Started By
Message
SEC Bubble Watch: Conference Tourney Edition
Posted on 3/5/16 at 8:40 pm
Posted on 3/5/16 at 8:40 pm
Vanderbilt | 19-12 (11-7)
RPI: 47, SOS: 29
Pros: wins over UK and A&M, solid computer profile, not many bad losses
Cons: mediocre record, disappointing non-conference performance
Verdict: likely in, but should avoid losing to Tennessee/Auburn just in case
South Carolina | 24-7 (11-7)
RPI: 50, SOS: 124
Pros: gaudy record, 7-4 record against the Top 100
Cons: SOS, 4 losses to 100+ teams
Verdict: likely in even if they lose in their first game as long as it's UGA and not Mississippi State. Losing to MSU would make things interesting.
Florida | 18-13 (9-9)
RPI: 55, SOS: 18
Pros: Elite SOS, only one 100+ loss, non-conference wins over WVU and St. Joe's
Cons: 13 losses, 2-8 record against the Top 50
Verdict: needs to beat Arkansas AND A&M in their first two games to put them on the right side of the bubble, and win three to feel completely safe
Georgia | 17-12 (10-8)
RPI: 71, SOS: 28
Pros: only one 100+ loss, 13-10 record vs. the Top 200
Cons: 12 losses, no Top 50 wins, 4-9 record vs. Top 100
Verdict: get to the conference finals. That's their only non-auto path.
Bama, LSU, and Ole Miss all have to win the conference tourney.
RPI: 47, SOS: 29
Pros: wins over UK and A&M, solid computer profile, not many bad losses
Cons: mediocre record, disappointing non-conference performance
Verdict: likely in, but should avoid losing to Tennessee/Auburn just in case
South Carolina | 24-7 (11-7)
RPI: 50, SOS: 124
Pros: gaudy record, 7-4 record against the Top 100
Cons: SOS, 4 losses to 100+ teams
Verdict: likely in even if they lose in their first game as long as it's UGA and not Mississippi State. Losing to MSU would make things interesting.
Florida | 18-13 (9-9)
RPI: 55, SOS: 18
Pros: Elite SOS, only one 100+ loss, non-conference wins over WVU and St. Joe's
Cons: 13 losses, 2-8 record against the Top 50
Verdict: needs to beat Arkansas AND A&M in their first two games to put them on the right side of the bubble, and win three to feel completely safe
Georgia | 17-12 (10-8)
RPI: 71, SOS: 28
Pros: only one 100+ loss, 13-10 record vs. the Top 200
Cons: 12 losses, no Top 50 wins, 4-9 record vs. Top 100
Verdict: get to the conference finals. That's their only non-auto path.
Bama, LSU, and Ole Miss all have to win the conference tourney.
7
Posted on 3/5/16 at 8:44 pm to GatorsGators
Georgia probably has to win the conference tournament. Terrible record against RPI top 50 and RPI top 100.
South Carolina is in no matter what, IMO. If Vandy wins their first game against Tennessee/Auburn, they're good. If they lose, it's close. Might be in Dayton.
South Carolina is in no matter what, IMO. If Vandy wins their first game against Tennessee/Auburn, they're good. If they lose, it's close. Might be in Dayton.
Posted on 3/5/16 at 8:48 pm to GatorsGators
Very hard to Imagine any less than 4 at this point. Chance at 5 if things go right and extreme long shot at 6
Posted on 3/5/16 at 8:48 pm to BayouBengals03
agree. Georgia likely must win the tourney to get in.
Posted on 3/5/16 at 8:57 pm to GatorsGators
If I had to guess I'd say USC is in no matter what. Vandy should be in but a loss would make it interesting. Florida needs to win some games to get in and Georgia probably has to win the whole thing.
Posted on 3/5/16 at 9:00 pm to Pelican fan99
I think we're going to be happy just to host in the NIT. Didn't think we could finish the way we have but I'll take it
Posted on 3/5/16 at 9:15 pm to GatorsGators
P5 team with 24 wins, less than 10 losses, 11 conference wins, 6-3 vs teams considered to already be in, winning record vs RPI top 50. We're not on the bubble
Posted on 3/5/16 at 9:16 pm to Jobu93
I think we are in with wins over Mississippi state, South Carolina, and Kentucky. We probably don't need to really consider that, though.
That would get our rpi up to like 50. God damn I am gonna be butthurt when we go 3-0 against South Carolina and don't make it cause we fricked up so many games
That would get our rpi up to like 50. God damn I am gonna be butthurt when we go 3-0 against South Carolina and don't make it cause we fricked up so many games
This post was edited on 3/5/16 at 9:18 pm
Posted on 3/5/16 at 9:24 pm to GatorsGators
Florida is the only bubble team the SEC has. A&M, Kentucky, South Carolina, and Vanderbilt are in. A win in Nashville should get Florida in IMO. Everybody else has to win the conference tournament.
Posted on 3/5/16 at 9:51 pm to bigpapamac
Apparently Lunardi has us as next four out. 
Posted on 3/5/16 at 9:59 pm to tween the hedges
Sure, but you're not going to jump a bunch of teams by going 2-1 (or something of the sort) in Nashville. Not to mention bubble spots are going to disappear as upsets happen in conference tournaments and bid thieves steal bids.
Posted on 3/5/16 at 10:19 pm to GatorsGators
Johnny Jones sucks
Posted on 3/5/16 at 10:26 pm to bigpapamac
3-1 bro and we steal vandys, floridas, and south Carolinas bids 
Posted on 3/5/16 at 10:35 pm to bigpapamac
They'd probably jump the UFs and Tulsas of the world into a Dayton spot.
I think UF and UGA both need to get to 20 wins.
I think UF and UGA both need to get to 20 wins.
Posted on 3/5/16 at 10:43 pm to GatorsGators
One thing to consider and I don't know how the committee looks at this but Georgia played in two fewer games than anyone else.
Posted on 3/5/16 at 11:10 pm to athenslife101
That doesn't really matter. Two wins in Nashville likely won't get you in, three might because the third would likely be against Kentucky. But that's kinda the problem, trying to beat Kentucky.
Posted on 3/5/16 at 11:14 pm to GatorsGators
To get to tournament Sunday we would have had to of beaten Bama, Kentucky, and likely South Carolina. I do believe we have to win the SEC to get in but I feel like we would at least be on the bubble if we made to the championship game. (Also I fully expect that even if we do beat Bama, Kentucky will kill us.)
Posted on 3/5/16 at 11:18 pm to Rebel Land Shark
Kentucky will murder either of us. It's like a home game for them on top of having the bye.
Page 1 of 1
Popular
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News