollTideRitter
The Big 12 bubble is bursting a bit. Right now, I would say just 6 teams from the Big 12.
Texas Tech isn't making it
Kansas State lost again last night to Okie Lite. Slim chances got slimmer.
TCU is struggling and just 16-11 overall. Getting close to no chance.
All 3 of those teams are 4-8 over their last 12 games.
Texas Tech isn't making it
Kansas State lost again last night to Okie Lite. Slim chances got slimmer.
TCU is struggling and just 16-11 overall. Getting close to no chance.
All 3 of those teams are 4-8 over their last 12 games.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:45 am to Hawgeye
What if Ole Miss wins out in the regular season and wins 2 in the tourney and is like 22-12
This post was edited on 2/23/17 at 7:48 am
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:46 am to Hawgeye
quote:
South Carolina: 97
This makes me nervous. Give the Gamecocks a 3% chance to screw something up and I like our odds.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:46 am to Dore5674
quote:
Dore5674
As odd as this may sound...the good thing for Vandy is finishing in the middle of the league. This gives the Dores an opportunity for more wins in the SECt. Going 2-1 in the league tourney with two top 70RPI wins, helps the schedule(which needs no help) but also helps the total win column.
If Vandy can finish 2-1 in regular season, that puts the Dores at 17-14. Go 2-1 in the conference tourney and that is 19-15 overall with a top 5 SOS. I think the Dores would be in. The RPI would be pretty good because going 2-1 at the end here means a win over a top 10 RPI team.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 7:48 am to Al Bundy Bulldog
quote:
What if Ole Miss wins out in the regular season and wins 2 in the tourney and is like 23-9
If they did that, then they would only be 22-12.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 8:00 am to Hawgeye
Please Bama just win out.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 8:19 am to Gary Busey
added bracketwag's morning update.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 8:24 am to Hawgeye
Good. The Big XII is an overrated league in my opinion
Posted on 2/23/17 at 8:26 am to GetCocky11
That Michigan win is looking a lot better recently than it did for much of the season as well.
These are the things we didn't have in our favor last year.
These are the things we didn't have in our favor last year.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 8:29 am to GameCocky88
quote:
That Michigan win is looking a lot better recently than it did for much of the season as well.
I mean, I guess. They just beat Rutgers, who is terrible. They're 4-3 in their last 7 games and are just in the RPI top 50 at #50. 7-5 in their last 12.
Posted on 2/23/17 at 8:40 am to Hawgeye
Most of Arkansas' OOC games have looked significantly better past 10ish games
-OkieSt: Won 9/10 after started 10-8 (0-6 Big12)
-Houston: Won 6 of past 7 started 13-7 (4-4 AAC)
-UTAR: Won 9 of past 10 started 12-5 (2-2 Sun Belt)
-Minnesota: Won 6 straight conf after starting 3-6
-Mt St Mary's: 15-14 after starting 1-11
-OkieSt: Won 9/10 after started 10-8 (0-6 Big12)
-Houston: Won 6 of past 7 started 13-7 (4-4 AAC)
-UTAR: Won 9 of past 10 started 12-5 (2-2 Sun Belt)
-Minnesota: Won 6 straight conf after starting 3-6
-Mt St Mary's: 15-14 after starting 1-11
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