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LSU's tDecline... is it even a thing? Let's take a look

Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:12 pm
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46559 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:12 pm
Since Les Miles' arrival for the 2005 season:



Since their 2007 National Championship season:



Since their 2011 SEC Championship:



If we look at the initial graph, it doesn't appear to be anything more than normal fluctuation.

Perhaps the decline stigma is due to the proverbial wind being taken out of the sails following the rematch, and looking at the numbers produces some confirmation bias. Or, perhaps tDecline is real. I'm not sure if there's any way of knowing at this point.

:inb4lsusessed:
:inb4alllsuallthetime:
:inb4gokillyourself:
:inb4pissbombs:
Posted by memphisplaya
Member since Jan 2009
85790 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:14 pm to
Did you really make graphs?

Now make one to show the increase of LSU players in the NFL over that same time span
Posted by absolute692
US of A, MFer
Member since Feb 2007
3964 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:14 pm to
I applaud you for the time you took to go create some excel graphs regarding an opposing team.

Definitely doesn't come off as obsessed.
Posted by CajunTiger_225
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
9201 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:15 pm to
why you up vote yourself?
Posted by GooseSix
Member since Jun 2012
19502 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:15 pm to
POP
Posted by Gradual_Stroke
Bee Cave, TX
Member since Oct 2012
20917 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:15 pm to
Post of the year?
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46559 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

Definitely doesn't come off as obsessed.


Literally took about 2 minutes to create the graphs and about a minute to load them into photobucket.

Not hard to plug in win totals and years and click save.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46559 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

why you up vote yourself?


To pat myself on the back for a solid thread.
Posted by Rebel Land Shark
Member since Jul 2013
30162 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

Now make one to show the increase of LSU players in the NFL over that same time span


Sure it's cool to produce a ton of NFL players and have a lot of players drafted but I don't think the amount of NFL players one team has is really a measure for success
Posted by Grit-Eating Shin
You're an Idiot
Member since May 2013
8432 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:17 pm to
You're weird.
Posted by Grit-Eating Shin
You're an Idiot
Member since May 2013
8432 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

but I don't think the amount of NFL players one team has is really a measure for success
Mmmm. I'd probably say the same thing if my team wasn't an NFL factory.
Posted by Rebel Land Shark
Member since Jul 2013
30162 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:18 pm to
Texas is an NFL factory don't know what you're talking about
Posted by NeathOrangeandBlue
Member since Oct 2014
1618 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

I'm not sure if there's any way of knowing at this point.


Well, since you've already invested this much time, can you do a Fourier analysis on this. I think you can generate a model for it, determine if/when the next championship run will be, and then bet the farm.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46559 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:19 pm to
quote:


Sure it's cool to produce a ton of NFL players and have a lot of players drafted but I don't think the amount of NFL players one team has is really a measure for success


I think maybe he's referring to LSU losing those players to the draft, which is a fair argument, but doesn't change the outcome. It may even raise some other red flags - like why there have been underclassmen jump into the draft to be drafted in later rounds when coming back for one more year could have made them millions more.
Posted by Gradual_Stroke
Bee Cave, TX
Member since Oct 2012
20917 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:21 pm to
How many people yall have drafted last year?
Posted by Tide or Die87
Huntsville, AL
Member since Jan 2012
12953 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:21 pm to
I hate when Bama fans make these type of threads but this is gold. God job sir.
Posted by Grit-Eating Shin
You're an Idiot
Member since May 2013
8432 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

Texas is an NFL factory don't know what you're talking about
Hard to blame you for not claiming Ole Miss.
Posted by CajunTiger_225
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
9201 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:21 pm to
At least you were honest
Posted by TeLeFaWx
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
29177 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:22 pm to
Chavis kept that thing afloat as long as he could.
Posted by NFLU
New Orleans, LA
Member since Aug 2014
5772 posts
Posted on 4/30/15 at 5:23 pm to
The constant beating of the chest is so strange.
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