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re: Joe Lunardi's Bracketology 2/12/15

Posted on 2/15/15 at 4:54 pm to
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145165 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 4:54 pm to
And even with out a single nice win all year, if we finish out 22-8 and 13-5 in the SEC, our RPI and kenpom rankings will be in the high 30s/low 40s and I feel decent about our chances getting in. I can see us being left out, but i think were more likely to be in with that scenario than out. Especially if we can make a run in the SEC tourney
Posted by AlaTiger
America
Member since Aug 2006
21123 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:02 pm to
What is LSU's RPI right now?

We were in the 30's before those two terrible losses to Miss. St. and Auburn.

Win those two and Missouri - all games LSU should have won - and this is a 21-4 team. So frustrating.

I guess you are what your record says you are though, so it is what it is.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31017 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:04 pm to
aTm isn't going to get in without a good win and an 86 SOS.

Jerry Palm has aTm out in his latest bracket and I agree.

aTm has one shot at a top 25 RPI win, but I don't see the Aggies rolling into Bud Walton and beating Arkansas.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31017 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:05 pm to
LSU has an RPI of 50+

Why I told West Coast, even beating LSU at home isn't a top 50 RPI win
Posted by AlaTiger
America
Member since Aug 2006
21123 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:07 pm to
What is the RPI? Do you know?
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145165 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:07 pm to
Bracket matrix has us in as an 11 seed as is. I can see us getting left out if, like you said a mid major upset in a conference tourney championship happens, but I think we are more likely in than out if we can finish strong
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31017 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:09 pm to
Just look at 2010 ALABAMA

12-4 in league play
8-8 vs. RPI top 100

NIT
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31017 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:11 pm to
51 according to ESPN
53 according to Warren Nolan
Posted by AlaTiger
America
Member since Aug 2006
21123 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:19 pm to
Thanks. That is what I was wondering - if it was 51 or 59 makes a big difference.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31017 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:20 pm to
LSU can't lose to Auburn again. That would make 4 losses to teams with an RPI of 137 or higher.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145165 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:29 pm to
Wasn't that the year the big east had something like 11 teams make it? I don't think this field is going to be as difficult to make it in
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31017 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:32 pm to
I don't remember. The SEC, right now, as much as we want to think we are better, is still the 6th best league using RPI.

This leads me to believe we only get 4 maybe 5 teams in.
This post was edited on 2/15/15 at 5:33 pm
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
42349 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:35 pm to
quote:


This leads me to believe we only get 4 maybe 5 teams in.



Yes.

The four in right now are:
Kentucky
Arkansas
Ole Miss
UGA

In that order.

aTm last four out.
LSU next four out.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145165 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:36 pm to
The Atlantic 10 was 6th in conference RPI last year and they got 6 in. It's not crazy to think we can get six in
This post was edited on 2/15/15 at 5:37 pm
Posted by Korin
Member since Jan 2014
37935 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:37 pm to
What about the NIT or CBI?
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
42349 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

The Atlantic 10 was 6th in conference RPI last year and they got 6 in.


They were not in the official RPI used by the committee (not available for public eyes).

That RPI factors in and "corrects" manipulation of the other RPI polls.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31017 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:43 pm to
quote:

The Atlantic 10 was 6th in conference RPI last year and they got 6 in. It's not crazy to think we can get six in


They also had their top 6 teams with an RPI of 36 or higher. All had 23+ wins and 10 or more wins in league play. Their top 6 all had at least 4 wins against RPI top 50 teams. All but one had at least 5.


Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31017 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:48 pm to
Jerry Palms bracket

1. Kentucky
5. Arkansas
9. Ole Miss
9. Georgia

Play In
11. LSU

First Four Out
aTm
Posted by tmc94
Member since Sep 2012
11559 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

They were not in the official RPI used by the committee (not available for public eyes).

well whatever they were, every conference above them in the unofficial got at least 6 in so your point is fairly meaningless

I think projections of the SEC only getting 4 are fairly retarded. Our overall RPI right now would have placed us 3rd last year so even comparing to the A10 isn't accurate. There is a rather clear demarcation between 6 and 7th conference this year, far more than in year's past,

The A10 is 7th this year. Their league RPI would have been 10th last year, far below even the SEC. It's pretty likely that this is going to come out in bids. My guess is all the top 6 will get at least 5 and most 6 and conference like the A10 will be 3 bid leagues at best. I could see them only getting 2 actually depending on how UMass closes. Their schedule doesn't do them any favors
Posted by nc14
La Jolla
Member since Jan 2012
28193 posts
Posted on 2/15/15 at 6:17 pm to
quote:


It would be huge for the SEC if it could get six teams in



It would be heresy.
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