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CBS Sportsline Expert picks are 5-2 for UGA

Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:08 pm
Posted by Dawg4Life47
Beach
Member since Sep 2013
8428 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:08 pm
...and Vegas gives UGA the edge.

Sorry MSU, you will lose, the experts have confirmed it.

Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18004 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:16 pm to
You must be terrified.

CBS Sportsline Experts went 7-0 for LSU over MSU last week. And MSU is 3-0 ATS and have outperformed the spread by 30 points a game.

Its okay. You only have one more sleepless night to be worried about MSU. You'll sleep fine after its over.

Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:17 pm to
shite troll attempt is shite. This is like taking all the hard work of tReverseGrind® that has been done, and putting it in reverse... again... only serving to drop the transmission while you're going 90 down the straight away.
This post was edited on 9/22/17 at 1:18 pm
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18004 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:21 pm to
Its okay.

Georgia beat Notre Dame. The same Notre Dame that went 4-8 last year and will probably fire their coach by the end of the year. That Notre Dame is the one that Georgia beat. by one point.

The same Notre Dame that gave up 330 yards rushing to Temple. A Temple team that garnered about 85 rushing yards last night to South Florida.

Maybe Notre Dame isn't that good.
Posted by tider04
North Carolina
Member since Oct 2007
5606 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:24 pm to
I don't get why the experts are so high on UGA. Then again, Vegas makes a lot of money by being right more than they're wrong. Obviously they all see something I don't because what I see is a UGA team with a good defense, but a sketch OL and two young QB's that aren't ready for prime-time yet. Meanwhile, MSU looks mean on both sides of the ball. I'd pick MSU 27-20 or something like that.
Posted by Dawg4Life47
Beach
Member since Sep 2013
8428 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:25 pm to
But you guys said last year doesn't count, hence S. Alabama loss.
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42471 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

I don't get why the experts are so high on UGA


They all aren't. I think 3 out of 4 CBS Sports experts picked MSU, maybe all 4. Really just depends on the site you want to use. Looks like a complete toss up from most websites I've seen.
Posted by Dawg4Life47
Beach
Member since Sep 2013
8428 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:26 pm to
Because no one bets with Cabbage Patch Man and Grantham, thats why
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18004 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

But you guys said last year doesn't count, hence S. Alabama loss.



I never said that. I said 1930 didn't matter. Last year matters, but not near as much as this year's results.

Georgia went 7-5 against an East loaded schedule last year. Georgia had a one point win against a horrible Missouri and a two point win against Nicholls State. That's how close you were to a losing season. Not to mention that you were blown out by the last place team in the West - a team that a 5-7 MSU team beat on the road by 35.

The point is that the only thing you are hanging your hat on is a one point win over a bad Notre Dame team. Ask yourself would LSU beat Notre Dame? Would Louisiana Tech beat Notre Dame?

I think Georgia's defense is awesome. Might be the best in the conference. But your offensive line is abysmal and you have a freshman QB. You are going to have a hard time moving the ball consistently. You win the game if your great defense can stop MSU - the top scoring team in the SEC, the top offense in the SEC, the No. 2 rusher in the SEC (and that's not even Fitzgerald). If you do all of that, you still have to move the ball on the No. 1 defensive efficiency team in the country with a freshman QB and an abysmal offensive line.



This post was edited on 9/22/17 at 1:40 pm
Posted by Sancho Panza
La Habaña, Cuba
Member since Sep 2014
8161 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:37 pm to
The Old Piss game was on the road.
Posted by Killean
Port Charlotte, FL
Member since Nov 2010
4669 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:38 pm to
Vegas doesn't make money in sports betting by being right. Vegas makes money by shifting the lines to balance out the money on both sides so that they profit no matter the outcome.

A Vegas line is basically the general consensus of every single degen in the world on what the outcome is with each vote costing a dollar. Spend more dollars, get more votes on the line direction.
Posted by higgs_boson
State College, PA
Member since Sep 2014
22454 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

Maybe Notre Dame isn't that good.


I think this is a line that could have been used for at least the last decade.

I don't want to take away from GA and their win, but I get so tired of hearing how ND is back every year.
Posted by Road to 16
Mississippi
Member since Feb 2014
823 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

Georgia beat Notre Dame. The same Notre Dame that went 4-8 last year and will probably fire their coach by the end of the year. That Notre Dame is the one that Georgia beat. by one point.


If we are going off of last year MSU lost to South Alabama at home and finished the regular season 5-7. Not to mention it took a blocked field goal against a MAC team to win the Beef O' Brady's bowl
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42471 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

Georgia had a one point win against a horrible Missouri and a two point win against Nicholls State. That's how close you were to a losing season. Not to mention that you were blown out by the last place team in the West - a team that a 5-7 MSU team beat on the road by 35.


Ok. We also beat an Auburn team that beat y'all by 24 last year. I have no idea what this has to do anything. We lost to UT on a Hail Mary, and lost to Vandy & GT by 1. This was also all last season and I don't think either of our teams want to relive that year.

quote:

The point is that the only thing you are hanging your hat on is a one point win over a bad Notre Dame team. Ask yourself would LSU beat Notre Dame? Would Louisiana Tech beat Notre Dame?


