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Predicted SEC Basketball records according to warrennolan.com
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:28 am
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:28 am
Kentucky: 25-6, 15-3 RPI 5
Florida: 25-6, 15-3 RPI 1
Arkansas: 24-7, 13-5 RPI 25
Ole Miss: 21-10, 12-6 RPI 66
South Carolina: 21-9, 11-7 RPI 47
Auburn: 20-11, 10-8 RPI 90
Georgia: 19-11, 10-8 RPI 46
LSU: 18-12, 9-9 RPI 108
Texas A&M: 17-13, 8-10 RPI 115
Vanderbilt: 14-17, 7-11 RPI 150
Alabama: 13-17, 6-12 RPI 215
Miss State: 11-19, 3-15 RPI 278
Tennessee: 10-20, 4-14 RPI 239
Missouri: 7-23, 1-17 RPI 322
IF this is the case at the end of the year, the SEC could get 5 teams in with Auburn and Georgia likely being on the bubble, depending on end of the year SOS and RPI. Auburns predicted RPI is 90 and Georgia is predicted to be at 46. Predictor wise, UGA would be the one closest to getting in.
Six teams in for the league would be a good year IMO.
Also interesting seeing that the predictor also thinks Kentucky, and Arkansas will lose their games to Kansas and Oklahoma State in the SEC/Big12 Challenge.
Florida: 25-6, 15-3 RPI 1
Arkansas: 24-7, 13-5 RPI 25
Ole Miss: 21-10, 12-6 RPI 66
South Carolina: 21-9, 11-7 RPI 47
Auburn: 20-11, 10-8 RPI 90
Georgia: 19-11, 10-8 RPI 46
LSU: 18-12, 9-9 RPI 108
Texas A&M: 17-13, 8-10 RPI 115
Vanderbilt: 14-17, 7-11 RPI 150
Alabama: 13-17, 6-12 RPI 215
Miss State: 11-19, 3-15 RPI 278
Tennessee: 10-20, 4-14 RPI 239
Missouri: 7-23, 1-17 RPI 322
IF this is the case at the end of the year, the SEC could get 5 teams in with Auburn and Georgia likely being on the bubble, depending on end of the year SOS and RPI. Auburns predicted RPI is 90 and Georgia is predicted to be at 46. Predictor wise, UGA would be the one closest to getting in.
Six teams in for the league would be a good year IMO.
Also interesting seeing that the predictor also thinks Kentucky, and Arkansas will lose their games to Kansas and Oklahoma State in the SEC/Big12 Challenge.
This post was edited on 12/22/16 at 6:36 am
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:31 am to Hawgeye
Tennessee will not be 10-20 at seasons end, the SEC as a whole has looked weak and we've played well against a stacked OOC (albeit not winning anything of note)
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:35 am to Hawgeye
I think Auburn flips positions with Ole Miss.. Pre-Wiley, I wouldn't have said that. But having that physical post presence seems it's going to sway Auburn in the right direction moving forward. I actually think Auburn makes the tournament now, been a long time since I've said that.
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:39 am to Hawgeye
SEC getting in 5 is laughable. 3 isn't even guaranteed. Non conference performance too poor.
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:48 am to Hawgeye
21-10 is probably accurate. Should be a pretty good squad.
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:49 am to Hawgeye
First, he doesn't have our final record correct as he's missing a game.
Secondly, if we go 10-8 in conference, and don't lose 1st round of SECT, we will be dancing this year.
I don't think we are a team that should be in the tourney, but that's how shitty the SEC is this year. Yante shouldn't be 2nd in the league in scoring and rebounds. He's good, but not elite
Secondly, if we go 10-8 in conference, and don't lose 1st round of SECT, we will be dancing this year.
