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According to The World Wide Leader, Auburn

Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:06 pm
Posted by VOLLeyLLama
Asheville, NC
Member since Oct 2016
411 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:06 pm
Has won 9 of the past 11 matchups with Alabama when both teams are ranked in the Top 25. These are just numbers. Nothing to necessarily hold on to, unless you are a Tiger fan.
This post was edited on 11/22/16 at 4:07 pm
Posted by AggieDub14
Oil Baron
Member since Oct 2015
14624 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:09 pm to
How do they play when the wind is blowing south-southwest at a speed of greater than 11 MPH but less than 14 MPH?
Posted by BIGJLAW
Member since Mar 2013
8435 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:09 pm to
When I get home Im gonna slap yo mama
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79237 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:09 pm to
I'm not big on the whole "Alabama only beats bad AU teams" moral victory, but that's an interesting number.
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Has won 9 of the past 11 matchups with Alabama when both teams are ranked in the Top 25. These are just numbers. Nothing to necessarily hold on to, unless you are a Tiger fan.


I believe they have lost 1 of the past 1 of these.

Need to confirm that, though.
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:18 pm to
What were the last 10 or so when both were ranked?

2016 : #1 Alabama vs #16 Auburn (TBD)
2014 : #1 Alabama vs #15 Auburn (Alabama W 55-44)
2013 : #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (Auburn W 34-28)
2010 : #11 Alabama vs #2 Auburn (Auburn W 28-27)
2005 : #8 Alabama @ #11 Auburn (Auburn W 28-18)
1995 : #17 Alabama @ #21 Auburn (Auburn W 31-27)
1994 : #4 Alabama vs #6 Auburn (Alabama W 21-14)
1993 : #11 Alabama @ #6 Auburn (Auburn W 22-14)
This post was edited on 11/22/16 at 4:20 pm
Posted by CrimsonCrusade
Member since Jan 2014
5154 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:18 pm to
Auburn also leads the series since Bryant died, 17-16. Truth is, Bama hasn't really been in control of this series since that 9 game stretch from 73-81. Auburn's been in complete control twice (86-89, 02-07), but other than that it's been a tossup. Saban's only failure as Bama's coach has been his inability to dominate this series.
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:20 pm to
Saban's about due for another cho....

No, no, no. Never. Never ever.
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

other than that it's been a tossup


I wouldn't say it's a "toss up" right now. Alabama isn't doing to Auburn what they are doing to LSU and Tennessee, but Alabama has had the upper hand since the dynasty started. 6-2 since 2008, 6-3 since the streak ended and 4 of the last 5.

However, Auburn has been the biggest pain in the side (other than the 2 year Ole Miss thing) consistently since we got good. Malzahn always has a good plan for us.
This post was edited on 11/22/16 at 4:24 pm
Posted by joeyb147
Member since Jun 2009
16019 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

What were the last 10 or so when both were ranked?
14
13
10
05
95
94
93
89
88
87
Posted by Atxgump
Austin
Member since Nov 2015
3982 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:37 pm to
Volleyllama trying to create some volleydrama

Swing and a miss
Posted by Aman
Alabama
Member since Mar 2010
5181 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:39 pm to
According to the World Wide Leader, Bama has won 4 of the last 7 national titles and a loss Saturday does nothing to derail Bama's chances of 5 out of 8.
Posted by dan765
Charleston
Member since Aug 2016
1170 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:41 pm to
Leave it to ESPN to come with ridiculous, irrelevant stats
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46626 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

Saban's only failure as Bama's coach has been his inability to dominate this series.


If he wins this week, he'll be 7-3, with two of those losses being absolute flukes. I'd say that's dominating a series.
Posted by BradPitt
Where the wild things are
Member since Nov 2009
13389 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:46 pm to
Auburn wins by 17 in honor of Bama winning their 17th mnc in January.
Posted by dan765
Charleston
Member since Aug 2016
1170 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

If he wins this week, he'll be 7-3, with two of those losses being absolute flukes. I'd say that's dominating a series.


Georgia is 8-2 during the same time period. The Barn is getting dominated by two teams.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46626 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:48 pm to
The team with the better record has won 27 of the last 34 meetings (post-Bryant era).

quote:

...Record for Auburn teams that went into the Iron Bowl with less than 9 wins since 2005, or less than 8 from 1983-2005?

2015 - Alabama win
2014 - Alabama win
2012 - Alabama win
2011 - Alabama win
2009 - Alabama win
2008 - Alabama win
2007 - Auburn win
2003 - Auburn win
2001 - Alabama win
1998 - Alabama win
1999 - Alabama win
1996 - Alabama win
1992 - Alabama win
1991 - Alabama win
1990 - Alabama win
This post was edited on 11/22/16 at 4:56 pm
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:49 pm to
quote:

I'm not big on the whole "Alabama only beats bad AU teams" moral victory, but that's an interesting number.


It is somewhat true. It appears that since 1980, the Iron Bowl series is tied 18-18.

The years in which Auburn won the game, Auburn had a combined record of 182-42-2 (81.0%).
The years in which Auburn lost the game, Auburn had a combined record of 116-95-3 (54.9%)

That's a pretty big gap. The magic number for Auburn appears to be 71%. Auburn teams that win 71% of their games in a season are 13-1 against Alabama since 1980.

Meanwhile on the low end, it's 61%. Auburn teams that win just 61% of their games in a season (or worse) are just 1-13 against Alabama.

Those few Auburn teams that fit somewhere in the middle (62%-70%) split 4-4 in Iron Bowls.

While its logical for a series to follow this trajectory in some form or fashion, the consistency of it is what is amazing. There are just rarely upsets in this series. Great Auburn teams almost always win. Bad Auburn teams almost always lose. Mediocre Auburn teams sit right at .500. In a span of 36 seasons, only two games break from this pattern:

*The very good 1994 Auburn team (9-1-1) lost the Iron Bowl
*The pretty bad 2003 Auburn team (8-5) won the Iron Bowl

Outside of those two games, all 34 Iron Bowl matchups have followed the pattern. Very few series can be rightfully divided like that with so few outliers.
Posted by VOLLeyLLama
Asheville, NC
Member since Oct 2016
411 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

Leave it to ESPN to come with ridiculous, irrelevant stats


I agree. I just happened to be out during lunch break from work and the restaurant had ESPN on every tv. That stat was on the bottom ticker. I also saw one during the World Series that a team up 3 games to 1 had a 94% chance to win the series. We all saw how that one turned out. And during the NBA Finals, same story. It's been a strange sports year I must say.
Posted by Awesome Dave
Auburn, AL
Member since Sep 2014
891 posts
Posted on 11/22/16 at 4:55 pm to
Auburn's whole team is hurt bro.
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