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re: Point spread for the Arkansas vs. Auburn game is dropping fast, act now

Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:03 pm to
Posted by NorthGwinnettTiger
Member since Jun 2006
51827 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:03 pm to
About 77% of the ATS picks are for Arky at this line. Actually surprised it hasn't dropped a shite load more. 3 TDs is a shitload for any SEC matchup the first game of the year.

Times like this, I debate changing the ATS lines. I think 13.5 would have gotten closer to 50/50 picks.
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33338 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:04 pm to
I think it will settle around 17 as well.
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33338 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

It has dropped 1.5 points in three weeks.


Two days, actually.
Posted by AuburnCPA
Member since May 2008
18821 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:06 pm to
once it gets down, I am throwing tree fiddy on aubrun
Posted by MrAUTigers
Florida
Member since Sep 2013
28288 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

3 TDs is a shitload for any SEC matchup the first game of the year.


3 TDs is a shitload for any SEC game anytime, IMO. I was shocked looking at what it opened at.
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33338 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:34 pm to
It's already down to 18.5 since I made this thread an hour ago
Posted by chadau79
Daphne, AL
Member since Sep 2009
3413 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:41 pm to
Weather report could be affecting it. Rain means less points usually, or even the possibility of *gasp* stiff dew.
Posted by AnActualFan
Work
Member since Mar 2010
927 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:47 pm to
This deserves an upvote. Anything over 10 is free money, Arkansas isn't UTEP or Kent State, I think they keep it close. BERT IS MAD
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33338 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:48 pm to
Does rain only mean fewer points for Auburn? We're talking the spread here, not the over under.
Posted by ZouKeeper
Missouri
Member since Nov 2012
778 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

Bragging about being a19 point dog


What more do you expect from that fan base.
Posted by beaver
The 755 Club
Member since Sep 2009
46861 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:53 pm to
what site are you using?

I'm looking at VI and not seeing 18.5, and an opening line of -21

LINK
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33338 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

what site are you using?


Does it matter?
Posted by beaver
The 755 Club
Member since Sep 2009
46861 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 9:05 pm to
well yeah, considering you're just making stuff up

none of the major sportsbooks have ever offered a spread of -24, and no one has reached -18.5 ever

here is the consensus movement over the last week



and those last 6 are all today

I ask because I would like to find somewhere where I can get Auburn -18.5
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33338 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 7:56 am to
Check VI again
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54140 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 7:57 am to
Spread was way too high. 19 is still high imo.
Posted by AUbused
Member since Dec 2013
7771 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 7:59 am to
quote:

Uhhhh...no. 4 X 0 is still 0.


Boom.

Arky blows.
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33338 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 8:01 am to
It's still going down
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54140 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 8:02 am to
How much skin do you have in? What did you get in at?
Posted by joeyb147
Member since Jun 2009
16019 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 8:07 am to
quote:

t's still going down


Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33338 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 8:23 am to
You see that 18.5 at the end? Wasn't there yesterday.
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