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re: Realistic Expectations for next year?

Posted on 5/21/14 at 9:19 am to
Posted by dhuck20
SCLSU Fan
Member since Oct 2012
20336 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 9:19 am to
In all seriousness, I see 9-3. Columbia on the road or Auburn, UF will be a tough task and I think some Mason turnovers doom us for our first loss to UF in 4 years. Then a sleeper like UT (Please, God no) or Arkansas.

It's really hard for me to pick out losses, but I know we have some ?'s but it just seems like were a better team than almost all the teams on our schedule (IMO, all but Auburn).
This post was edited on 5/21/14 at 9:27 am
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44815 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 9:43 am to
Auburn won't catch the same lucky breaks twice. No way in hell. That was the luckiest season I've ever seen in my life. They win on scheme more than talent.
This post was edited on 5/21/14 at 9:44 am
Posted by Charlestondawg
South Cackalack
Member since Oct 2013
976 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 10:06 am to
667! Whew.

My point was statistically no one in Vegas would pick UGA to go 8-4. They would take your $ all day long and those guys do this shite for a living. Last year was an aberration with all those injuries and fluke endings. But again, statistically that can't happen again this year.

Nah we lose 2 maybe and who knows how good those guys can be.
Posted by dhuck20
SCLSU Fan
Member since Oct 2012
20336 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 10:11 am to
quote:

Auburn won't catch the same lucky breaks twice. No way in hell. That was the luckiest season I've ever seen in my life. They win on scheme more than talent.

Well, they do return a whole bunch and you can only discredit them for one instance, IMO. The kick-six was more of a capitalization on a shortsighted Saban to be honest, not luck. I don't think they're as good as they think, but they were 15 seconds away from a BCS title and that's gotta mean something.
Posted by crispyUGA
Upstate SC
Member since Feb 2011
15919 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 10:39 am to
quote:

That's just retarded.

We'd have to have major season ending injuries all over the place to come close to that.


I wasn't being serious. It was mainly a response to everyone fretting over every opponent on the schedule.
Posted by AirDawg
The Great State of Calm
Member since Feb 2013
2015 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 12:20 pm to
I HATE YOU!
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58913 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

Auburn won't catch the same lucky breaks twice.


They won't have to. They return a very talented team, and the players coming back SHOULD be improved. Of course, if they should suffer some key injuries like us and Florida last year.....or if some breaks go badly against them at key times....they are due for both...
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58913 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

I wasn't being serious. It was mainly a response to everyone fretting over every opponent on the schedule.






Crap! I always respect your input, and when I saw what you wrote I had to stop and take another look. It threw me for a bit!
Posted by FaCubeItches
Soviet Monica, People's Republic CA
Member since Sep 2012
5875 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 8:24 pm to
quote:

In all seriousness, I see 9-3.


Basically, for Richt's tenure with the team, 9-3 with a +/- 1 is a fairly sound prediction for the regular season. The guy is pretty consistent.
Posted by MeatCleaverWeaver
Member since Oct 2013
22175 posts
Posted on 5/21/14 at 11:25 pm to
2-3 losses against any of the following: Clemson, USC, UF, Mizzou, AU. Additionally, there will be the annual flop vs. one of the clearly inferior opponents: ie. UT, Arky, Vandy.

9-3 or 8-4.
This post was edited on 5/21/14 at 11:28 pm
Posted by ConwayGamecock
South Carolina
Member since Jan 2012
9121 posts
Posted on 5/22/14 at 1:21 pm to
USC has a lot of questions to answer for this season: how will their secondary perform? Who will be their 2-deep at DE? Can Thompson step in and be effective as a full-time starter? That's about it, but they are substantial questions...

IMO one sign that USC has risen to the level of top programs in the country is how well it "reloads" it's personnel. Used to be the depth at USC was decent, but not at the highest levels. A top player would get injured or come out of a game for a rest, and everyone would see huge drop-offs from his back-up's efforts. A star player, leader, and contributor leaves the program, and the production from his unit falls off the next season...

It started with 2010, the first season of what is being called currently the "Golden Age" of South Carolina football. USC fans were concerned because the previous season (2009) wasn't a great year that ended poorly, but we were losing some key defensive personnel to graduation or the draft.

Post-2009, USC loses OLB Eric Norwood, the star of it's defense and USC's leading TFL and sacks guy. His name is on the walls of Williams-Brice. Loses DE Clifton Geathers, DT Nathan Peppers, who starts most of the season after Travian Robertson was lost to an ACL. Loses SPUR/Safety Darian Stewart.

That off-season there were concerns about USC's DL, although there was hope with athletes like Devin Taylor, DT Ladi Ajiboye and DE Cliff Matthews the 2 returning full-time starters, and a LB-convert Melvin Ingram. USC also loses LB and leading tackler Shaq Wilson in the off-season. A lot of loss from the defense. So what happens in 2010?

Post-2010, USC loses another batch of leaders on defense: DE Matthews and DT Ajiboye are done, and USC also loses both it's starting LBs in Josh Dickerson and Tony Straughter who were backups initially for 2010 but pressed into starting roles after USC loses Wilson and Rodney Paulk is slow to recover from his 2009 ACL. USC also loses DB Chris Culliver. Five (5) starters from 2010. The talk was USC's defense would take a hit in 2011, although it was quieted by the expectations of incoming DE prospect Clowney, the return of Taylor who had a monster season in 2010 (his best single season effort it would turn out), and the development of now DT/DE Ingram, who leads the team in QB sacks in '10. So what happens in 2011?

Post 2011, some huge losses on defense take place: gone are Ingram and CB Stephon Gilmore - two 1st-round NFL draft picks. Also gone are DT Robertson, SPUR and leading tackler Antonio Allen, part-time LB starter Rodney Paulk, and the tandem starting duo at CB opposite Gilmore in C.C. Whitlock and Marty Markett. Five (5) starting positions - half the defense. But perhaps the BIGGEST loss on defense was the loss of it's DC Ellis Johnson. Despite the promise that Clowney brings for 2012, the off-season consensus is that with all those losses and key staff departures, the defense will take a huge hit. So, what happens in 2012?

Post 2012: Another season where the Gamecock defense suffers huge losses: to begin, it loses it's entire two-deep at LB, including starters Wilson and Reginald Bowens. Loses DE Taylor and 2-yr. starter DT Byron Jerideau, SPUR DeVonte Holloman, Free Safety D.J. Swearinger. Among them the top 5 tacklers for the team in '12, all their LB unit and half of their DL and DB units. The off-season talk for 2013 was that they still had Clowney, but lost too much everywhere else and opponents would stack Clowney up and the USC D would have no one else to turn to. So what happens in 2013?

So now we have Post 2013: Lost Clowney, DT Kelcey Quarles, DE Chaz Sutton, and starting CBs Victor Hampton and Jimmy Legree. Five (5) starters from the D, essentially half of the entire defense. People are once again saying that USC's lost too much on defense, and they'll fall off for 2014.

I wonder what happens?



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