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re: Coach got the Rona
Posted on 8/24/21 at 12:53 pm to RandySavage
Posted on 8/24/21 at 12:53 pm to RandySavage
quote:
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to understand that when like 60-70% of adults are vaccinated and numbers are as high as they have ever been it's not preventing getting the disease or transmission.
Considering the current believed R0 value of ~7-8 for Delta, 60-70% vaccination wouldn't stop spread even if vaccines were 100% effective and stopped transmission
simplistically if R0 * (1 - %vaccinated *Effectiveness Rate) has a value greater than 1 you can expect growint transmission spread. So 7 (1 - 70% * 100) is 2.1.
For reference I think the original COVID R0 w no Vaccine was around 2-3 based on the data available
This post was edited on 8/24/21 at 12:54 pm
Posted on 8/24/21 at 2:28 pm to GenesChin
quote:
simplistically if R0 * (1 - %vaccinated *Effectiveness Rate) has a value greater than 1 you can expect growint transmission spread. So 7 (1 - 70% * 100) is 2.1.
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