I don't think we are a team that should be in the tourney, but that's how shitty the SEC is this year. Yante shouldn't be 2nd in the league in scoring and rebounds. He's good, but not elite
Posted on 12/22/16 at 9:52 am to Hawgeye
Here are the projections from KenPom
Kentucky 16-2
Florida 13-5
South Carolina 13-5
Texas A&M 11-7
Arkansas 10-8
Georgia 9-9
Alabama 8-10
Tennessee 8-10
Auburn 7-11
Ole Miss 7-11
LSU 7-11
Vanderbilt 7-11
Mississippi State 6-12
Missouri 4-14
Kentucky 16-2
Florida 13-5
South Carolina 13-5
Texas A&M 11-7
Arkansas 10-8
Georgia 9-9
Alabama 8-10
Tennessee 8-10
Auburn 7-11
Ole Miss 7-11
LSU 7-11
Vanderbilt 7-11
Mississippi State 6-12
Missouri 4-14
Posted on 12/22/16 at 10:09 am to Hawgeye
quote:
Arkansas: 24-7, 13-5 RPI 25
i would do cartwheels if we end with that record. i don't really care too much the level of opponents because in years past that didn't matter anyway- we'd play piss poor against piss poor teams and play good against good teams. this would show a level of consistent play that we haven't had in a while (somewhat excluding the 14-15 season which wasn't bad but not that 'good' imo).
Posted on 12/22/16 at 11:10 am to Hawgeye
Here's teamrankings.com
Team - conf win/loss - ovr win/loss
Kentucky 15.8 2.2---- 26.5 4.5
Florida 13.5 4.5---- 23.2 7.8
S Carolina 11.2 6.8---- 21.8 9.2
Texas A&M 10.4 7.6---- 18.4 11.6
Arkansas 10.0 8.0---- 21.1 9.9
Auburn 9.0 9.0---- 18.6 12.4
Alabama 8.6 9.4---- 15.6 14.4
Georgia 8.1 9.9---- 17.2 13.8
Vanderbilt 7.6 10.4---- 14.0 17.0
Tennessee 7.2 10.8---- 14.1 16.9
Mississippi 7.0 11.0---- 16.0 15.0
LSU 6.4 11.6---- 14.7 15.3
Miss State 6.4 11.6---- 15.1 14.9
Missouri 4.7 13.3---- 10.5 19.5
Team - conf win/loss - ovr win/loss
Kentucky 15.8 2.2---- 26.5 4.5
Florida 13.5 4.5---- 23.2 7.8
S Carolina 11.2 6.8---- 21.8 9.2
Texas A&M 10.4 7.6---- 18.4 11.6
Arkansas 10.0 8.0---- 21.1 9.9
Auburn 9.0 9.0---- 18.6 12.4
Alabama 8.6 9.4---- 15.6 14.4
Georgia 8.1 9.9---- 17.2 13.8
Vanderbilt 7.6 10.4---- 14.0 17.0
Tennessee 7.2 10.8---- 14.1 16.9
Mississippi 7.0 11.0---- 16.0 15.0
LSU 6.4 11.6---- 14.7 15.3
Miss State 6.4 11.6---- 15.1 14.9
Missouri 4.7 13.3---- 10.5 19.5
Posted on 12/22/16 at 12:20 pm to Hawgeye
What predictor does nolan use? Wondering because both KenPom and Sagarin's predictor hate Ole Miss and LSU (Sagarin has Ole Miss going 7-11 and LSU 6-12). Nolan is way lower on A&M than every site I've seen.
Also -- no way an 18-12 LSU has an RPI of 108, a 20-11 Auburn has an RPI of 90, or a 21-10 Ole Miss has an RPI of 66.
Also -- no way an 18-12 LSU has an RPI of 108, a 20-11 Auburn has an RPI of 90, or a 21-10 Ole Miss has an RPI of 66.
Posted on 12/22/16 at 1:19 pm to Hawgeye
Once again, the so-called pundit misses the mark with the Vols. We will be the surprise team, and for once the surprise ain't on us....
Posted on 12/22/16 at 1:21 pm to Hawgeye
Mississippi State will surprise some teams. No way they finish with only 3 SEC wins. I predict 8 - 10.
Posted on 12/22/16 at 1:21 pm to Hawgeye
quote:
IF this is the case at the end of the year, the SEC could get 5 teams in with Auburn and Georgia likely being on the bubble
Auburn won't be on the bubble with a RPI that high. Georgia would be.
Posted on 12/22/16 at 3:00 pm to Hawgeye
How would we have a 90 RPI at 20-11?
Posted on 12/22/16 at 3:40 pm to Hawgeye
With Wiley being added after the BC loss does that have any potential to impact how the committee sees Auburn? We shouldn't have lost to them either way but I know I've heard them taking into account injuries and things of that nature in the past. For the record I don't think we are a tourney team. A 2 or 3 seed in the NIT is my guess.
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