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re: The Relaxation Chamber: Limited Severe Risk MS/AL/GA/TN

Posted on 5/1/14 at 10:46 am to
Posted by Hardy_Har
MS
Member since Nov 2012
16285 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 10:46 am to
So Oklahoma is back to being known as the shithole we sent Native Americans to and now MS has the added resiliency of tornados and poverty..

Suits me.
Posted by SB in KC
Oklahoma City
Member since Jan 2012
406 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

So Oklahoma is back to being known as the shithole we sent Native Americans to and now MS has the added resiliency of tornados and poverty..


Not offended...just moved here less than a year ago. The people are great and thus far, no tornados.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Basically yes you weren't paying attention. The two tornado allies have similar factors but the southern states are closer to the wealth of gulf moisture.



And this is why it doesn't take as much instability to have these severe storms as it does over the plains.
Posted by Hardy_Har
MS
Member since Nov 2012
16285 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:14 pm to
Offending you wasn't my intention. Notice I shite on my state as well.
Posted by LittleJerrySeinfield
350,000 Post Karma
Member since Aug 2013
7666 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

So did we. Glad yall made it ok


Thanks and same to you.

A lot of people like to make fun of the residents of the rural South, but for the most part, they are the best people around. Been helping at my mother's, sister's, and cousin's houses this week and there are different people coming by every half hour to see if we need help, food, water, etc. Really restores my faith in humanity.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19807 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

Basically yes you weren't paying attention. The two tornado allies have similar factors but the southern states are closer to the wealth of gulf moisture.


Also, tornadoes can occur year round along the gulf but the cold season basically shuts down the plains. Then combine that with the differences in population density and you have more opportunities for headline generating storms in the South. However, Tornado Alley is still going to see more tornadoes on average but most are out in the middle of no where.

A couple of thoughts on next weeks threat, the models are still struggling with the evolution of the trough but it certainly looks like there will be a western trough. The GFS is more progressive than the Euro but we saw that all winter.



The more progressive GFS has been trending towards a positively tilted trough, which would probably limit the tornado threat to dry line action before the main trough kicks out. The Euro digs deeper and eventually cuts off a low in the SW before opening up and kicking out with a positive tilt. We saw this all winter and the trend was usually towards a compromise. So there will probably be a couple of days with conditional tornado setups but the main threat will be a squall line pushing through. Of course, this can and will probably all change over the weekend
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19807 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

A lot of people like to make fun of the residents of the rural South, but for the most part, they are the best people around. Been helping at my mother's, sister's, and cousin's houses this week and there are different people coming by every half hour to see if we need help, food, water, etc. Really restores my faith in humanity.


This has always been my experience as well. When we lived in DC we made some great friends but overall people just were not as concerned with others.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35607 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:51 pm to


Thanks for the info and explainations. What's your background? You obviously have some training or education in the field.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19807 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 10:08 pm to
quote:



Thanks for the info and explainations. What's your background? You obviously have some training or education in the field.



MS plus some PhD work but not a Met. I have worked on some climate change and long term modeling stuff, air dispersion modeling, and hurricanes but severe & winter weather are just side interests and not really tied to my work.
Posted by Bulldog288
10-17
Member since Oct 2012
2512 posts
Posted on 5/2/14 at 1:42 am to
Was a beautiful day today
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