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Defensive Statgasm for A&M's remaining schedule
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:05 pm
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:05 pm
Looking at points scored against the defense compared the strength of the offense played.
Here's how it's calculated. I took the teams total offensive rank divided it by the total amount of FBS teams and then multiplied it by the amount of points our D gave up. To add is some control, I only did this for the P5 opponents. I chose the mean to compare as there isn't enough data points to use the median which means statistical outliers will skew the data (like the bama game last year against A&M).
Bottom line to read this: a lower average means a better scoring defense. A lower offensive rank means a better offense. The closer the rank is too 1, the worse the offense.
Here is all the teams remaining on A&Ms schedule plus A&M.
Here is a comparison to our 2014 to this year. I included LSU to see how losing chavis affected them as well.
Before I get accused of trolling LSU. My whole goal in computing this is too see if chavis actually improved our defense and a way to compare it to other teams too see by how much.
I think it's obvious by this and a combination of many other defensive statistics that A&M's defense has improved a lot which I have to give credit to chavis and defensive players getting 1 year older.
Looking at the data, arkansas is really skewing the average for us right now. We had great games against ASU and State but really did poorly against the run D of arkansas.
Here's how it's calculated. I took the teams total offensive rank divided it by the total amount of FBS teams and then multiplied it by the amount of points our D gave up. To add is some control, I only did this for the P5 opponents. I chose the mean to compare as there isn't enough data points to use the median which means statistical outliers will skew the data (like the bama game last year against A&M).
Bottom line to read this: a lower average means a better scoring defense. A lower offensive rank means a better offense. The closer the rank is too 1, the worse the offense.
Here is all the teams remaining on A&Ms schedule plus A&M.
Here is a comparison to our 2014 to this year. I included LSU to see how losing chavis affected them as well.
Before I get accused of trolling LSU. My whole goal in computing this is too see if chavis actually improved our defense and a way to compare it to other teams too see by how much.
I think it's obvious by this and a combination of many other defensive statistics that A&M's defense has improved a lot which I have to give credit to chavis and defensive players getting 1 year older.
Looking at the data, arkansas is really skewing the average for us right now. We had great games against ASU and State but really did poorly against the run D of arkansas.
This post was edited on 10/11/15 at 1:18 pm
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:06 pm to agrunner
You didn't need to do that to see the improvement on D.
Just think of all that time you could have been filling a jar instead of this!
Just think of all that time you could have been filling a jar instead of this!
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:07 pm to agrunner
aTm's defense has obviously improved.
I still think they'll get run all over by Alabama and LSU. Need to improve their strength in the middle of the field.
I still think they'll get run all over by Alabama and LSU. Need to improve their strength in the middle of the field.
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:07 pm to JayDeerTay84
Da fuq is all that bs....
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:08 pm to L S Usetheforce
quote:
Da fuq is all that bs....
It's data.
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:09 pm to agrunner
You know how much data wins football games?
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:21 pm to agrunner
Why are the numbers for Syracuse and ASU so different when they are both ranked 57 in scoring? And your numbers also indicate Arkansas is ranked much higher than Auburn, when in fact they are ranked lower.
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:24 pm to GRTiger
I used total offense for rank.
But you have me curious do I'm going to go through and use scoring offense and see what changes.
But you have me curious do I'm going to go through and use scoring offense and see what changes.
This post was edited on 10/11/15 at 12:25 pm
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:25 pm to agrunner
But applied score to get your analysis?
Aggy
Aggy
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:29 pm to agrunner
To no surprise Chavis has made quick work of the aggie defense, and it's impressive.
Still, any aggie who's watched LSU this season should understand that LSU's problems aren't schematic. We have ZERO front 7 depth, and it's absolutely killing us in the second half. I like Chavis a lot and what he did for LSU, but he and brick's recruiting efforts were killing us.
Still, any aggie who's watched LSU this season should understand that LSU's problems aren't schematic. We have ZERO front 7 depth, and it's absolutely killing us in the second half. I like Chavis a lot and what he did for LSU, but he and brick's recruiting efforts were killing us.
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:29 pm to agrunner
I'm not reading all that shite.
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:40 pm to agrunner
If you wanted to conflate yards and score, why not just take the total defense rankings divided by 127 and then multiply it by the average ppg given up by each of your next opponents? Wouldn't that get you there?
That last question is premature, I guess. Nobody knows where "there" is with this thread.
That last question is premature, I guess. Nobody knows where "there" is with this thread.
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:43 pm to agrunner
See next post.
This post was edited on 10/11/15 at 1:11 pm
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:45 pm to agrunner
Nope, still wrong.
Eta:
You might want to just delete everything and pray this thread dies. Ignoring the incorrectly applied data, it doesn't look good that the "control" of not including non P-5 opponents also has the added benefit of removing Aggy's two worst performances.
Eta:
You might want to just delete everything and pray this thread dies. Ignoring the incorrectly applied data, it doesn't look good that the "control" of not including non P-5 opponents also has the added benefit of removing Aggy's two worst performances.
This post was edited on 10/11/15 at 12:51 pm
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:45 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
aTm's defense has obviously improved.
I still think they'll get run all over by Alabama and LSU. Need to improve their strength in the middle of the field.
Pretty much this, they are still a soft team from what I've seen, but at least they aren't soft AND play with poor fundamentals like they did last year.
Posted on 10/11/15 at 12:53 pm to GRTiger
Posted on 10/11/15 at 1:00 pm to agrunner
You linked to 2013 so I have no clue what you're using, but I can take one look at a few of your figures and tell they are wrong. ASU is not ranked 15th in scoring offense on any list.
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