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Predicted SEC Basketball records according to warrennolan.com

Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:28 am
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31085 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:28 am
Kentucky: 25-6, 15-3 RPI 5
Florida: 25-6, 15-3 RPI 1
Arkansas: 24-7, 13-5 RPI 25
Ole Miss: 21-10, 12-6 RPI 66
South Carolina: 21-9, 11-7 RPI 47
Auburn: 20-11, 10-8 RPI 90
Georgia: 19-11, 10-8 RPI 46
LSU: 18-12, 9-9 RPI 108
Texas A&M: 17-13, 8-10 RPI 115
Vanderbilt: 14-17, 7-11 RPI 150
Alabama: 13-17, 6-12 RPI 215
Miss State: 11-19, 3-15 RPI 278
Tennessee: 10-20, 4-14 RPI 239
Missouri: 7-23, 1-17 RPI 322


IF this is the case at the end of the year, the SEC could get 5 teams in with Auburn and Georgia likely being on the bubble, depending on end of the year SOS and RPI. Auburns predicted RPI is 90 and Georgia is predicted to be at 46. Predictor wise, UGA would be the one closest to getting in.

Six teams in for the league would be a good year IMO.

Also interesting seeing that the predictor also thinks Kentucky, and Arkansas will lose their games to Kansas and Oklahoma State in the SEC/Big12 Challenge.
This post was edited on 12/22/16 at 6:36 am
Posted by Nukeese
Member since Nov 2016
1269 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:31 am to
Tennessee will not be 10-20 at seasons end, the SEC as a whole has looked weak and we've played well against a stacked OOC (albeit not winning anything of note)
Posted by AUbagman
LA
Member since Jun 2014
10572 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:35 am to
I think Auburn flips positions with Ole Miss.. Pre-Wiley, I wouldn't have said that. But having that physical post presence seems it's going to sway Auburn in the right direction moving forward. I actually think Auburn makes the tournament now, been a long time since I've said that.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:39 am to
SEC getting in 5 is laughable. 3 isn't even guaranteed. Non conference performance too poor.
Posted by FishFearMe
United States
Member since Jul 2015
7196 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 6:59 am to
Op your list is shite.
Posted by UMRealist
Member since Feb 2013
35360 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:48 am to
21-10 is probably accurate. Should be a pretty good squad.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
21863 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 7:49 am to
First, he doesn't have our final record correct as he's missing a game.

Secondly, if we go 10-8 in conference, and don't lose 1st round of SECT, we will be dancing this year.

I don't think we are a team that should be in the tourney, but that's how shitty the SEC is this year. Yante shouldn't be 2nd in the league in scoring and rebounds. He's good, but not elite
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40951 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 9:52 am to
Here are the projections from KenPom

Kentucky 16-2
Florida 13-5
South Carolina 13-5
Texas A&M 11-7
Arkansas 10-8
Georgia 9-9
Alabama 8-10
Tennessee 8-10
Auburn 7-11
Ole Miss 7-11
LSU 7-11
Vanderbilt 7-11
Mississippi State 6-12
Missouri 4-14
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37299 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 10:09 am to
quote:

Arkansas: 24-7, 13-5 RPI 25


i would do cartwheels if we end with that record. i don't really care too much the level of opponents because in years past that didn't matter anyway- we'd play piss poor against piss poor teams and play good against good teams. this would show a level of consistent play that we haven't had in a while (somewhat excluding the 14-15 season which wasn't bad but not that 'good' imo).
Posted by hogNsinceReagan
Fayetteville, Ar
Member since Feb 2015
5879 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 11:10 am to
Here's teamrankings.com


Team - conf win/loss - ovr win/loss

Kentucky 15.8 2.2---- 26.5 4.5
Florida 13.5 4.5---- 23.2 7.8
S Carolina 11.2 6.8---- 21.8 9.2
Texas A&M 10.4 7.6---- 18.4 11.6
Arkansas 10.0 8.0---- 21.1 9.9
Auburn 9.0 9.0---- 18.6 12.4
Alabama 8.6 9.4---- 15.6 14.4
Georgia 8.1 9.9---- 17.2 13.8
Vanderbilt 7.6 10.4---- 14.0 17.0
Tennessee 7.2 10.8---- 14.1 16.9
Mississippi 7.0 11.0---- 16.0 15.0
LSU 6.4 11.6---- 14.7 15.3
Miss State 6.4 11.6---- 15.1 14.9
Missouri 4.7 13.3---- 10.5 19.5
Posted by GatorsGators
Member since Oct 2012
13454 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 12:20 pm to
What predictor does nolan use? Wondering because both KenPom and Sagarin's predictor hate Ole Miss and LSU (Sagarin has Ole Miss going 7-11 and LSU 6-12). Nolan is way lower on A&M than every site I've seen.

Also -- no way an 18-12 LSU has an RPI of 108, a 20-11 Auburn has an RPI of 90, or a 21-10 Ole Miss has an RPI of 66.
Posted by Scoreboard
Madison, AL
Member since Apr 2012
2011 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 1:19 pm to
Once again, the so-called pundit misses the mark with the Vols. We will be the surprise team, and for once the surprise ain't on us....
Posted by TimeOutdoors
AK
Member since Sep 2014
12123 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 1:21 pm to
Mississippi State will surprise some teams. No way they finish with only 3 SEC wins. I predict 8 - 10.
Posted by Aman
Alabama
Member since Mar 2010
5181 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

IF this is the case at the end of the year, the SEC could get 5 teams in with Auburn and Georgia likely being on the bubble


Auburn won't be on the bubble with a RPI that high. Georgia would be.
Posted by m45auburn
Auburn
Member since Aug 2014
4467 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 3:00 pm to
How would we have a 90 RPI at 20-11?
Posted by marshallcotiger
Member since Dec 2009
7978 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 3:40 pm to
With Wiley being added after the BC loss does that have any potential to impact how the committee sees Auburn? We shouldn't have lost to them either way but I know I've heard them taking into account injuries and things of that nature in the past. For the record I don't think we are a tourney team. A 2 or 3 seed in the NIT is my guess.
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