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First and 10: Alabama fans, here's the brutal truth: This Tide team has serious issues

Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:01 pm
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12812 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:01 pm
First and 10: Alabama fans, here's the brutal truth: This Tide team has serious issues
Matt Hayes | 11 hours ago LINK

1. I don’t want to get on a soapbox, but …
I’ve got some bad news for Alabama faithful looking for an answer to why what used to look so easy, is now so ugly.
And it begins and ends with the same guy who spent much of the offseason complaining about NIL and its impact on recruiting.
Want to blame someone for the wildly un-Alabama performance against a Texas team that will struggle to gain bowl eligibility this season? Look no further than the king himself, Nick Saban.
Players win games, and right now, Alabama doesn’t have talent of the past on the offensive line and wide receiver — because it has missed in recruiting both position rooms over the past 5 years.
“Texas is better than people give them credit for,” Saban said after a disturbingly dysfunctional win over the Longhorns. “If they were in the SEC, they’d probably be in the top half of the league.”
OK, let’s stop right here and begin eliminating the excuses, shall we? Because this is the Alabama modus operandi under Saban: lose a game, or win a game and play poorly, and the fault never lies from within.
It’s beginning to rot from within, and it has nothing to do with Texas — which will struggle to reach bowl eligibility this season. If Texas is in the top half of the SEC, the SEC has problems, everyone.
Recruiting is the lifeblood of every program, and Alabama is no exception. Saban has built this monster — which still could find itself and right itself, and advance to the Playoff — by recruiting the best high school players and developing them into the elite of college football and future NFL Draft picks.
In Saban’s 15 seasons prior to 2022, he has had 19 offensive linemen drafted — including 9 in the first round and 14 in the first 3 rounds.
In those same 15 seasons, Alabama has had 11 wide receivers drafted, including 8 in the first round and 10 in the first 3 rounds.
It’s not a stretch to say offensive line and wide receiver have been the foundational core of the Alabama offense under Saban. Quarterbacks come and go — game managers and stars who have won national titles — but the offense has gone from a successful complement to the defense to the reason Alabama wins games.
Until now.
We should’ve seen this coming last season, when the offensive line gave up 40 — 40! — sacks and led the SEC by giving up more than 100 tackles for loss. But because quarterback Bryce Young was so masterful, and because no one could cover wideout Jameson Williams (more on him later), the problems flew under the radar.
So, too, did the problems at wide receiver. Had Saban not landed Williams from the transfer portal prior to the 2021 season, and had Williams not developed into the most dangerous player in the game, the problems at wide receiver that are glaringly evident now would’ve shown last season.
The problem, again: recruiting.
And the Tide can no longer kick the can down the road and hope the portal saves them.


2. Falling down up front
The offensive line is a mess. Again, it’s not like Alabama was trading blows with Georgia last weekend.
That same Texas defense — with a few exceptions — was 99th in the nation in scoring defense (31.1 ppg), and 114th in rush defense (201.5 ypg).
But for an 81-yard TD run by Jase McClellan, Alabama rushed for 80 yards on 23 carries. Texas had 2 sacks and 7 hurries, and Young was constantly under duress.
Now, the Alabama offensive line: A Vanderbilt transfer at the most important position (LT Tyler Steen), a former tight end (LG Kendall Randolph), a late bloomer (C Darrian Dalcourt), a former 5-star recruit (RT JC Latham) and a 5th-year senior Emil Ekiyor.
For a program that recruits better than any other in the game.
In the past 5 recruiting classes, Alabama has produced a top-10 NFL Draft pick (Evan Neal), and 3 starters and 5 backups on the 2-deep depth chart vs. Texas — from 18 recruits. A more damning way to look at it: 4 of the 18 recruits have developed into starters. In 5 classes.
That’s how, outside of an 81-yard run, you average 3.5 yards per carry. How your quarterback is harassed all game. How, but for a magical drive by the best offensive player in the game late in the fourth quarter, Alabama nearly lost to another unranked team from the state of Texas.
Against an average defense.


3. Ignoring the signs, The Epilogue
As the third quarter of the Texas game wound down, a disturbing reality had surfaced: who does Alabama have at wide receiver that can stress any defense?
The receivers had 3 catches for 14 yards at that time; they caught 10 in the fourth quarter when Young willed the offense to points and eventually the game-winning drive.
Much like the offensive line, we should’ve seen this in 2021, when Alabama got Williams from the transfer portal and he immediately — from the moment Young hit him in stride with a deep ball against Miami in the season-opener — became the most important player on the offense not named Young.
And like the offensive line, the problems at wide receiver can be traced to recruiting. In the past 5 recruiting classes, Alabama has landed 15 receivers, and the Tide goes 3-deep on the depth chart in its 3 wide receiver set.
Four of the 9 players on the 3-deep are true freshmen and 2 are transfers. The past 5 classes are littered with recruiting misses, and guys who haven’t developed or left the team: Agiye Hall, Javon Baker, Xavier Williams, Thaiu Jones-Bell.
Even 5-star Ja’Corey Brooks, who made a couple of big catches late last season (see: Auburn game), still hasn’t won a starting job.
There’s no receiver on the roster who stresses the defense, and the transition for the 2 from the transfer portal who were expected to bring deep speed hasn’t gone well. Georgia transfer Jermaine Burton has 7 catches and is averaging 6.4 yards per catch, and Louisville transfer Tyler Harrell (foot) hasn’t played.
Burton caught 2 passes for 10 yards against Texas, when Young was desperate for a consistent threat.
“We didn’t block them very well up front, didn’t protect very well, got pressure in the pocket,” Saban said. “Wasn’t very effective throwing the ball. Didn’t get people open.”
That about sums up the crucial process of recruiting, developing, and playing at a high level.
Something that’s not happening right now at Alabama on the offensive line and at wide receiver.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
32859 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:13 pm to
Everyone needs to breathe a couple weeks on Bama and Texas before forming any real opinions.
Posted by Trumansfangs
Town & Country
Member since Sep 2018
6894 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

