re: FWIW, Hog fan friends that I know have some connections saying Gruden is in.

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I just find it unlikely. He could have taken the Miami job before news of the scandal broke. There's a good chance he could take either the Notre Dame job or Tennessee job next year, and he has far more of a connection to either school or than he has to Arkansas, and I'm pretty sure he could get an NFL job if he was really interested. Him choosing Arkansas just wouldn't make sense to me.

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I think if he takes the Arkansas job, it will be to get back to Tennesee. Here's why

1. Tennessee is not looking for a coach right now, they probaly will be next year or the year after.
2. His new contract goes into effect in September with espn and has a ridiculous buyout. The buyout is so high it will take him out of any future coaching search.
3. Arkansas is a pretty good gig this year. The offense is loaded, the defense, well we'll see. But he will have lots of exposure and his wife will be 4 hours from her momma.