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Who you need to pull for - Week 14
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:07 am
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:07 am
Again, my interpretation of what I think needs to happen for the best opportunity of the Dawgs
Oregon vs Colorado - Yea. Don't hold your breathe. But look to next week to a game @ Oregon State. One note though. Oregon is coming off a bye this week. When they did that earlier in the season they lost to Arizona.
FSU vs BC - Again, won't happen. But FSU losing would free up a playoff spot. BC plays well on the road, but awful at home.
Ohio State vs Indiana - won't happen. Wisconsin in the Big 10 champ game is about the only potential loss left for them.
Baylor vs Texas Tech - TT is AWFUL. But Baylor does have to play a Kansas State team next weekend. Just like TCU, a loss eliminates them from any more discussion.
Ole Miss @ Arkansas - Ole Miss losing does two things. Pushes them past UGA. And the loss comes to a team that UGA beat soundly.
UCLA vs USC - Loser gets eliminated from the p12 championship discussion. I'll lean towards USC since UCLA is a spot ahead.
Others:
- Duke vs North Carolina - a loss by Duke puts GT in the ACC champ game. GT in the ACCCG could serve two purposes. A tougher matchup for FSU so they could potentially be knocked out. And takes some of their focus off of the UGA game.
- the only ranked matchup in the top 10 is UCLA vs USC. With a USC win, they still have 3 losses and won't move up in the top 10.
- That being said, don't expect much movement in the top 15 without one of the teams losing. I expect it to be almost a mirror of this weeks rankings come next week.
- Arizona might make a move up a spot or two with an impressive win against ranked Utah
Go Vols!
Oregon vs Colorado - Yea. Don't hold your breathe. But look to next week to a game @ Oregon State. One note though. Oregon is coming off a bye this week. When they did that earlier in the season they lost to Arizona.
FSU vs BC - Again, won't happen. But FSU losing would free up a playoff spot. BC plays well on the road, but awful at home.
Ohio State vs Indiana - won't happen. Wisconsin in the Big 10 champ game is about the only potential loss left for them.
Baylor vs Texas Tech - TT is AWFUL. But Baylor does have to play a Kansas State team next weekend. Just like TCU, a loss eliminates them from any more discussion.
Ole Miss @ Arkansas - Ole Miss losing does two things. Pushes them past UGA. And the loss comes to a team that UGA beat soundly.
UCLA vs USC - Loser gets eliminated from the p12 championship discussion. I'll lean towards USC since UCLA is a spot ahead.
Others:
- Duke vs North Carolina - a loss by Duke puts GT in the ACC champ game. GT in the ACCCG could serve two purposes. A tougher matchup for FSU so they could potentially be knocked out. And takes some of their focus off of the UGA game.
- the only ranked matchup in the top 10 is UCLA vs USC. With a USC win, they still have 3 losses and won't move up in the top 10.
- That being said, don't expect much movement in the top 15 without one of the teams losing. I expect it to be almost a mirror of this weeks rankings come next week.
- Arizona might make a move up a spot or two with an impressive win against ranked Utah
Go Vols!
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 9:33 am
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Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:10 am to TallyDawg
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:28 am to TallyDawg
The only game that truly matters for us, imo, is UT over Mizzou. If Mizzou does not lose this week or next, we are not in Atlanta, and we have no shot at the playoffs. Their games are more important than any other to us right now. If we take care of business and win out the remainder of the season (including SECCG), I think we're in the top 4 even if the teams ahead of us don't lose. I know a lot of people will disagree, but it is what it is.
TCU is off. This game is next week.
quote:
TCU @ Texas
TCU is off. This game is next week.
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:34 am to UGAalum08
Thanks for catching that alum08. I didn't look at the dates close enough.
Agreed, all this is wasted internet space but it makes the games a little more interesting to see what could factor in.
UT over Mizzou is the most important thing.
I watched the Dobbs kid yesterday. He could give Mizzou problems since he does get out of the pocket (which conversely helps UT O Line)
Agreed, all this is wasted internet space but it makes the games a little more interesting to see what could factor in.
UT over Mizzou is the most important thing.
I watched the Dobbs kid yesterday. He could give Mizzou problems since he does get out of the pocket (which conversely helps UT O Line)
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:37 am to TallyDawg
Don't get me wrong, I will be pulling for all of the teams you have bolded, I just don't think we need them to win for us to have a shot at winning it all. It would definitely make for a lot less worrying though.
I like your analysis on UNC over Duke, by the way. That game has very under the radar implications for us
I like your analysis on UNC over Duke, by the way. That game has very under the radar implications for us
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:44 am to TallyDawg
IF Mizzou loses one of the next two games...and we win out, including SECCG...the committee will put us in over a 1-loss team.
We have the 2nd most wins over top 35 teams in the ESPN FPI. Also, according to that, both our losses are to top 35 teams.
The committee has stated that Conference Champions will weigh the most. They will not keep an SEC Champion out...even with two losses, but especially since those 2 losses were in conference.
We would also have 2 wins against Power 5 OOC teams.
We have the 2nd most wins over top 35 teams in the ESPN FPI. Also, according to that, both our losses are to top 35 teams.
The committee has stated that Conference Champions will weigh the most. They will not keep an SEC Champion out...even with two losses, but especially since those 2 losses were in conference.
We would also have 2 wins against Power 5 OOC teams.
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:04 am to TallyDawg
2011 Bama had Iowa State beat Oak State but I fear that chance went away for UGA when TCU shaved their arse against Kansas
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 10:05 am
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:08 am to Croot
Does UT have a #27 on their roster. Maybe we should give them a loan this week.
Posted on 11/21/14 at 8:37 am to Broncothor
Well now it's GT vs FSU in the ACC Championship. And I'm ok with that.
- IMO they won't drop out of the top 25 if we beat them
- IF UF doesn't upset FSU, there is a good chance for GT to do it.
- This is not a good matchup for FSU. I'd put them on upset alert for the next three weeks (yes, including BC).
- IMO they won't drop out of the top 25 if we beat them
- IF UF doesn't upset FSU, there is a good chance for GT to do it.
- This is not a good matchup for FSU. I'd put them on upset alert for the next three weeks (yes, including BC).
Posted on 11/21/14 at 8:38 am to TallyDawg
Also
Kansas State showed it still had a little fight in them. They could upset Baylor next week.
Kansas State showed it still had a little fight in them. They could upset Baylor next week.
Posted on 11/21/14 at 8:45 am to TallyDawg
Won't matter. My guess is a ks state win over Baylor propels them ahead of us in the rankings
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