Everyone needs to breathe a couple weeks on Bama and Texas before forming any real opinions.


No no, A Georgia fan who can link articles from talking heads, that's great.

We should all pay special attention to Georgia fans because they have now become the overlords of college football.



Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25872 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:22 pm to
The WR thing is definitely a problem. Wouldn’t say it’s time to panic yet, but it seems safe to say Alabama probably doesn’t have the first rounder or two that they’ve consistently had for the last decade.
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
22593 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:22 pm to
I hope someone links this to the Alabama players.
Posted by GoT1de
Alabama
Member since Aug 2009
5041 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:27 pm to
So, he's saying in that whole page of word spaghetti that me and everybody else in the world didn't read, is that you have to block good and run fast to win it all and Bama doesn't block real well or run real fast right now?

I hope you paid for that epic news you posted.
Posted by Between TheHedges
Message Board Genius
Member since Aug 2022
3721 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:28 pm to
Kirby broke Bama with that 33-18 beatdown in Indy
Posted by auisssa
Member since Feb 2010
4163 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:29 pm to
Lol, calm down.
Posted by m2pro
Member since Nov 2008
28597 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:29 pm to
That's a lot of words to focus on someone ELSE'S team.

Posted by Jacknola
New Orleans
Member since May 2013
4366 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:32 pm to
we've seen a lot of nominally lower talent teams win this year. NIL and finally parity has shown their cards.

I ran a season long spreadsheet 4-5 years ago and discovered that there was not a statistical difference in the win chances of any two teams ranked within about 10 places in the team-talent hierarchy. And that there was only a little better correlation in wins for the higher rated team over an opponent within 20 places. My conclusion was... don't bet CFB based on "star-based" talent rankings.

I don't think it is Saban, nor is it players... necessarily. I think it is assistant coaches, namely OC, maybe DC, and especially OL. Even Neal, a top draft pick in the spring, was absolutely pilloried this fall over his technique and methods when he got to pros. This means he was ill-coached in Alabama. Poor OL play with good talent has been around for a number of seasons now... I mean technique has flown somewhere.

OC is a plodding pro-style, run 60 plays a game and win by field goals type. I've not been a fan of O'Brien since he was hired, but I thought maybe it was just in comparison to Sasrk and Kiffin. But now he really looks plodding.

Saban seems to like the recruiting input of former head coaches. Don't know how he will address the OL. I thought the new guy would work the technique issues out... but not yet.

So here we are. Could be a long season. Certainly, do not look like a contender. Instead, look a lot like last year. We will see.
Posted by HighTide_ATL
Member since Aug 2020
1901 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:37 pm to
Why link the article AND post a wall of text?
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
32214 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:40 pm to
Holy crap. All you have to do is beat them. Writing War and Peace is not necessary.
Posted by secuniversity
Member since May 2015
5682 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

Matt Hayes


Lol. Yeah this hot take isn't going to blow up in his face later.

I think you're seeing most people in the media not take these breathless overreactions because they know Alabama will end up making them look foolish.

But I guess Matt just wants clicks.
This post was edited on 9/12/22 at 8:12 pm
Posted by secuniversity
Member since May 2015
5682 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

Kirby broke Bama


1-1
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72175 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:43 pm to
No one is reading all of that overreaction.
Posted by Bench McElroy
Member since Nov 2009
33925 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:46 pm to
Saw a post on Reddit about how there were eight #1 ranked teams that ended up escaping by a single point against an unranked opponent. Five out of those eight teams ended up finishing the year in the top 4.
Posted by MackDaddyBrown
Member since Jul 2021
3740 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

I mean technique has flown somewhere.

Kyle Flood flew to Austin.
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
44874 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:50 pm to
quote:

Saw a post on Reddit about how there were eight #1 ranked teams that ended up escaping by a single point against an unranked opponent. Five out of those eight teams ended up finishing the year in the top 4.

62.5% chance to make the playoffs baw
Posted by Marktastic86
Pismo Beach, CA
Member since Dec 2020
12523 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

Saw a post on Reddit about how there were eight #1 ranked teams that ended up escaping by a single point against an unranked opponent. Five out of those eight teams ended up finishing the year in the top 4.

One seriously insecure individual to downvote a post like this.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/12/22 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

Kyle Flood flew to Austin.


I mean you aren't wrong. Flood leaving + Maronne for a year, which ended up being basically an entire year of wasted development, is to blame for what we are seeing right now.

I think Wolford will be pretty good, but you don't fix an OL overnight generally. Hopefully we see improvement over the year. If not, we'll have issues.
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