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MU vs AU -- Massey vs Vegas
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:02 am
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:02 am
Predicting a 4 point victory for Mizzou, 32-28.
Massey
Yet Vegas has Auburn at -2 in most books.
Vegas Lines
Public betting on AU's luck to continue while computers are purely quant?
What gives?
Massey
Yet Vegas has Auburn at -2 in most books.
Vegas Lines
Public betting on AU's luck to continue while computers are purely quant?
What gives?
5
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:06 am to trader_tiger83
Auburn should be favored by double digits they beat Bama
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:13 am to morry
Not so fast my friend...
Auburn is given a 38% chance to win this game according to the sims.
Auburn vs Missouri Simulation
Auburn is given a 38% chance to win this game according to the sims.
Auburn vs Missouri Simulation
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:17 am to trader_tiger83
Nice thing is that the vegas betting lines and simulations dont play the game.
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:20 am to trader_tiger83
Interesting link. Mizzou's win probability is 54% at Jordan-Hare, 62% neutral, and 68% at home.
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:21 am to Pavoloco83
I understand, but it's nice to get an objective take this late in the year.
Check out the previous season's best teams.
Nebraska from the mid 90's was pure dominance.
2008 Florida ranks really high all time as well.
Check out the previous season's best teams.
Nebraska from the mid 90's was pure dominance.
2008 Florida ranks really high all time as well.
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:32 am to trader_tiger83
What was the prediction for auburn vs bama?
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:33 am to trader_tiger83
Double post.
This post was edited on 12/2/13 at 10:34 am
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:39 am to trader_tiger83
Auburn stats don't really bode well for them because they don't do a good job of taking into account where AU's strengths are
Red Zone Defense and Offense. We do a ridiculously good job of holding teams to FGs or turnovers and converting our redzone opportunities into TDs.
Most simulation stats are based on yardage numbers and such where Auburn does a terrible job
Red Zone Defense and Offense. We do a ridiculously good job of holding teams to FGs or turnovers and converting our redzone opportunities into TDs.
Most simulation stats are based on yardage numbers and such where Auburn does a terrible job
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:45 am to GenesChin
quote:
Auburn stats don't really bode well for them because they don't do a good job of taking into account where AU's strengths are
Red Zone Defense and Offense. We do a ridiculously good job of holding teams to FGs or turnovers and converting our redzone opportunities into TDs.
Most simulation stats are based on yardage numbers and such where Auburn does a terrible job
That is great since those are exactly the same things that Mizzou excels at. Except Mizzou does those things just a bit better than Auburn does statistically.
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:45 am to GenesChin
quote:
Red Zone Defense and Offense. We do a ridiculously good job of holding teams to FGs or turnovers and converting our redzone opportunities into TDs.
That would be offset because the same can be said of Mizzou.
Total Defense ranks: MU 9th, AU 11th
Scoring Defense ranks: MU 2nd, AU 5th
Both teams are bend but don't break.
Posted on 12/2/13 at 10:46 am to Koch Snowflake
quote:
Koch Snowflake
Ha! Beat me to it.
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