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re: Massey Ratings Predicts W-L of Each SEC Team

Posted on 8/12/16 at 7:58 pm to
Posted by JCinBAMA
North of Huntsville
Member since Oct 2009
17584 posts
Posted on 8/12/16 at 7:58 pm to


Found this interesting

Below are the projections for the NCAA IA football games through
the 9-5-16 games. Games against non-IA teams are excluded.
The favorite is listed first with the projected margin of victory
(i.e., the line) in parenthesis. 'TP' represents the total number of
points expected to be scored in the game and 'Odds' represents the odds
of the favorite winning straight-up (not against-the-spread).


Saturday, August 27, 2016

California (-19.5) vs. Hawaii (TP=62 Odds=.763) @ Sydney, Australia


Thursday, September 1, 2016

Louisville (-30.5) vs. Charlotte (TP=54 Odds=.910)
Minnesota (-10.5) vs. Oregon State (TP=53 Odds=.671)
South Carolina (-3.5) @ Vanderbilt (TP=48 Odds=.563)
Indiana (-9.5) @ Florida International (TP=61 Odds=.639)
Wake Forest (-7) vs. Tulane (TP=48 Odds=.634)


Friday, September 2, 2016

Stanford (-18) vs. Kansas State (TP=57 Odds=.766)
Colorado State (-6) vs. Colorado (TP=58 Odds=.593) @ Denver, CO
Ball State (-4) @ Georgia State (TP=58 Odds=.558)


Saturday, September 3, 2016

Alabama (-19) vs. Southern California (TP=55 Odds=.787) @ Arlington, TX
Ohio State (-25.5) vs. Bowling Green State (TP=60 Odds=.834)
Clemson (-9) @ Auburn (TP=57 Odds=.643)
Oklahoma (-6) vs. Houston (TP=61 Odds=.592) @ Houston, TX
Notre Dame (-10) @ Texas (TP=55 Odds=.660)

Georgia (-10) vs. North Carolina (TP=59 Odds=.649)
Wisconsin (-2) vs. Louisiana State (TP=50 Odds=.536) @ Green Bay, WI
Mississippi State (-24) vs. South Alabama (TP=56 Odds=.835)
Michigan (-24.5) vs. Hawaii (TP=51 Odds=.867)
Florida (-25.5) vs. Massachusetts (TP=49 Odds=.888)

Texas A&M (-1.5) vs. UCLA (TP=59 Odds=.521)
Boise State (-14) @ Louisiana-Lafayette (TP=59 Odds=.706)
Iowa (-25.5) vs. Miami (Ohio) (TP=51 Odds=.884)
Tennessee (-13) vs. Appalachian State (TP=56 Odds=.698)
Arkansas (-10.5) vs. Louisiana Tech (TP=60 Odds=.654)

Washington (-13) vs. Rutgers (TP=55 Odds=.704)
Nebraska (-18.5) vs. Fresno State (TP=61 Odds=.753)
Toledo (-3) @ Arkansas State (TP=63 Odds=.544)
Arizona (-1.5) vs. Brigham Young (TP=62 Odds=.519) @ Glendale, AZ
Western Kentucky (-17.5) vs. Rice (TP=65 Odds=.733)

Northwestern (-9) vs. Western Michigan (TP=53 Odds=.652)
West Virginia (-2.5) vs. Missouri (TP=51 Odds=.547)
Penn State (-17) vs. Kent (TP=44 Odds=.814)
Northern Illinois (-15.5) @ Wyoming (TP=57 Odds=.730)
Georgia Tech (-4) @ Boston College (TP=49 Odds=.572)

Temple (-19) vs. Army (TP=51 Odds=.806)
Ohio (-13.5) vs. Texas State (TP=57 Odds=.706)
Kentucky (-3) vs. Southern Mississippi (TP=57 Odds=.547)
San Jose State (-4) vs. Tulsa (TP=62 Odds=.556)
Texas-El Paso (-12) vs. New Mexico State (TP=61 Odds=.670)

North Texas (-1) vs. Southern Methodist (TP=60 Odds=.517)


Monday, September 5, 2016

Florida State (-6.5) vs. Mississippi (TP=55 Odds=.604) @ Orlando, FL


LINK
This post was edited on 8/12/16 at 8:09 pm
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 8/12/16 at 8:19 pm to
That's impossible
Posted by Sid E Walker
InsecureU ©
Member since Nov 2013
23884 posts
Posted on 8/12/16 at 8:56 pm to
quote:

Wisconsin (-2) vs. Louisiana State

Uh oh.

Posted by cajunbama
Metairie
Member since Jan 2007
30949 posts
Posted on 8/12/16 at 8:57 pm to
Looks accurate as frick.
Posted by gatorsownfsu81
Birmingham, Alabama
Member since Aug 2012
801 posts
Posted on 8/12/16 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

quote:
Tennessee: 11-1 (7-1) 


Spot on
of course it is, but then the games are played....
Posted by semjase
New Smyrna Beach FL
Member since May 2014
10897 posts
Posted on 8/12/16 at 10:10 pm to
quote:

LSU: 9-3 (5-3)

Texas A&M: 5-7 (1-7)
If this actually goes down, it will be a battle to see who hires Tom Herman first. (If he has another year in 2016 at Houston like he did in 2015)
Posted by UFFan
Planet earth, Milky Way Galaxy
Member since Aug 2016
1946 posts
Posted on 8/12/16 at 10:33 pm to
Is he predicting the favorite to win every game?

Even if you give Alabama a better than 50 percent chance in every game they probably wouldn't go undefeated.

If you give them a 90% chance in every game that still only gives them a 28.24% chance at going 12-0. Doing that for simplicity's sake since I know their odds will vary from game to game.
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