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re: Sorry I was gone so long Auburn Baseball Season Thread
Posted on 4/24/14 at 3:40 pm to BZ853
Posted on 4/24/14 at 3:40 pm to BZ853
I don't think we do it.. I think there's a very real chance of getting swept by LSU, Kentucky, or MSU. I do think we can win the Arkansas series though despite it being in Fayetteville. It's gonna be close.
Posted on 4/24/14 at 3:42 pm to Rig
What happened to Cal St Fullerton?
They are not progected to go to the postseason?
They lose a coach or somehting?
They are not progected to go to the postseason?
They lose a coach or somehting?
Posted on 4/24/14 at 3:44 pm to parkjas2001
I think Tennessee's coach came from CSF... this is his 2nd year in knoxville, i believe.
Posted on 4/24/14 at 3:47 pm to lowspark12
I just read up
They were 18-11 and have lost 6 straight and the coach is admin leave.
They were 18-11 and have lost 6 straight and the coach is admin leave.
Posted on 4/24/14 at 11:56 pm to BZ853
quote:Hate to bust the bubble of your hard work. Your scenario has us 12-18 in the SEC. No 12-18 SEC team has made a regional in the modern era. You need to find us 2 more wins to get to 14-16 to have a real shot at a regional. Also the target RPI number is 30 or better after the SEC Tourney. We have had a few 14-16 teams with RPIs in the 30s that did not make a regional. Whether we get to 13 or 14 conference wins a post SEC Tourney RPI of 30 or better is a must to feel safe based on past selections.
Right Now our record sits at(23-19) and has us going to Hoover. In order for us to be eligible to make a regional we have to be above .500 (i.e. at least 1 more win than losses). This means we need to finish our last 14 games at least (7-7) if we lose both games in Hoover. For every win we get in Hoover that is one more game we can lose before then (roughly).
The following is how I see us needing to go in order to qualify for a regional.
W Apr. 25th- @Arky
L Apr. 26th- @Arky
L Apr. 27th- @Arky
W May 2nd- MSU
W May 3rd- MSU
L May 4th- MSU
W May 6th- Bethune-Cookman
W May 9th- @Kentucky
L May 10th- @Kentucky
L May 11th- @Kentucky
W May 13th- UAB
W May 15th- LSU
L May 16th- LSU
L May 17th- LSU
Obviously if we lose on one of the fridays but win another day in the series were still fine. But we only need to avoid being swept in our final 4 SEC series, win both mid-week games, and win 1 SEC series to be a regional qualifier.
Also Our RPI should improve slightly as we play MSU, UK, and LSU. But we really need to win 3 or 4 more games in order to really help our RPI. We really need to get our RPI to #39 or better to have a shot.
Long Story short. We have a very real chance of qualifying for a regional but probably wont make one unless we go on a tear sometime in the next 5 weeks.
As of right now we are not projected in a regional but here is who is.
Posted on 4/25/14 at 10:09 am to Rig
quote:Pretty much.
We're done not happening
Posted on 4/25/14 at 10:11 am to ellitor
quote:
Hate to bust the bubble of your hard work. Your scenario has us 12-18 in the SEC. No 12-18 SEC team has made a regional in the modern era. You need to find us 2 more wins to get to 14-16 to have a real shot at a regional. Also the target RPI number is 30 or better after the SEC Tourney. We have had a few 14-16 teams with RPIs in the 30s that did not make a regional. Whether we get to 13 or 14 conference wins a post SEC Tourney RPI of 30 or better is a must to feel safe based on past selections.
I was just giving bare minimums to qualify. But you are right we are gonna have to go on an absolute tear soon if we are gonna make. The math hasnt put us out yet, but everyone else has.
Posted on 4/25/14 at 7:15 pm to BZ853
Scoreless through 3 innings in a must win series. Arky has the only hit. Both pitchers are dealing.
Posted on 4/25/14 at 7:29 pm to ellitor
We get 2 no out hits but don't get them home. Bottom 4. No score.
Posted on 4/25/14 at 8:18 pm to parkjas2001
AU gets 2. Up 2-1 in the bottom of the 6th.
On a related note softball comes from 6-2 down in the last inning to beat #23 TAMU 7-6.
On a related note softball comes from 6-2 down in the last inning to beat #23 TAMU 7-6.
Posted on 4/25/14 at 8:48 pm to ellitor
Big touch 'em throw 'em doiuble play by Hacker. AU up 2-1 going to the 9th.
Posted on 4/25/14 at 8:51 pm to ellitor
So we'll lose 3-2 and leave men on base in the 9th?
Posted on 4/25/14 at 8:54 pm to GenesChin
quote:Not this time IMO. We are decient on Friday and Arky has pretty bad endings on Fridays.
So we'll lose 3-2 and leave men on base in the 9th?
Posted on 4/25/14 at 9:03 pm to ellitor
Is the ump as bad as rod makes it?
Posted on 4/25/14 at 9:05 pm to HailToTheChiz
quote:Not really. Usually aren't though. Rod and Andy are homers.
Is the ump as bad as rod makes it?
Bottom 9th. 1 out, runner on 2nd, dedrick coming in.
Posted on 4/25/14 at 9:10 pm to ellitor
Deep and loud out #2. Runners on 2nd and 3rd. 2 outs.
Posted on 4/25/14 at 9:11 pm to ellitor
Intentional walk to load the bases since the runners that matter are already on 2nd and 3rd.
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