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CBS: A&M # 4 in CFP projection

Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:31 am
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
19911 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:31 am
LINK


Nice, but meaningless. This weekend will likely decide at least the SECW, if not the SEC. After that, there won't be 2 SEC teams in the top 4 of the CFP. I don't see any way where the CFP is not the clear champs of the Big 4.

BDF is screwed, and not just this year. I see it being one of those things where even the whorns or zero U will need to be undefeated to edge out champs from the other 4. Not quite P5, but closer to that than the SEC, B1G, ACC, or Pac.
This post was edited on 10/18/16 at 10:39 am
Posted by agrunner
Flower Mound
Member since Dec 2012
4617 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:33 am to
I actually think the loser of Ohio St/Michigan slips in before the A&M does(assuming we go 11-1 with a close loss to bama).
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
4799 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:33 am to
I have already told my wife that if we do make it to the playoffs, I am selling the ranch to get there.

Slept on the couch though, so may not work out.
Posted by TouchdownTony
Central Alabama
Member since Apr 2016
9666 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:34 am to
quote:

I have already told my wife that if we do make it to the playoffs, I am selling the ranch to get there.



Speaking from experience you will pretty much have to do that. They literally treat this thing like a Super Bowl.
Posted by cardboardboxer
Member since Apr 2012
34330 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:35 am to
quote:

I actually think the loser of Ohio St/Michigan slips in before the A&M does(assuming we go 11-1 with a close loss to bama).



I once slipped and fell into a vagina. It was terrible.
Posted by The Maj
Member since Sep 2016
27061 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:35 am to
Actually not that far fetched... close loss to BAMA and slips here and there by the rest... Either Meechegan or OSU will have a late loss...

Washington could slip up...
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:36 am to
quote:

Nice, but meaningless

It means just as much as the ap and the coaches poll. Which is nothing.
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
4799 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:36 am to
How much is the total package?

I had hawaii planned but it can change in an instant if we really make it.
Posted by cjohn
Georgia
Member since Aug 2014
847 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:36 am to
quote:

agrunner
CBS: A&M # 4 in CFP projection
I actually think the loser of Ohio St/Michigan slips in before the A&M does(assuming we go 11-1 with a close loss to bama).


This.

The only way SEC gets two in is if A&M beats Bama this week and goes undefeated - Bama finishes with 1 loss.

Bama could get in under that scenario. If it is reversed, no way A&M gets in. Ohio State/Michigan loser would get in before A&M.
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:39 am to
Still too much football to play to have any solid predictions. My shaky prediction would be, in no particular order:

1. Winner of SEC, assuming it is not a two loss team.
2. Winner of Ohio State/Michigan. Nebraska controls its destiny, but I can't imagine them beating Ohio State in the regular season and then again in the B1G championship.
3. ACC champs
4. Washington, if it can make it through with one loss other than the Pac12 championship.

Two teams that are undefeated and getting no attention yet: Navy and Boise. If Navy could make it through undefeated, even with a weaker schedule they would be a sentimental favorite.

I don't think is the year that a team makes the playoffs without winning their conference. Frankly, I doubt that it happens before they expand it to 8 teams - too much pressure to take a conference champ.
Posted by WarBuzzard
Bammer
Member since Oct 2016
910 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:41 am to
CBS hasn't been around Aggy yet to know that they have atleast 3 more bed shittings ahead of them
Posted by agrunner
Flower Mound
Member since Dec 2012
4617 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:42 am to
We also have at least 1 win where we have no business winning.
Posted by aggressor
Austin, TX
Member since Sep 2011
8714 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:43 am to
Actually if A&M wins a very close game with Bama and both teams win out I could see Bama slipping in to the CFP. They would need some help but that is possible. Clemson seems to be flirting with losing weekly. OSU/Michigan will take each other out and the loser will have that as their last game with no time to recover poll position. Washington is rolling but they are also new to winning so it wouldn't shock me if they slipped, they still have to play at Utah, USC and ASU at home, and then a rivalry road game against a WSU team that looks very dangerous with the pirate coaching them.

No way does any other 1 loss team jump Bama.

Now if it is A&M that loses and then wins out it is less certain. A&M hasn't been as dominant as Bama. That said, an A&M resume then would finish with wins over LSU (in the final game) and Ole Miss to go with Auburn, Arkie, UT, and UCLA and would only have the Bama loss. Certainly that would make A&M a strong contender if the undefeateds start to fall.
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72162 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:46 am to
quote:



Speaking from experience you will pretty much have to do that. They literally treat this thing like a Super Bowl.



What? The Sugar Bowl and Cotton Bowl were easy tickets. The CFP national title was easier to find tickets than BCS title games. The only hangup was reasonable lodging in Arizona. Flights weren't bad.
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
23111 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Actually if A&M wins a very close game with Bama and both teams win out I could see Bama slipping in to the CFP. They would need some help but that is possible. Clemson seems to be flirting with losing weekly. OSU/Michigan will take each other out and the loser will have that as their last game with no time to recover poll position. Washington is rolling but they are also new to winning so it wouldn't shock me if they slipped, they still have to play at Utah, USC and ASU at home, and then a rivalry road game against a WSU team that looks very dangerous with the pirate coaching them.



I think if what you said above were to occur, Bama may need a loss by OSU in that game. If Michigan losses by 3 or less on the road to a top 3 team, they SHOULD be viewed as more favorably to a top 5 team who lost at home. Also would depend on how the committee views the teams after A&M/Bama/OSU/Michigan in your presented scenario.

Who knows though today
Posted by PhilipMarlowe
Member since Mar 2013
20475 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:51 am to
quote:

I have already told my wife


what's his name?
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 10:55 am to
quote:

I think if what you said above were to occur, Bama may need a loss by OSU in that game. If Michigan losses by 3 or less on the road to a top 3 team, they SHOULD be viewed as more favorably to a top 5 team who lost at home. Also would depend on how the committee views the teams after A&M/Bama/OSU/Michigan in your presented scenario.

Who knows though today


That's a point, but I actually think the opposite. Ohio State has a more impressive resume with the blowout win over OU. Michigan's best nonconference win is over Colorado. Bama's resume would be distinctly better than Michigan's, despite the assessment of home vs away in the loss in that scenario.

Plus, even though it shouldn't factor, Ohio State's talent loaded roster, coupled with the fact that many people thought they may have been the best team last year and only a close loss to MSU kept them out, would probably influence some of the discussion.
Posted by texmariner84
H-town
Member since Aug 2011
556 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 11:08 am to
Navy is not undefeated, they lost to Air Force who has since lost 2 n a row to New Mexico and Wyoming, Navy will not be in the CFP.
This post was edited on 10/18/16 at 11:12 am
Posted by AUTiger45
The Ham
Member since Oct 2013
4043 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 11:13 am to
can you go 5 fricking minutes without bringing up Texas?
Posted by BigOrangeLoyalist
Warner Robins, GA
Member since Aug 2016
2423 posts
Posted on 10/18/16 at 11:15 am to
Navy lost to Air Force.

Edit: Whoops, saw someone else beat me there.

I think the Final Four are Bama, OSU, Washington, and Clemson.
This post was edited on 10/18/16 at 11:17 am
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