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MSU has the biggest chance for an upset this weekend

Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:11 am
Posted by Hardy_Har
MS
Member since Nov 2012
16285 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:11 am


Per ESPN power rankings, MSU is only 1 pt behind LSU and our team is underrated I promise you. We've subbed the whole team and used all our vanilla plays the first 3 games. MSU will have the best D line in Tiger Stadium Saturday night.
Posted by TexasAg13
San Antonio de Béxar
Member since Jul 2013
5815 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:12 am to
I don't think State beating LSU is an upset. State is the better team.
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
67592 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:12 am to
that settles it
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:12 am to
I wish the grind was at the same level as it was in 2012 but it just hasnt gotten there
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
68157 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:14 am to
quote:

39%

This is probably true for any SECW team vs. any other SECW team.
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:15 am to
LSU will probably look like shite nearly the whole game, y'all will have your chances, and they will be pissed away as always. 99 yard fumble return wins it for the Tigers.
Posted by MMB5DAP
Member since Jul 2013
1735 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:17 am to
quote:

SMU 1% Texas A&M


They have a 1% chance to cover the 28 point spread. This SMU team is worse than over half the FCS
Posted by LSU-DUDE
USA
Member since Apr 2013
2071 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:17 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/17/14 at 10:18 am
Posted by beaver
The 755 Club
Member since Sep 2009
46861 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:19 am to
beating Eastern Michigan would not be an upset
Posted by Jenar Boy
Elsewhere
Member since Aug 2013
12555 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:20 am to
Well HOLY SHITE, if State fans and all knowing ESPN says it then by god why are we even playing the damn game? Pack it boys, shut BR down this weekend, no sense even having the game!!
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
59053 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:20 am to
:grindon:
Posted by All4Qtrs
tCapitol
Member since Nov 2013
1056 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:21 am to
SMU - 1%

way too high!
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:23 am to
so, basically, they are saying if the game was played 5 times you MIGHT win 2 of them? great. good luck with that. The game is only played once - in Tiger Stadium - and Mullen is walking out with the L...again.
Posted by Bulldog288
10-17
Member since Oct 2012
2512 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:23 am to
Grind on
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:25 am to
This post was edited on 9/17/14 at 10:26 am
Posted by mikrit54
Robeline
Member since Oct 2013
8664 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:27 am to
quote:

MSU will have the best D line in Tiger Stadium Saturday night.

I'll get with Miles and Chavis and see if they still want to play. After all, you posted this fact on an internet message board and it's against the law to lie on the internet, right?
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
83951 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:30 am to
Isn't OU's RB injured? I'l go with WVU.
Posted by Stuttgart Tiger
Branson, MO
Member since Jan 2006
14599 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:33 am to
So you're saying there is a 61% chance that LSU beats MSU for the 13th straight time? Sound like good odds to me.
Posted by REBEL5 AC
Member since Sep 2012
14732 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:38 am to
Thread title is misleading, Hardy. Even though you appear confident that MSU will perform this Saturday in Death Valley, you are selling MSU short(probably out of modesty).

Think about it for a second. 50% = same win chance on a neutral field. I'd say ESPN probably knocked off a third of that for the game being at night, in Death Valley.

33% of 50% = 16.5%, so...

50% - 16.5% = 33.5%

39% - 33.5% = 5.5%

So, an even win % chance at Death Valley would be a 33.5% win chance. Since MSU was given a 39% win chance, we can clearly see that MSU is has a 5.5% better chance to win this game than LSU.
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
26297 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:47 am to
The Bottom Line is that an MSU win would be an upset. Could it happen? Sure. But any way you slice it, LSU is expected to win and likely will win.

LSU is more talented. The game is in Tiger Stadium. LSU has better coaches overall.

I will be very, very surprised if MSU pulls off the upset, but anything is possible. Given LSU's youth on offense and the high probability that LSU will play it safe on offense in the first half (as they will likely do in every game this year), it would not surprise me at all if this game is close or MSU leads at halftime. But I'd still be surprised if MSU can close it out and finish the deal once LSU decides to open it up, if "opening it up" even becomes necessary.

We shall see ... certainly excited to see the SEC opener in Tiger Stadium Saturday night.
This post was edited on 9/17/14 at 10:50 am
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