I don't know if LSU would. Possibly, but ND has a dual threat QB and running game that LSU struggled with against y'all. I highly doubt La Tech would beat ND but it is possible.

quote:

I think Georgia's defense is awesome. Might be the best in the conference. But your offensive line is abysmal and you have a freshman QB. You are going to have a hard time moving the ball consistently. You win the game if your great defense can stop MSU - the top scoring team in the SEC, the top offense in the SEC, the No. 2 rusher in the SEC (and that's not even Fitzgerald). If you do all of that, you still have to move the ball on the No. 1 defensive efficiency team in the country with a freshman QB and an abysmal offensive line.


This all seems pretty fair. I do think it's a little ridiculous to claim the #1 place in certain statistical things currently because it's such a small sample size.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Georgia went 7-5 against an East loaded schedule last year

SOS for UGA in 2016: 39th - Regular season Record: 7-5
SOS for MSU in 2016: 37th - Regular season Record: 5-7

quote:

Georgia had a one point win against a horrible Missouri and a two point win against Nicholls State. That's how close you were to a losing season.

I can play this game too! UGA was a one point loss to Tech and Vandy from being 9-3, and a last minute Hail Mary in the UT game from being 10-2... wow?! If you shite in one hand and wish in the other, amirite?

Meanwhile, Miss St won a bowl game against Miami... of Ohio by one point... to get to 6 wins and still have a losing record.

quote:

Not to mention that you were blown out - at home - by the last place team in the West - a team that a 5-7 MSU team beat on the road by 35.


It was admittedly a poor showing by the Dawgs. To be fair, you didn't play them with their starting quarterback either. If we're going to play the game of transitive properties and give total disregard to injury status, you lost by 24 to Auburn, at home, while we won that matchup. Also, you lost to Kentucky, a team which we also managed to beat with what you Grinders seem to infer was a dumpster fire of a team last year.

quote:

The point is that the only thing you are hanging your hat on is a one point win over a bad Notre Dame team

Interesting. The same Notre Dame team that had all but one loss decided by a single score? Also one of only 10 teams in 2017 that has higher than 50% of its roster made up of former 4* and 5* recruits. I don't yet know whether they're any good this year, but they're better than many want to give them credit for.

quote:

Ask yourself would LSU beat Notre Dame? Would Louisiana Tech beat Notre Dame?


LSU: Maybe... not with the performance they showed last week though
La Tech: No...

quote:

I think Georgia's defense is awesome. Might be the best in the conference. But your offensive line is abysmal and you have a freshman QB. You are going to have a hard time moving the ball consistently. You win the game if your great defense can stop MSU - the top scoring team in the SEC, the top offense in the SEC, the No. 2 rusher in the SEC (and that's not even Fitzgerald). If you do all of that, you still have to move the ball on the No. 1 defensive efficiency team in the country with a freshman QB and an abysmal offensive line.


I don't yet know if our defense will hold up, and yes our offensive line is a question mark. All of your "top in the SEC" stats though mean about frick all, given that your schedule consists of about what ours does... 2 relative cupcakes, and one team which many *assume* based on preseason ratings and roster talent is decent, but the on-field performance may not support.

ETA: DOT34 beat me to the punch...
This post was edited on 9/22/17 at 1:56 pm
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Vegas doesn't make money in sports betting by being right. Vegas makes money by shifting the lines to balance out the money on both sides so that they profit no matter the outcome.

That people fail to understand this in 20 - fricking - 17 is insane. A line has significantly less to do with the anticipated outcome, and more to do with what is the general sentiment of people willing to put money on a game. Vegas makes money on the vig.
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11585 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Its okay.


Yes. Yes, it is.

quote:

Georgia beat Notre Dame. The same Notre Dame that went 4-8 last year and will probably fire their coach by the end of the year. That Notre Dame is the one that Georgia beat. by one point.


We'll also beat a State team that went 5-7 last year, but they'll hang onto their coach because that was just par for the course. Notre Dame expects more, I suppose.

quote:

The same Notre Dame that gave up 330 yards rushing to Temple.


That same State team that gave up 468 yards passing to Samford. And another 159 rushing, though they didn't have to rush a bunch.

quote:

A Temple team that garnered about 85 rushing yards last night to South Florida.


A Samford team that posted 241 yards passing and a whopping 70 yards rushing against mighty Kennesaw State a couple weeks ago. They also rushed for a meager 22 against UGA last week.

quote:

Maybe Notre Dame isn't that good.


Maybe State isn't that good, either?
This post was edited on 9/22/17 at 2:14 pm
Posted by LewDawg
Member since May 2009
75242 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Not to mention that you were blown out by the last place team in the West
Yeah but I got to make a funny thread about it so it's cool
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

...and Vegas gives UGA the edge.

Sorry MSU, you will lose, the experts have confirmed it.


I hope they just go ahead and cancel the game. No reason to play it at this point.
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11585 posts
Posted on 9/22/17 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

would LSU beat Notre Dame?


Toss up.

quote:

Would Louisiana Tech beat Notre Dame?


No.

quote:

MSU - the top scoring team in the SEC, the top offense in the SEC, the No. 2 rusher in the SEC (and that's not even Fitzgerald). If you do all of that, you still have to move the ball on the No. 1 defensive efficiency team in the country


It's been three games, two of which don't really count. These stats mean relatively little at this point in the season.
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