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re: Message boards suggest Auburn has a decent chance to upset Alabama.
Posted on 11/14/16 at 6:20 pm to wdhalgren
Posted on 11/14/16 at 6:20 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
Message boards suggest Auburn has a decent chance to upset Alabama.
Quick everyone, there's no time to waste. Let's change our narrative before Auburn has a chance to upset Alabama.
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Posted on 11/14/16 at 6:21 pm to wdhalgren
They have a chance. "Decent" is a pretty vague modifier. Any rivalry game on the level of Auburn/Alabama has to be viewed as an outlier as far as betting odds go.
And message boards or no, I seriously doubt Saban will allow his team to get complacent. It has happened before, but Saban is more intense than most in this regard.
And message boards or no, I seriously doubt Saban will allow his team to get complacent. It has happened before, but Saban is more intense than most in this regard.
Posted on 11/14/16 at 6:21 pm to FairhopeTider
quote:
Yep, he really does have a tendency to let his team get cocky and lose to lesser teams all the time.
Well, I didn't say that he makes a habit of losing to lesser teams. But every coach does it on occasion because people, especially young men, are prone to overconfidence after a period of success. That's why the title contained the word "chance", overconfidence increases the risk of an upset IMO. Putting a percentage on it it is meaningless, but much better chance than you guys think.
This post was edited on 11/14/16 at 6:22 pm
Posted on 11/14/16 at 6:30 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
Well, I didn't say that he makes a habit of losing to lesser teams. But every coach does it on occasion because people, especially young men, are prone to overconfidence after a period of success. That's why the title contained the word "chance", overconfidence increases the risk of an upset IMO. Putting a percentage on it it is meaningless, but much better chance than you guys think.
But your argument kind of falls apart with Auburn. Even if your hypothesis about the correlation between message boards and the teams holds any water -- you offer no proof and it doesn't really pass the sniff test -- we're talking about a coach that is super intense about his job and one that is: 1) looking at a rivalry game; 2) looking to repeat as NC; 3) has a great track record of taking each opponent seriously; and 4)completely aware that Auburn has a pretty good record, the UGA loss notwithstanding. You're not making a very good case here.
Posted on 11/14/16 at 6:35 pm to randomways
quote:
You're not making a very good case here.
True. I didn't try to quantify it and don't plan to put that much effort forth. It's just an observation from reading message boards for a good while. I do think Auburn will at least enter the game with more determination than Bama. We'll see if they can keep it going for 60 minutes.
This post was edited on 11/14/16 at 6:38 pm
Posted on 11/14/16 at 6:36 pm to Shrike63
The bambies will stuff the run n kill the QB, bambies roll
Posted on 11/14/16 at 6:39 pm to DuncanIdaho
quote:
Probably not. You realize he's been injured for 3 weeks right?
Even when he's healthy, Alabama is a bad matchup for him. Think about the teams who have beaten Alabama since 2008 and think about the skill set of the QBs on those teams.
Florida- Tebow
Utah- Brian Johnson
South Carolina- Garcia
LSU- Jefferson
A&M- Manziel
Ole Miss- Wallace and Kelly
OSU- Cardale Jones
Auburn- Newton and Marshall
Oklahoma- Knight
All of those QBs had good to great mobility. White is an ok runner but not great at it.
Posted on 11/14/16 at 7:04 pm to wdhalgren
The defense might hold it close for a while. Gives up too many big pass plays though. Hurts will break a good run. Hit a long pass. Stewart will take off on one.
Once those things happen, the game will either trickle to a close with a 17-20 point Bama win or the flood gates will open for a big blowout.
No way our offense does jack shite if White is hurt. You can have Pettway at 100% and I'll feel the same.
Once those things happen, the game will either trickle to a close with a 17-20 point Bama win or the flood gates will open for a big blowout.
No way our offense does jack shite if White is hurt. You can have Pettway at 100% and I'll feel the same.
Posted on 11/14/16 at 7:05 pm to wdhalgren
Won't be close. Bama is the number one team this year.
Posted on 11/14/16 at 7:08 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
Bama fans are dreaming about how they'll roll through the playoffs
Has absolutely nothing to do with auburn
Posted on 11/14/16 at 7:25 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
Message boards suggest Auburn has a decent chance to upset Alabama.
This post was edited on 11/14/16 at 7:28 pm
Posted on 11/14/16 at 7:49 pm to wdhalgren
But Alabama is still pissed about 2010 and 2013.
Posted on 11/14/16 at 7:52 pm to CapstoneGrad06
dont see it...unless youre willing to take the 15 yarder and ejection to put Hurts out of the game.
Posted on 11/14/16 at 7:55 pm to wdhalgren
Hahahahahaha....Bama 45-0
Posted on 11/14/16 at 8:09 pm to wdhalgren
Thanks for exposing Aubie as the frauds they are! 
Posted on 11/14/16 at 8:13 pm to wdhalgren
How many times have we read this story before only to see Auburn pull the upset?
Posted on 11/14/16 at 8:30 pm to wdhalgren
Message boards: the most accurate barometer of how good a team is. 
Posted on 11/14/16 at 8:43 pm to wdhalgren
Gut feeling: Auburn brings it, hangs around for awhile and then Alabama starts overwhelming them late in the 3rd quarter similar to 2014
Posted on 11/14/16 at 8:46 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
Message boards are usually a pretty good indicator of how retarded fans can be.
FIFY
Posted on 11/14/16 at 10:20 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
Given two weeks of national media praise as one of the best teams ever, Alabama will be cocky
You clearly don't know this Alabama team very well. Or this rivalry.
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