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re: Alabama regular season over/under win total – 9.5

Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:59 pm to
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30214 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

Yeah, I meant Caleb Downs.
Caleb Downs isn't a star OT.
Posted by Violent Hip Swivel
Member since Aug 2023
2520 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

The last coach to take over tor Nick Saban before now was Les Miles. Before getting to Baton Rouge, Miles had never won more than 9 games in a season. He went 11-2 his first year at LSU.



That's a good call and a solid comp, but probably compare LSU's 2005 schedule to Alabama's 2024 schedule.

LSU turned out not to be all that great that season in the end...

Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
19689 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

Also, Washington had a losing record the year before Deboer got there and he went 11-2 in his first season.
washington was 107th in scoring offense the year before, they went up to 7th year 1. The offense is going to be good from the get go. we have too much talent and the scheme is great. really stresses defenses on every play. We were the most predictable offense in the country the last 3 years, thats over.

Defense is going to be a work in progress just from turnover.

Like you said, its not a typical situation for a first year coach to step into what is at least top 3 in roster talent, especially when the coach has shown he can take roster talent out of the top 25 to the championship game.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 3:12 pm
Posted by thatthang
Member since Jan 2012
6770 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

but losing Proctor, their star OT was huuuuuuuuuge.


quote:

Yeah, I meant Caleb Downs.



No you didn’t. You even correctly included Proctor’s position. Now you’re clearly lying. You’re really gonna go with “I got mixed up between the DB and the OT?”
Posted by MykTide
Member since Jul 2012
25484 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

Yeah, I meant Caleb Downs.


No you didn’t. You just failed on your troll. You even said he was a key OT. Downs wasn’t a lineman. Poor fella. Try again.
Posted by Hback
Member since Aug 2017
9213 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

Yeah, unfortunately for Bama fans, I think this is going to be a loooong year.

Posted by MatthewRothell
Member since Nov 2023
78 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:22 pm to
under bigtime

I say 7-5
Posted by Hback
Member since Aug 2017
9213 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

I say 7-5

Who are the 5 losses?
Posted by MatthewRothell
Member since Nov 2023
78 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:28 pm to
-Georgia
- Tennessee (away game)
-Missouri
-Oklahoma (away)
-Auburn (toss up)
Posted by borotiger
Murfreesboro Tennessee
Member since Jan 2004
10529 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

-Georgia
- Tennessee (away game)
-Missouri
-Oklahoma (away)
-Auburn (toss up)


I like this guy. His posts leave little to argue with.
Posted by Hback
Member since Aug 2017
9213 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:39 pm to
Posted by Opry
Member since Oct 2023
2021 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:44 pm to
If Ty is the starter, the team has massive potential. Could easily win 10 games. If Deboer tries playing both QBs, thats going to be a bad idea.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 3:46 pm
Posted by Diego Ricardo
Alabama
Member since Dec 2020
5909 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

Bet the over, and Alabama has to go at least 10-2.



I want to see Alabama shore up corner - particularly field corner - in the portal window. The defense is taking a step back but a better solidified corner situation should allow it to be adequate albeit not elite.

Offensively, there is a chance this is a really good rushing football team but the passing attack is going depend on freshmen and a sophomore fully recovering from a knee cap injury before the Fall. Not entirely for production, I think Bernard, Prentice, and Law are fine receivers but they're all sorta slot types. Alabama needs performance from X/SE and Z/FL and that is where the ambiguity exists.

I suspect they drop a game they shouldn't and win a game they shouldn't, just like all year 1 programs. The question is about the consistency...if it is a consistent product then, yes, 10-2 is attainable. If not 9-3 or worse is possible too against their schedule.
Posted by TideTurf
Member since Sep 2009
3183 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 4:05 pm to
The Georgia game will tell us if it's a 10 win or more or 9 win or less season. Lots of unknowns going in. If this staff is applying the same standards I'm optimistic. Opponents are going to be just as in the dark as the rest of us. By the Georgia game this team's identity will be known.
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
22655 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

How often has a 1st-year SEC coach won 10 regular season games?


The last coach to follow Saban in the SEC went 11-2.

That guy was someone who only had 4 years of experience as a headcoach, had a .500 record in the Big12. Best season was 9 wins, the season before LSU hired him he went 7-5 finishing 5th in the Big12 south.

Meanwhile, we hired a guy who took a 4-8 team to the championship game with no talent, and not only is he following the same guy, that guy was even more refined in what he built and spent even longer doing so.

So I mean, I kind of like our circumstances.
Posted by 308
the backwoods of Mississippi
Member since Sep 2020
1964 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 4:17 pm to
Take the under!
Posted by FlyDownTheField83
Auburn AL
Member since Dec 2021
441 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 6:24 pm to
History of new SEC coaches would say to plan for 3 to 4 losses in the first year. However,…this is a pretty good comp….
quote:

The last coach to take over for Nick Saban before now was Les Miles……He went 11-2 his first year.

So many things in flux right now with CFB: NIL, portal, expanded CFB playoff, etc…..makes it more difficult to predict.
Posted by Pastor Mike
Florida
Member since Dec 2020
5115 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

The question is whether he can sustain it.

That is my question too... skeptical cat is skeptical
Posted by FreedomBarefoot
42° parallel
Member since Aug 2016
1023 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 6:40 pm to
I'm going with the over. The players really respect Deboer. No one has entered the portal after spring practice, so far.

Saban hanging around sounds like a good thing.
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
192 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 6:44 pm to
quote:

Georgia - Tennessee (away game) -Missouri -Oklahoma (away) -Auburn (toss up)


You know that LSU is favored to beat Bama this year?
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