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re: Hogs open as 6.5 point favorite over Auburn
Posted on 6/26/15 at 6:37 pm to lefty08
Posted on 6/26/15 at 6:37 pm to lefty08
quote:
see how this betting thing works?
I'm not sure who you were really responding to but I'm pretty sure I understand this betting thingy.
If this is a true opening line, I assume the line setter was looking at things like betting history, overall confidence, Auburn's historical success when playing at Arky,etc.
This being by many to be an unexpected line, you can rest assured that many will bet on Auburn to cover. As I assume you know, Vegas doesn't give a shite who wins (neither the teams or betters), Vegas wants there to be as even of a split as possible. After all, they make money on the juice paid by the loses and want the "losers" bet, before juice, to cover the "winners" winnings.
That said, I'm surprised by the opening line and would love to know the thought process. Of course, that won't be shared.
:edit for auto correct
This post was edited on 6/26/15 at 6:40 pm
Posted on 6/26/15 at 6:47 pm to rbWarEagle
quote:
.... holy bananas
This post was edited on 6/26/15 at 6:50 pm
Posted on 6/26/15 at 6:59 pm to Latarian
Hmmmm 6.5 favorites. Interesting.
Posted on 6/26/15 at 7:19 pm to Latarian
Spread doesn't jive with the Jeremy Johnson hype
Posted on 6/26/15 at 7:27 pm to Spirit Of Aggieland
quote:
Spread doesn't jive with the Jeremy Johnson hype
So you don't think J. Johnson jives with a Gus Malzhan offense. I'm sure you know what you're talking about so please help me understand what in the world makes you think that?
This post was edited on 6/26/15 at 7:29 pm
Posted on 6/26/15 at 7:28 pm to borotiger
I responded to you because you were the last post in the thread. We are saying the same thing here. Many of your auburn brothers were trying to explain the line by saying they were trying to get auburn bettors. I was merely explaining why their theory is flawed. Nothing more
Posted on 6/26/15 at 7:29 pm to borotiger
Keep up Boro, I believe he's referring to the betting "spread"
Posted on 6/26/15 at 7:31 pm to lefty08
quote:
Keep up Boro, I believe he's referring to the betting "spread"
Sorry, I'm multitasking poorly from the pub.
Posted on 6/26/15 at 7:48 pm to Latarian
I don't find this surprising, since we're at home. Having said that, I'm not at all confident we'll win.
Posted on 6/26/15 at 8:14 pm to borotiger
quote:You are one dumb bastard!
I'm not sure who you were really responding to but I'm pretty sure I understand this betting thingy. If this is a true opening line, I assume the line setter was looking at things like betting history, overall confidence, Auburn's historical success when playing at Arky,etc. This being by many to be an unexpected line, you can rest assured that many will bet on Auburn to cover. As I assume you know, Vegas doesn't give a shite who wins (neither the teams or betters), Vegas wants there to be as even of a split as possible. After all, they make money on the juice paid by the loses and want the "losers" bet, before juice, to cover the "winners" winnings. That said, I'm surprised by the opening line and would love to know the thought process. Of course, that won't be shared. :edit for auto correct
Posted on 6/26/15 at 8:27 pm to Latarian
Easy money for Hog fans, will be at least a 2 TD beat down.
Posted on 6/26/15 at 9:18 pm to coachcrisp
quote:
I'm not sure who you were really responding to but I'm pretty sure I understand this betting thingy. If this is a true opening line, I assume the line setter was looking at things like betting history, overall confidence, Auburn's historical success when playing at Arky,etc. This being by many to be an unexpected line, you can rest assured that many will bet on Auburn to cover. As I assume you know, Vegas doesn't give a shite who wins (neither the teams or betters), Vegas wants there to be as even of a split as possible. After all, they make money on the juice paid by the loses and want the "losers" bet, before juice, to cover the "winners" winnings. That said, I'm surprised by the opening line and would love to know the thought process. Of course, that won't be shared. :edit for auto correct
You are one dumb bastard!
So, when setting lines, you think that Vegas cares about which team wins.
I say that Vegas doesn't give a shite about who wins, they only want an even betting split.
One of if us is surely "one dumb bastard".
Edited to add:
If the bets are not even,"Vegas" sure as hell cares who wins but that's not why they set lines.
This post was edited on 6/26/15 at 9:32 pm
Posted on 6/26/15 at 9:44 pm to PorkSammich
We'll win this one...no ace in the hole this time...
Posted on 6/26/15 at 10:03 pm to Clark14
The line has already dropped to -2 for Arkansas.
Posted on 6/26/15 at 10:18 pm to joeyb147
Malzahn will pull every high school trick in the book to try to win this game.His little signs on the sideline will be more embarrassing to college football than they've ever been.
The prairie dogging will make true football fans want to puke and his defensive coordinator will want to strangle him for leaving his unit on the field for most of the game while our team runs down their neck.
Good times.
The prairie dogging will make true football fans want to puke and his defensive coordinator will want to strangle him for leaving his unit on the field for most of the game while our team runs down their neck.
Good times.
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