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re: Percentage chance to win each game according to ESPN stats & info

Posted on 7/10/14 at 2:23 pm to
Posted by nc14
La Jolla
Member since Jan 2012
28193 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 2:23 pm to
Guy picks data.
Posted by DirtyDawg
President of the East Cobb Snobs
Member since Aug 2013
15539 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 2:23 pm to
I guess they just assume since it's a rivalry game with Clemson they wanted to give it more of a neutral stance
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34711 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

LSU


quote:

60.3% vs. Mississippi State

Might as well go ahead and make this one 100%
Posted by Projectpat
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
10521 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

I am just a bit irritated that someone is giving Mizzou a less than 30% change of beating you. Just seems out of line to me.


It is too low, whatever formula they're using is giving home field too much of an advantage.
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
14239 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 2:34 pm to
Predicting a season record is impossible, predicting actual game outcomes is idiotic, and actually reading them is moronic.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34711 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

Predicting a season record is impossible, predicting actual game outcomes is idiotic, and actually reading them is moronic.

Somebody's mad they predicted Arkansas to go 0-8
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
37613 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 8:41 pm to
Interesting thread. Thanks OP!
Posted by YouDontKnowBro
Los Angeles
Member since Apr 2014
1864 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 9:42 pm to
quote:

Ole Miss


quote:

35.5% vs. Alabama


quote:

31.2% vs. Texas A&M


Posted by jbond
Atlanta
Member since Jun 2012
4938 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

Auburn 73.2% vs. LSU


ESPN clearly lacks the statistical modeling techniques necessary to account for stiff dew.
Posted by AUtigerNOLA
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2011
17107 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 10:30 pm to
Yea we are gonna frick them up. Can't wait. Those fricks will be crying about refs after the game even if it's a beat down which it should be.
Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45794 posts
Posted on 7/11/14 at 2:38 am to
quote:

Florida

8.9% vs. FSU
so you're saying theres a chance.
This post was edited on 7/11/14 at 2:39 am
Posted by lsutothetop
TigerDroppings Elite
Member since Jul 2008
11323 posts
Posted on 7/11/14 at 3:15 am to
quote:

63.7% vs. Wisconsin

ehh ok
quote:

50.1% vs. Florida

on the road? eh i guess
quote:

26.8% vs. Auburn


quote:

38% vs. Texas A&M


quote:

42.5% vs. Alabama

about right
quote:

60.3% vs. Mississippi State


quote:

65.3% vs. Ole Miss

a smidge high

either LSU is in for an unexpectedly rough season or ESPN's advanced stats and probability crew sucks

oh wait, is this the same place that created Total QBR?

yeah ok ESPN sucks
Posted by lsufancy63
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Mar 2013
796 posts
Posted on 7/11/14 at 3:34 am to
I love all these predictions the sec rant puts up all the time because they are NEVER right!! Gives you something to laugh about
Posted by JCinBAMA
North of Huntsville
Member since Oct 2009
17585 posts
Posted on 7/11/14 at 7:11 am to
Fun stat

The last time Alabama was an underdog was against Florida in the 2009 SEC Championship Game.
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9847 posts
Posted on 7/11/14 at 7:49 am to
quote:

How are computers full of shite?

This analyzes data...this isn't some guy's full of shite opinion


You do realize these are models based on, key phrase, "user input".
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9847 posts
Posted on 7/11/14 at 7:52 am to
quote:

Was that before or after you got so repeatedly molested by us you backed out of the contract that made you start the season 0-1 over and over and over again?


LSU leads 29–20–3


For added info, LSU had a period were they won 9 straight vs the ags.


STTDB
This post was edited on 7/11/14 at 7:54 am
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