re: NYT Siena state poll results with RFK Jr. included. It’s even worse for Biden.

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You're assuming that all third party votes would go to Biden. I don't share that same assumption.

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And they may not, but I'm thinking that anybody on the right who is going to vote for RFK Jr. is a populist crank who has become disaffected with Trump.

There are some of those out there, but I don't think that many.

I KNOW Jill Stein voters are either voting for Biden or less likely, staying home. Again, this has already happened once. With Stein on the ballot Trump won Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Without her, he lost both of them.

And populists don't care about results. The ones on the left or the right.

Leftist populists don't care how bad Biden has been. That wont' affect their voting at all. They aren't even voting for Biden. They're voting against Trump, because to them Trump represents "The Man" that all populists seek to destroy.

To populists on the right, "The Man" is Anybody But Trump And Vivek.

So...