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re: Bubble games: February 25th edition

Posted on 2/25/12 at 4:04 pm to
Posted by chilld28
Get in B Chord and Mash It!!
Member since Nov 2009
29622 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 4:04 pm to
You doing the game thread for us tonight?
Posted by Crede15
Member since Jun 2009
17214 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 7:09 pm to
Rutgers won, Texas won. So one good, one bad. Dayton is killing UMass. But if we beat Auburn like we should this won't really matter.
This post was edited on 2/25/12 at 7:10 pm
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24521 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 7:18 pm to
I hope we're off the bubble now barring a choke against Auburn
Posted by Crede15
Member since Jun 2009
17214 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 7:21 pm to
I think we are. LiveRPI has us at 28, which must make us the highest RPI team of any of the bubble teams.

We're 2-5 against the RPI top 50. Could be better but we're 8-3 against the 51-100 teams and Wichita State will be considered a quality win.
This post was edited on 2/25/12 at 7:22 pm
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24521 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 8:50 pm to
Syracuse up 14 at the half. If UCONN doesn't come back, they don't deserve to make the tourney. Same thing for West Virginia.
Posted by Crede15
Member since Jun 2009
17214 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 8:53 pm to
Connecticut are actually the one team I see so far that have a higher RPI than us (bubble teams obviously). 27 to 28.

I guess it depends on what they do the rest of the year after tonight, but it wouldn't surprise me to see them in.

I still don't know why Lunardi had State a higher seed than us going into tonight or why Arizona was in as a 12.

Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24521 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 9:09 pm to
No idea either. Palm told me on twitter that we will be in the 8-9 game barring beating UK.

Washington just lost to Washington State. That hurts them. I wonder if that Washington fan will show up

ETA: my score center app lied to me. Washington actually won
This post was edited on 2/25/12 at 9:31 pm
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24521 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 9:47 pm to
UCONN has tied it up
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7798 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 9:55 pm to
Penn St with a chance to beat Northwestern right now!

But misses 2 FTs with 12 seconds left. Guess that's why they've lost around 20 games.
This post was edited on 2/25/12 at 9:58 pm
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44403 posts
Posted on 2/25/12 at 9:57 pm to
quote:

I still don't know why Lunardi had State a higher seed than us going into tonight or why Arizona was in as a 12.



I'm pretty sure Lunardi's brackets are based on if the season ended today, not projections for how he thinks teams will finish.

State is out as of right now though.
Posted by Crede15
Member since Jun 2009
17214 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 7:29 am to
central florida won, but so did San Diego St. Lunardi had Colorado State as one of the first four out after losing that game.

There are some more big games today (Miami-Florida State is the best example I can think of at the moment).
This post was edited on 2/26/12 at 7:30 am
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24521 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 11:52 am to
Go FSU
Posted by jddawg58
Saban Nation
Member since Oct 2011
2157 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

I still don't know why Lunardi had State a higher seed than us going into tonight or why Arizona was in as a 12.





I'm pretty sure Lunardi's brackets are based on if the season ended today, not projections for how he thinks teams will finish.

State is out as of right now though.



The only explanation that I can provide is that MSU is 3-3 against top 50 rpi and Bama is 2-5. But the reason for that is that MSU beat Bama (27) at the Hump and Bama beat them at Tuscaloosa (68) . We split the series but they have an advantage because their rpi sux.

Their other two wins are Vandy (23) and West VA (48). Bama's wins are Wich St (10) and Purdue (40). MSU is 1-6 in conference road games, but their one is Vandy. Bama is 3-4, but their road wins were AU 145, ARK 82 and GA 107.

There was no real rational reason to have MSU seeded higher than Bama prior to the game Sat, and Palm had Bama a #9 and MSU a #11.

Now I think Bama is a #8 and MSU #12 and may have a play-in game.

If Bama wins the next two games and 1 game in the SECT they could move down to a 7 seed. Their rpi is 28 currently.
This post was edited on 2/26/12 at 12:03 pm
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24521 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 12:06 pm to
If we keep playing how we've played the last 3 games, I wouldn't mind the 8 seed. I want this team to get a shot at a #1 seed. I mean being a 7 seed would make a tourney run more realistic, but you've got to play a really good team in the 2nd round no matter where you are seeded. The 8-9 games are going to be very competitive. I bet we get a team like Iowa State.
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24521 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 12:15 pm to
Do we wasn't USF or Cincy to win?
Posted by jddawg58
Saban Nation
Member since Oct 2011
2157 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Bubble games: February 25th edition


If we keep playing how we've played the last 3 games, I wouldn't mind the 8 seed. I want this team to get a shot at a #1 seed. I mean being a 7 seed would make a tourney run more realistic, but you've got to play a really good team in the 2nd round no matter where you are seeded. The 8-9 games are going to be very competitive. I bet we get a team like Iowa State.



I don't worry about their seed # as much as I worry about matchups. Bama could get to the sweet sixteen with the right matchups.

I watched that Bama v Stanford game where Bama beat a #1 seed. It was painful to watch how fundamentally unsound Bama was under Gottfried. How Bama won that game in spite of running down and jacking up threes is amazing. Bama is in much better hands now to make a tournament run.
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24521 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 12:30 pm to
Alabama has moved up to 24 in ESPN's daily RPI.
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24521 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 12:33 pm to
Here's Lunardi's latest update and even has his s-curve: LINK

We're a 10 seed according to him.
Posted by jddawg58
Saban Nation
Member since Oct 2011
2157 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Here's Lunardi's latest update and even has his s-curve: LINK

We're a 10 seed according to him.



I am losing faith in Lunardi. Bama should be seeded ahead of Cal, Memphis, St Mary's, Southern Miss.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
82952 posts
Posted on 2/26/12 at 1:17 pm to
Oh,we're off the bubble now,playin for seeding here on out...
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