Scoring Defense vs. Scoring Offense: A&M vs. SMU

Hard to get a real sample size for SMU since they've only played 2 games, but here goes:

A&M scores 54.3 ppg and allows 13.7 ppg

SMU scores 3 ppg and allows 44 ppg

A&M scored 52 vs. South Carolina, 73 vs. Lamar, and 38 vs. Rice.

SMU scored 0 vs. Baylor and 6 vs. North Texas.

A&M allowed 28 vs. South Carolina, 3 vs. Lamar, and 10 vs. Rice.

SMU allowed 45 vs. Baylor and 43 vs. North Texas.

On average, A&M scores about 17 more ppg than its opponents allow and allows 15 ppg fewer than its opponents score.

On average, SMU scores about 16 fewer points than its opponents allow and allows about 3 more points than its opponents score.

Using A&M's averages, the score looks like A&M 63, SMU 0 (It's A&M 61, SMU -2, so the negatives go back to A&M)

Using SMU's averages, the score looks like A&M 69, SMU 0 (It's A&M 57, SMU -12)

Using this metric, A&M scores between 63-69 and SMU is held scoreless.

If SMU scores more than 6, the defense is in serious trouble.

Using A&M's averages for the rest of the season's opponents. (Consider anything within 8 points a tossup and anything over a win or loss: Too small of a sample size right now)

A&M 43, Arkansas 33
A&M 29, Mississippi State 28
Ole Miss 29, A&M 27
A&M 28, Alabama 27
A&M 40, ULM 3
Auburn 37, A&M 33
A&M 34, Missouri 27
A&M 25, LSU 24

That means Arkansas and ULM are wins, all the rest are tossups right now.