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re: Herd immunity is gaining fast traction, peaking now...
Posted on 7/11/20 at 12:55 pm to Tigerman97
Posted on 7/11/20 at 12:55 pm to Tigerman97
quote:
Not to rain on the parade, but the most complex study to date suggest it isn't likely.
LINK
I believe if you do the math this study produced we'd reach herd immunity in 2032.
Your study of 60k people in Spain showed 5% with antibodies.
A study of 314k people in New York City showed 26% had antibodies.
That's an ENORMOUS discrepancy.
2
Posted on 7/11/20 at 1:07 pm to Evolved Simian
Most experts say that herd immunity requires at least 60-70% of the population to have antibodies, though this number varies depending on the virus. Because of the toll that this degree of infection would take on the health care system and on the population, the safest way to achieve herd immunity would be through a widely available, widely utilized, effective vaccine.
Posted on 7/11/20 at 6:35 pm to Evolved Simian
That same study showed that those living outside of New York City came in positive at a MUCH lower rate
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