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SEC Rankings : Bill Connelly Final Pre-Season S&P+ Rankings and other things

Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:13 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:13 am
2016 S&P CFB Projections

Projected 2016 S&P+ & Ranking (0.0 being average)
1. Alabama (30.4)
3. LSU (26.7)
7. Ole Miss (20.9)
8. Tennessee (19.2)
12. Georgia (17.9)
17. Arkansas (16.9)
20. Florida (14.4)
22. Mississippi State (14.0)
23. Texas A&M (13.5)
25. Auburn (12.9)
57. Missouri (3.2)
68. Vanderbilt (1.0)
76. South Carolina (-.04)
87. Kentucky (-4.4)

Odds at 11 or more Wins (regular season)
Alabama - 31.1%
LSU - 23.6%
Tennessee - 13.1%
Georgia - 13.1%
Ole Miss - 3.4%
Florida - 2.0%
Arkansas - 1.7%
Everyone else - less than 1%

Odds at Bowl Eligibility (6 wins or more)
Alabama - 99.9%
LSU - 99.8%
Tennessee - 99.5%
Georgia - 99.3%
Florida - 97.1%
Ole Miss - 95.6%
Mississippi State - 92.3%
Arkansas - 90.9%
Texas A&M - 79.6%
Auburn - 72.7%
Missouri - 58.0%
Vanderbilt - 32.3%
South Carolina - 30.8%
Kentucky - 12.3%

Offensive S&P Rankings
3. LSU
8. Ole Miss
11. Arkansas
20. Mississippi State
23. Alabama
24. Tennessee
32. Auburn
44. Texas A&M
47. Georgia
56. South Carolina
66. Florida
88. Kentucky
116. Missouri
119. Vanderbilt

Defensive S&P Rankings
1. Alabama
4. Georgia
5. Florida
8. Missouri
9. Tennessee
10. Vanderbilt
12. LSU
19. Texas A&M
27. Ole Miss
28. Auburn
32. Mississippi State
37. Arkansas
72. Kentucky
86. South Carolina
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 11:22 am
Posted by Rodo
Houston
Member since Aug 2011
798 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:15 am to
Imagine that, another clown - another list...

Rodo
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:21 am to
Top 10 Overall
1. Alabama (30.4)
2. Clemson (27.2)
3. LSU (26.7)
4. Oklahoma (24.0)
5. Florida State (22.4)
5. Michigan (22.4)
7. Ole Miss (20.9)
8. Tennessee (19.2)
9. Southern Cal (19.0)
9. Washington (19.0)

Top 10 Offenses
1. Clemson
2. Texas Tech
3. LSU
4. Oregon
5. Notre Dame
6. Oklahoma
7. Baylor
8. Ole Miss
9. Florida State
10. Oklahoma State

Top 10 Defenses
1. Alabama
2. Michigan
3. Boston College
4. Georgia
5. Florida
6. Washington
7. Wisconsin
8. Missouri
9. Tennessee
10. Vanderbilt
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 11:22 am
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:24 am to
I can't buy LSU having a top 10 offense. I also can't buy them not having a top 10 defense. It is like Bizzarro LSU.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
43827 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:32 am to
3rd offense and 12th defense? Championship
Posted by atlgamecockman
Washington, DC
Member since Dec 2012
3822 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:34 am to
quote:

Top 10 Defenses


quote:

10. Vanderbilt


shite
Posted by 0
Member since Aug 2011
16634 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:34 am to
Lsu with a top 3 offense?

Not that I don't think the talent is there but holy shite.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:35 am to
quote:

LSU with a top 3 offense?


You have to remember this is efficiency. So, it doesn't mean LSU will have the most yards or score the most points, but it means their models think LSU will be efficient running and Harris will be pretty efficient throwing off the run.

Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:36 am to
Not third offense, sorry. Maybe third best defense and therefore as good a shot as anybody for a championship.
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
99065 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:36 am to
I don't see any way UK's offense fairs worse than it's defense this season.
Posted by Snizzzo
Stankonia
Member since Oct 2015
1437 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:39 am to
3rd best offense? Surely not. We lost the only good players on our roster. Just ask tRant.
Posted by cbi8
Nashville
Member since Mar 2012
6801 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:40 am to
quote:

22. Mississippi State (14.0)
23. Texas A&M (13.5)
25. Auburn (12.9)
Posted by MNW
Starkville, MS
Member since Mar 2015
1830 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:42 am to
quote:

Offensive S&P Rankings

quote:

20. Mississippi State


quote:

Defensive S&P Rankings

quote:

32. Mississippi State


haha... wut?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:42 am to
Yep - numbers seem to like State to keep their 7-9 win pace going. Their bowl eligibility chance was interesting to me, basically a 9 in 10 shot.
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:43 am to
Ok George. I can see LSU having the third most efficient offense with all of their veterans. The backs won't fumble a lot and Harriss just has to not throw picks. Still I think LSU will have a top 10 defense.
Posted by hogminer
Bella Vista, AR.
Member since Apr 2010
9642 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:48 am to
quote:

Odds at 11 or more Wins (regular season) Alabama - 31.1% LSU - 23.6% Tennessee - 13.1% Georgia - 13.1% Ole Miss - 3.4% Florida - 2.0% Arkansas - 1.7%



Posted by Emanonion
Member since Dec 2012
1762 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Yep - numbers seem to like State to keep their 7-9 win pace going. Their bowl eligibility chance was interesting to me, basically a 9 in 10 shot.


It's the insanely easy schedule. They get the 2 worst teams in the east, 3 gimme ooc and a 4th pretty easy ooc game. Win those and that's a bowl.
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Atlanta GA - ITP
Member since Sep 2012
24937 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:33 pm to
Unbiased media loves us.
Posted by reel_gator8
Seminole,Fl
Member since May 2012
11060 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:38 pm to
Miss State will not finish that high...this guy is dumb as a box of rocks.
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Atlanta GA - ITP
Member since Sep 2012
24937 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 12:41 pm to
He is probably the best out there as far as predicting CFB right now.
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